49ers 2011 Preview: Reviewing The Stanford Game Tape
Over the summer, nocal81 put together a couple posts looking at the statistical performance of Jim Harbaugh's teams at the University of San Diego and at Stanford University. A look at the numbers can give us an idea of some of the tendencies, but they don't always tell the whole story.
In order to get a better handle on Jim Harbaugh's recent offensive work, I took a look at three games from last season. Josh from Mocking the Draft has put together a video library from the 2010 season, which includes Stanford's games versus USC in October, versus Cal in November, and versus Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl. Josh created one video for Stanford offense versus opponent defense and a second video for Stanford defense versus opponent offense. The linked videos above are to the Stanford offense. They also are cut down to the bare minimum, removing commercials, most special teams plays and any idle time between plays. You can watch all three in less than 40 minutes.
In reviewing the tape, there were a few interesting tidbits that were actually reflected in last Thursday's game against the Chargers. Jim Harbaugh developed a strong passing attack at Stanford, but the passing attack was effective because it was built on the back of a dominant power rushing attack. Stepfan Taylor, Anthony Wilkerson and a little bit of Tyler Gaffney were the engine that made this offense run. Andrew Luck was important to the offense, but the rushing attack put Luck and the rest of the offense in a position to succeed.
Frank Gore has been the engine that has made the 49ers offense go, and it will only be more so in the upcoming season. What will be interesting is how well the team is able to mix Kendall Hunter and Anthony Dixon into the rushing attack. At Stanford, Wilkerson and Gaffney combined for 149 carries behind Taylor's 223. Anthony Dixon and Brian Westbrook combined for 147 last year, but that was due to Gore missing so much time at the end of the year. The previous year Glen Coffee and Michael Robinson combined for 86 carries behind Gore.
It is worth noting that we can expect to see a sizable number of pitches and sweeps. Under Jimmy Raye, we'd see a sweep maybe once every two weeks. While a sweep doesn't always work out it can at least soften up the interior defense just a little bit to open up the interior runs.
The other interesting facet of the Cardinal offense was how Luck rolled out fairly frequently. It was predicated in part on play action passes, but even from the shotgun you can see Luck moving outside the pocket on occasion. This past Thursday Alex Smith played all his snaps from under center and mixed in some roll outs. We sometimes hear how Smith needs to spread things out to be effective, but in this shorter passing attack he was fine coming out from under center (assuming he doesn't get killed by blitzers on a regular basis).
Along with the rollouts, the Cardinal offense made excellent use of Andrew Luck's legs this past season. The team used designed runs every so often, but they also seemed to include pass plays where there was a run option fairly early on. I'm sure of Luck's scrambles were his own decision, but in reviewing the tape, it would be interesting to know for sure how quickly Luck was expected to tuck and run on some of the plays.
Although Alex Smith is no Michael Vick in the running game, he is athletic enough to the point that he can be an effective scrambler at times. I'm actually kind of excited to see how Coach Harbaugh utilizes this aspect of Smith's game. The threat of a QB scramble can be just as effective as the actual scramble in softening up the defense a little bit more.
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I said this last year, but...
Harbaugh ran the kind of offense at Stanford that Singletary wanted to run with the 49ers but didn’t know how.
What Harbaugh did (from 1-11 to 11-1) especially at a school like Stanford may be unprecedented in the history of college football. This is why my expectations are so high for him with the 49ers.
I have to disagree
I am pretty sure Sing was much more simple in what he wanted to execute. He was pue smash-mouth. He consistently downplayed the role of the QB. Passing was ALWAYS and afterthought only when they needed to make up big chunks of yardage.
the WCO is much more nuanced. You can use the run to setup the pass or vice versa. You use your tools to manipulate the defense into giving you what you want, and if that fails you exploit what they give. Sounds simple enough, but it’s all about how it is executed with formations and options.
There were a couple years during the Montana era where the Niners had almost no running game off the line, so they used lots of short timing routes to get the ball into receivers and running backs hands just past the line of scrimage and then gain the yardage…
by ColoradoNiner on Sep 6, 2011 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions
Point being...
You can say “we want to run the ball” or “we want to impose our will on the other team” but how do you go about doing that effectively? Every defense in the league knew exactly what the 49ers were going to do last year before the game even started, meanwhile Stanford made Va Tech look like they had no idea what they were seeing in the Orange Bowl and Va Tech is one of the best/most complex D’s in College Football.
by AptosNinerFan on Sep 6, 2011 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions
Plus...
Va Tech had like a month to prepare for that game. I think we’re going to see some crazy stuff Sunday.
“What’s your deal”?
“I don’t know, what’s YOUR deal?
BWHAHAHA
by AptosNinerFan on Sep 6, 2011 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions
On that I agree..
My disagreement was simply on what Sing wanted to do. The similarity diverges beyond “run ball, score points, ugh (<caveman grunt)”.
I am SO excited to see this new team in action, on both sides of the ball. I expect the entire year will be full of excitement and surprises. Sure, we will loose more games than I like, but I think everyone is underestimating what Harbaugh and the new staff might be capable of!
by ColoradoNiner on Sep 6, 2011 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions
Lol think I might be the only one...
That understands that what’s your deal comment is all about harbaugh and carrol back in college coaching days! And I can’t wait either!
by krs34 on Sep 6, 2011 4:19 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
you're certainly not the only one.
A common phrase of exultation here at NN
"You look at Vladimir Radmanovic, this guy is cut from stone. As if Michelangelo was reading and a lightening bolt flashed before him."
