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NFL Conference Championship Round Prediction Games Results

I apologize for the delay. I figured the fan post area would need a few days to cool down after the bitter loss. Even the last result recap was bumped within 24 hours with as predicted more repeat it's like '81 rehash fan posts. As much as I hated the ubber annoying, constantly repeating, surface level nostalgia like '81 fan posts it wasn't crying kids over the 49ers loss and Kyle Williams. Instead of real parenting, like using the opportunity to warn kids this is what happens when Kyle Williams doesn't eat his vegetables, let's queue up the social media and get some youtube/twitter hits. Worst yet is the positive feedback given back to these people. Grant Cohn gave better advice to Kyle Williams than that kid. To paraphrase, you are now a marginal receiver with nothing to contribute on special teams, good luck making any NFL roster next season Kyle ... feel better?

Oh well, not the first and last time I've had to deal with 49ers fans soppy reactions this week. Instead of answering or not answering a question, Harbaugh rants how "feeling" questions must a California sissy thing. A few writers take Harbaugh to task for his response and overall response to media all season. Maiocco furbishes a tears story out of a split second eye rub. I don't need a survey to know which story 49ers fans took hook, line and sinker. Then there is this quote, "Hurt but not slain, lay down and bleed awhile, then we'll rise and fight again." Its a nice quote and everyone wants to provide a historical background on it's origin. Another little historical tidbit on this quote, Marv Levy used it after the Bills crushing lose in Super Bowl XXV than rode it to three more crushing Super Bowl defeats. Feels great to be a 49ers fan heading into the off-season! Back seat in the draft, not resigning own free agents, small hands talk, Crabtree attitude psychologists, 3-4 1st/2nd picks in everyone's 49ers mock draft dropping to mid/late rounds ... thank God Kenny Powers and Game of Thrones is almost here.

Moving on. Congrats to our Super Bowl contestants: Str8Balr, Stupifyed, AKinferno and howtheyscored. Next week is the championship. Fooch will pick some sort of extra tiebreaker based on yards so pay attention. How did AKinferno return from the dead? He found a scoring error in his favor. He also pointed out the 49ers should have kept handing the ball off to Frank Gore and maybe that is why Harbaugh was teary eyed the next day. The NFL is going to crown their worst Super Bowl Champion in the modern era next week but we are going to crown one impressive prediction champion.

Star-divide

Playoffs

Conference Championship Round Scoring Recap

New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers

    Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots

    1. Stupifyed, Str8Balr (6)
    2. AKinferno (8)
    3. howtheyscored (10)
    4. bayboy (14)
    5. Rossalex (24)

    Conference Championship Round Results

    Rank Screen Name Points
    1. Str8Balr 5
    1. Stupifyed 5
    3. AKinferno 4
    4. howtheyscored 3
    Eliminated
    5. bayboy 2
    6. Rossalex 1
    7. mikeinsp 0
    7. bakoninerfan 0
    7. Ten-Man 0

    Conference Championship Round Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

    Screen Name NYG SF s/p BAL NE s/p tot
    Rossalex 20 27 -/- 17 35 24/1 1
    Ten-Man 20 30 -/- 27 23 -/-
    Stupifyed 21 28 -/- 17 24 6/5 5
    bayboy 20 23 -/- 13 27 14/2 2
    AKinferno 27 29 -/- 20 27 8/4 4
    howtheyscored 20 24 -/- 17 28 10/3 3
    mikeinsp 20 27 -/- 26 21 -/-
    bakoninerfan 21 33 -/- 31 24 -/-
    Str8Balr 23 26 -/- 20 26 6/5 5

    BIT Results

    Conference Championship Round Scoring Recap

    New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers

    1. ZeroIndulgence (8)
    2. Ninerfromacrossthepond (14)
    3. groug (16)

    Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots

    1. these3words, 49erLou (2)
    2. shahbazi3, Stupifyed, Str8Balr (6)
    3. illini49er, Red&Gold, AKinferno, leaping_larry, lincypoo i wuv u, Beamer1960 (8)
    4. red49crc, howtheyscored, grantmp, wjackalope (10)
    5. bayboy, Ninerfromacrossthepond (14)

    Conference Championship Round Leader Board

    Rank Screen Name Points WCW DRW CWW
    1. howtheyscored 18 8 8 2
    2. leaping_larry 17 4 10 3
    3. Stupifyed 16 5 7 4
    3. itsAteamGAME 16 6 10
    5. ZacharyD 15 7 8 0
    5. Str8Balr 15 7 4 4
    7. maraman 14 14
    8. grantmp 13 7 4 2
    9. groug 12 3 6 3
    9. illini49er 12 1 8 3
    9. bayboy 12 4 7 1
    12. jbrown63 11 5 6 0
    13. mcwagner 10 5 5 0
    13. AKinferno 10 2 5 3
    15. SharksFanEst.1994 9 9
    15. Ninerfromacrossthepond 9 4 0 5
    15. McTee 9 2 7 0
    15. Mo9er 9 1 8 0
    15. MATTCW 9 9 0
    15. Beamer1960 9 3 3 3
    15. ZeroIndulgence 9 0 4 5
    15. dlh 9 6 3
    23. 49erLou 8 2 1 5
    23. lincypoo i wuv u 8 0 5 3
    23. David Fucillo 8 8 0
    23. Ten-Man 8 3 5 0
    23. reedkrase 8 0 8 0
    23. wjackalope 8 3 3 2
    29. Rossalex 7 1 6 0
    29. crevis1987 7 7
    29. SportsChicken 7 5 2 0
    29. teekay 7 1 6
    29. PHUT! 7 1 6 0
    29. Takeo33 7 4 3 0
    35. cmesd 6 6
    35. madmatt 6 6
    35. neder 6 2 4 0
    35. SpurredOn 6 4 2 0
    39. these3words 5 0 0 5
    39. bignerd 5 1 4 0
    41. PNK 4 4
    41. bakoninerfan 4 2 2 0
    41. shahbazi3 4 4
    41. beecharmer 4 1 3 0
    41. benna11 4 1 3
    41. mikeinsp 4 0 4 0
    47. urnext 3 3
    47. AK49e 3 3 0
    47. libra45 3 3 0 0
    47. mpotter14 3 3
    47. whistlingmountain 3 3
    47. BangingHebrew 3 3
    47. djfivenine 3 3 0
    47. Rabbit T 3 0 3 0
    47. Red&Gold 3 3
    56. J2daZ 2 1 1 0
    56. Grumps 2 2
    56. red49crc 2 2
    59. nostocksjustbonds 1 1 0
    59. Edggy 1 0 1 0

