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49ers vs. Bengals Odds: Cincinnati Opens As Slight Favorite

The 1-1 San Francisco 49ers travel to Cincinnati this Sunday to face the 1-1 Bengals. Some folks likely view it as a bounce-back game for the 49ers to get the taste of Sunday's brutal loss to the Cowboys out of their mouths. After all, these are the Cincinnati Bungles we're talking about. The Fightin Andy Dalton's. They're awful! No way the 49ers lose to them!

And they're also a slim favorite against the 49ers now that Odds Shark has opened their lines. Odds Shark installed the Bengals as 1-1/2 point favorites. If you run through their list of odds from other sites, the 49ers range from that point and a half all the way up to three point underdogs.

In the spread, the home team gets three points right off the bat. Although it's not exactly scientific, you could make the argument that if a team is a three point favorite at home, oddsmakers view them as fairly evenly matched teams on a neutral field. Much more is in play with two teams, but that's one way to view things.

This low spread would seem to indicate that oddsmakers view the 49ers as a little bit better outside of Cincy, but they're not quite willing to go all the way and install them as road favorites. The 49ers have had some highlights this season but they aren't consistent enough yet to get favored status against the Bengals who are sort of all over the place.

The Bengals surprised the Browns on opening day and then almost pulled off a comeback in Denver. They're not going to be a particularly good team this year, but they're also a team that could sneak up on folks that overlook them. Coach Harbaugh has plenty to work on this week in terms of just proper execution, but he'll also need to keep the players focused on the task at hand. He is a big proponent of taking things day-by-day, practice-by-practice, play-by-play. This is a perfect test of that.

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Comments

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I'm predicting a solid win.

Harbs needs to open up the playbook a bit more than last week and this should give our team a winning record for the first time in, well I honestly cannot remeber.

Is Harbaugh a closet Singletary disciple? Does he often contemplate WWSD?

by moto9er on Sep 20, 2011 12:10 PM PDT reply actions  

since week one.

Sorry for the smart allec comment but wat really was our last winning season? 2002?

by Leoniner on Sep 20, 2011 12:20 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Yup

Mooch’s last season.

by UncleHulka on Sep 20, 2011 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

#winning

Seattle doesn’t really count though! Niners got tiger blood this year, them Bengals ain’t got no chance!

Is Harbaugh a closet Singletary disciple? Does he often contemplate WWSD?

by moto9er on Sep 20, 2011 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

I like the 9ers in this game

Hopefully AJ Green doesn’t have a Miles Austin-like performance.

by UncleHulka on Sep 20, 2011 12:28 PM PDT reply actions  

10 am game

Bengals don’t look that bad. I’m preparing for disappointment. What’s our record in 10 am kickoffs over the last 5 years?

by TTown Kings on Sep 20, 2011 12:32 PM PDT reply actions  

and if they don't win

It’s going to get real real ugly. @ Phil, vs TB, @ Det. 1-5 going into the bye is an absolute possiblity. Better get this one boys!

by TTown Kings on Sep 20, 2011 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

6-27 since 2005 by my count

sando had us at 6-22 before the 2010 season, we lost five 10am games in 2010
http://espn.go.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/28386/deck-stacked-against-west-in-early-starts

note that 4 of those wins have been against the Rams.

by reedkrase on Sep 20, 2011 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good info, thanks.

I’m not a better/gambler type – it was good to learn something about points spreads, etc.
Go Niners!

Only 2 things come from Texas, and I don't see any horns.

by Halo Hurricane on Sep 20, 2011 12:54 PM PDT reply actions  

They are doing a week long camp style trip.

Gonna be ready to roll, 10 am = #winning

Is Harbaugh a closet Singletary disciple? Does he often contemplate WWSD?

by moto9er on Sep 20, 2011 1:00 PM PDT reply actions  

Must win

I know it’s a cliche, but if Dallas was a “measuring stick”, Cinci is a “must win”. If this team is indeed better than last year, they have to win a game like this.