-- Bill Walton, 2.8.2004
by rekehavoc on Sep 6, 2011 7:56 PM PDT via iPhone app up reply actions
Yep
“Harbaugh ran the kind of offense at Stanford that Singletary wanted to run with the 49ers but didn’t know how.”
Still not sure how this season will play out but I feel better about the future at least knowing we have a coach that can stand in front of a chalk board and show how he plans on backing up his talk.
Nice work with the videos
It seemed to me that in most cases, Harbaugh left the run option to Luck, i.e, he could still choose to throw to a receiver in single coverage. The runs seemed to be designed just to get first downs but Luck would occasionally knock a defensive back out of his way and gain large chunks.
The role of the O line and FB cannot not be overstated. Went last weekend to watch the first show of Luck’s farewell tour where the Card dismantled the San Jose State Spartans 57-3. However, the O line has two starters (the old ones are in the Niners’ PS) and hasn’t fully settled down yet, The fullback is new. Consequently, the running game never showed the dominance one sees in these tapes despite having the same key RBs. Luck was hurried a few times early in the game and was sacked once. However, Stanford is still playing Fangio’s defense and Skov and Thomas was able to disrupt the Spartan offense with regularity.
The other interesting facet of the Cardinal offense was how Luck rolled out fairly frequently
so you’re saying Harbaugh may have chosen Alex Smith because he could roll right and check down?
sort of...
Although checking down isn’t necessarily the issue. A lot of the shorter pass routes are designed as the first option. Not all of them but some of them.
by David Fucillo on Sep 6, 2011 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions
Problem is
that in short passing situations, the key to success is the QB has to be quick getting the ball out and accurate in hitting the receiver to avoid the tip ball resulting in INT… Smith has not proven that he can get the ball out quickly or accurately. That is what made Tolzien so interesting as a pick up. His fundamentals may be more suited to the WCO than Smith.. I hope for the best…
Fast break football...
Going to be a ton of shorter stuff to the playmakers. It’s exactly why the Niners were so effective in the 80’s and 90’s.
There’ll still be long bombs every now and again but not a majority.
Check out my site!!
The Hometown Fan
First Post
I agree we’ll see a lot of shorter passes. Being as how in the WCO the short pass is an extension of the run game, just a long hand-off. Most of Rice and Taylor’s yards came after the catch, and the WCO is where that stat (YAC) came from. I also seem to recall the sweep (with Lenvil Elliott) on the drive that produced the Catch against the Cowboys being the only running play the Niners had. As Walsh said about the offense, "There’s a lot to orchestrate.’ I’m confident that Harbaugh is capable of utilizing his players’ strengths in creative ways and I’m very excited about this season. I think a lot of people are going to be surprised.
"The year we beat Miami in the Super Bowl, ... do you know how many defensive linemen were in our rotation? Nine, and we used them all quite a bit. We just wore the Dolphins out." - Bill Walsh
I like the potential for the Harbaugh system
but I want to see how well the players execute. In order to be effective at either the run or pass you need an effective OL and although we saw some good stuff last week against SD there needs to be consistency from week to week. If don’t have that we’ve got big trouble.
I'm so excited
even if we suck the first couple of games things just have to get better than at any point during the Singletary era. I’m really looking forward to being ‘excited’ by our team even if we don’t win.
Yep
Sucking and interesting>Sucking and boring.
by AptosNinerFan on Sep 6, 2011 5:11 PM PDT up reply actions
Fooch, regarding your comments re: Alex using his legs ...
We’ve all become so involved in hammering Alex for even breathing, that we’ve perhaps forgotten what he was able to accomplish when he actually had an offensive system that made sense and that he really understood … his last two years (2003 and 2004) at Utah, when he was 19 and 20 years old. As a reminder, here are his combined stats for those two years:
Yards Rushing — 1,083 (49+ YPG)
Yards Passing — 5,199 (236+ YPG)
TD Passes — 47; INTs — 7; TD/INT Ratio — 6.7
QB Rating — approximately 165.0 (152.3 in 2003 and 176.5 in 2004)
Team’s Record for those two years — 21 wins, 1 loss
The guy was certainly able to use his legs in Urban Meyer’s spread offense; it’s probably safe to say that he can still do that given an offensive system (WCO) that calls for a mobile QB. IF the OL can learn to block effectively in a WCO scheme … watch Alex’s pro stats improve substantially.
by 49erFanSince1950 on Sep 6, 2011 8:13 PM PDT reply actions
On splitting carries between multiple backs...
It’s maybe more relevant to look at the Cardinal rushing stats in 2009, when Toby Gerhart was in the fold. Gerhart was a dominant rusher in college, as I’m sure most remember, somewhat analogous to what Gore’s role has been on the Niners. With Toby in the backfield, Stanford’s running game broke down like this:
Gerhart— 343 carries, 1871 yards, 27 TD
Taylor— 56 carries, 303 yards, 2 TD
Stewart— 17 carries, 107 yards, 2 TD
So it might be premature to predict that Kendall Hunter is going to get significant carries at least while he’s behind a healthy Frank Gore. But the first few games of the season should be instructive on this.
Idolizing Robb Nen since 2002...
by Smoke on the Water on Sep 7, 2011 12:38 AM PDT reply actions
Problem is
If we try to throw 343 carries at Gore, we’ll soon be looking at a rotation of Hunter and Dixon. At his age and wear level we should be looking to reduce his workload whenever possible.

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