1-2 heading into those next three weeks would be very, very bad especially for this team that is so used to losing.

by AptosNinerFan on Sep 20, 2011 1:13 PM PDT reply actions  

Wouldn't call it a "must win"

it’ll just be another measuring stick. We’ll find out if we’re going to repeat the 6-10 season, or if we can responsibly hope for better. I say responsibly because I’m still hoping for an 18-1 season.

by reedkrase on Sep 20, 2011 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

True

I heard Harbaugh is having the Gatroade replaced with tiger blood starting next week so it’s pretty much a done deal.

A. Smith + tiger blood + Harbaugh = #winning

by moto9er on Sep 20, 2011 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sure

I mean every game is a “measuring stick” and a “must win” right?

I’m just saying if they can’t beat the Bengals, who can they beat?

by AptosNinerFan on Sep 20, 2011 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

we couldn't beat Carolina

last year on the road…then add to the fact that our entire division plays lousy on the road…nobody.

But if there’s any good news in playing Cincy, it’s that none of their receivers are named Austin, Bryant, or Witten.
As long as we stifle Green and Benson, I think we’ll do more or less ok…provided of course that our o-line remembers that blocking is essential in moving the chains

by Doni S on Sep 20, 2011 2:00 PM PDT via iPhone app up reply actions  

Dex Bryant was inactive

They got burned by Jesse Holley on Sunday. What’s that? You’ve never heard of him?

by AptosNinerFan on Sep 20, 2011 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

none of their receivers are named Austin, Bryant, or Witten.

Cincy has 2 of the top 17 WR’s in the NFL though…
#13…J Simpson 90 ypg
#17…AJ Green 82.5 ypg

Oh, and the top SF WR?
#63….J Morgan 31.5 ypg

Benson will probably get shut down though.

by ephram on Sep 20, 2011 5:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Statement Win

Going into Cincy and just getting a win isn’t enough. Cincy doesn’t have the tallent that the 49ers do on either side of the ball and ST. We should win this game easily. It is time for JH to get his foot on the perverbial neck of the Bengals and keep it there until the final whistle. Anything less than a 20+ point victory and I’ll be disappointed.

by ColoradoSprings9er on Sep 20, 2011 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

i love a good laugh every now and then...
We should win this game easily

They needed 2 special teams TD’s to beat a terrible Seattle team at home.
They blew a 10 point lead at home to a team led by a QB with a broken rib.

The 49ers have one of the worst offenses and pass defenses in all of the NFL:
26th best rushing attack at under 80 yards per game
29th best passing attack at 152 yard per game
25th best pass defense at 291 yards allowed per game

So I fail to see how they win by 20 on the road as an “easy” thing?

by ephram on Sep 20, 2011 5:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

not to try and build our D more than it is, but...

what defense has Cincy really faced yet…? have they faced a solid pass rush? while i’m at it, have they even faced an offense as good as ours…?

by 29spYder on Sep 20, 2011 1:22 PM PDT reply actions  

From what I've read, the 49ers have the best rush D in the NFL. yards per game.....

If the DBs don’t try to play the run and do thier jobs, they will win this game.

by ericalancanty on Sep 20, 2011 1:40 PM PDT reply actions  

Alex Smith or Alice as some would call him, is the 11thr ranked QB in the NFL.....

He has a nice 95.2 QB rating, but what concerns me is the 44 attempts. There are 4 QBs with over 80+ and 12 more with 70+. Alex has been very proficient the last 2 games and bang on his 6.89 YPA avg, but it is way better than Gore’s 2.5 YPA.

Also of note. the 49ers had 24 runs and 24 passes…..50/50 is better than up in Seattle 65/35

by ericalancanty on Sep 20, 2011 1:52 PM PDT reply actions  

These first two games have shown...

it’s time to let Alex sink or swim. Enough with the kid gloves.

by AptosNinerFan on Sep 20, 2011 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

exactly, lets see if we can get a decent offense that will allow us to beat even mid level teams. 150 yards passing and 75 yards rushing per game is not going to get it done.

Our Johnson is bigger and better than LA's Johnson so suck it.

by cush52 on Sep 20, 2011 6:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Notes from a Bengals fan

Cam Newton is getting all the hype(expected) but don’t overlook Andy Dalton. That kid has the “it” factor. whatever “it” is. If you don’t get pressure on him he will pick you apart. He has a 105. passer rating through his first 2 games( including 325 yds 2TD last week). He is still learning but so far he has gotten better every single game. Gruden opens the playbook a little bit more each week and he responds. I am not saying we will win because I honestly expect the game to be close and will be a great game to watch. Could go either way.

"Next season will be better" circa 1990
Twitter @Rcklarue

by Yarin on Sep 20, 2011 11:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

Funny you and the ( it ) factor , just what is the ( it ) factor , such a cliche' ...!!

I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ...Jimmy Raye your no daisy ...!!

by Edggy on Sep 21, 2011 3:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

I don’t think we as 49ers fans know what “it” is since we haven’t seen it in a QB for almost 10 years now.

Our Johnson is bigger and better than LA's Johnson so suck it.

by cush52 on Sep 21, 2011 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Take notes Jim...

From Andy Reid…

“I think that sent a message to our football team, and not a positive message,” Reid said Monday, a day after the Falcons scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns to overcome a 10-point deficit. "For those first couple series that he was in, I did something that I normally don’t do. By sitting on the ball I think that sends a message to everybody, and it’s not a positive message.

“So I’m kicking myself in the tail for that right now. It’s my responsibility to make sure that we play reckless, aggressive football, and when the head coach doesn’t do that, that’s not a good sign.”

“The one thing that we’ll take out of this game is when you have a lead – and again this is where I’ve got to look in the mirror on this – when you have the lead, you get after it and you stay aggressive,” said Reid. “Again, I didn’t set the tempo for that. We’re going to learn how to finish here, starting with me.”

by AptosNinerFan on Sep 20, 2011 1:59 PM PDT reply actions  

im taking lions, jets, & 49ers.

In the words of boobie dixon “leggo”

2011 mock draft
1st- Patrick Peterson CB, 2nd- Jake Locker QB, 3rd-Allen Bailey DE, 4th- Dontay Moch OLB, 4th- Jacquizz Rodgers RB, 5th- Owen Marecic FB, 6th- Greg McElroy QB, 6th- Jake Kirkpatrick OC, 7th- Derrick Lock RB, 7th- Greg Salas WR

by Sippin'onGinn&Juice on Sep 20, 2011 2:05 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Moran Norris Hurt? is it Miller Time?

just four snaps in the second half. He was seen wearing an orthopedic boot Monday on his left foot. His availability for Sunday’s game against Cincinnati is not known. . . .

by ericalancanty on Sep 20, 2011 2:06 PM PDT reply actions  

They’re not going to be a particularly good team this year

True. But neither will the Bengals be a particularly good team either.

by ephram on Sep 20, 2011 5:43 PM PDT reply actions  

that comment

That’s what I meant with the sentence. I was talking about the Bengals.

by David Fucillo on Sep 20, 2011 6:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

that's what i figured

my point was that neither SF or CIN are good teams this year.

It’s funny, on 9er’s Nation, the talk is how the Cincy game is an easy win
And on CincyJungle, the talk is how the SanFran game is an easy win

When 2 bad teams play each other, something has got to give :-)

by ephram on Sep 21, 2011 4:11 AM PDT up reply actions  

49ers will win

We are going to deliver a high kick to the side of their ugly helmets! ROAD HOUSE!!!!

I believe in excellence. I believe in Alex Smith.

by 9er4Life on Sep 21, 2011 10:32 AM PDT reply actions  

The 49ers line started at +1and is at +2.5 right now

And its still moving. Looks like the bettors are dumping a ton of money on the Bengals side of the equation.

by Neama on Sep 21, 2011 2:39 PM PDT reply actions  

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