    Conference Championship Round Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

    Screen Name NYG SF s/p BAL NE s/p tot
    PHUT! 17 31 -/- 17 31 16/-
    RobNiner 20 31 -/- 10 35 24/-
    red49crc 24 27 -/- 17 28 10/2 2
    groug 28 19 16/3 22 20 -/- 3
    illini49er 20 24 -/- 21 27 8/3 3
    mcwagner 19 34 -/- 10 21 20/-
    shahbazi3 19 21 -/- 17 24 6/4 4
    ZeroIndulgence 24 20 8/5 31 30 -/- 5
    these3words 13 15 -/- 21 23 2/5 5
    Rossalex 20 27 -/- 17 35 24/-
    jbrown63 17 20 -/- 30 28 -/-
    SH0ck-D 24 42 -/- 17 15 -/-
    Ten-Man 20 30 -/- 27 23 -/-
    Stupifyed 21 28 -/- 17 24 6/4 4
    ToddCommish 0 74 -/- 0 3 40/-
    Red&Gold 28 31 -/- 16 27 8/3 3
    AK49e 21 35 -/- 28 17 -/-
    reedkrase 24 31 -/- 27 24 -/-
    bayboy 20 23 -/- 13 27 14/1 1
    Ni9er 17 35 -/- 28 20 -/-
    McTee 20 34 -/- 31 33 22/-
    EyeBlack22 20 27 -/- 27 33 20/-
    Rhombus 14 38 -/- 34 27 -/-
    Takeo33 24 34 -/- 27 20 -/-
    Rabbit T 24 30 -/- 27 21 -/-
    AKinferno 27 29 -/- 20 27 8/3 3
    neder 21 24 -/- 24 33 20/-
    J2daZ 24 31 -/- 30 27 -/-
    Edggy 20 35 -/- 23 21 -/-
    ZacharyD 20 26 -/- 27 21 -/-
    howtheyscored 20 24 -/- 17 28 10/2 2
    SportsChicken 17 23 -/- 31 24 -/-
    nostocksjustbonds 10 23 -/- 17 34 22/-
    Mo9er 17 31 -/- 24 23 -/-
    mikeinsp 20 27 -/- 26 21 -/-
    manraj7 17 24 -/- 24 17 -/-
    SpurredOn 13 24 -/- 26 24 -/-
    bakoninerfan 21 33 -/- 31 24 -/-
    MATTCW 27 31 -/- 24 17 -/-
    libra45 24 45 -/- 30 27 -/-
    49erLou 26 31 -/- 21 24 2/5 5
    Bravedown50 19 27 -/- 27 32 18/-
    leaping_larry 20 24 -/- 23 27 8/3 3
    grantmp 16 21 -/- 23 28 10/2 2
    Ninerfromacrossthepond 27 23 14/4 20 30 14/1 5
    bignerd 20 27 -/- 30 20 -/-
    lincypoo i wuv u 13 20 -/- 24 27 8/3 3
    Str8Balr 23 26 -/- 20 26 6/4 4
    liberty_JAC 17 31 -/- 20 31 16/-
    Beamer1960 10 19 -/- 20 27 8/3 3
    wjackalope 20 23 -/- 20 28 10/2 2
    beecharmer 20 21 -/- 24 31 16/-

    Scoring Explained

    Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

    1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

    2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

    3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

    So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

    pPD = Predicted Point Differential
    aPD = Actual Point Differential
    pPT = Predicted Point Total
    aPT = Actual Point Total
    x = Subscore

    |pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

    That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

    This is a FanPost, it does reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. It does not reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is more important than the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. Any contradictory disclaimers below this one are bold face lies and should be ignored.

    This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

    Comment 13 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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    I think we should change the scoring system.

    I propose throwing out the current system and calculating raw scores like this:

    1. Calculate how far off you were on the winning team’s score.

    2. Calculate how far off you were on the losing team’s score.

    3. Take the larger number and double it.

    Thoughts?

    We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.

    by these3words on Jan 27, 2012 2:22 AM PST reply actions  

    you would win this week

    I still like the wrinkle of picking the game winner.

    by bignerd on Jan 27, 2012 8:59 AM PST up reply actions  

    Sure, keep the rule that you have to pick the winner correctly.

    But then use my formula to calculate the raw scores. It would be a lot simpler and I think just as fair.

    We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.

    by these3words on Jan 27, 2012 4:05 PM PST up reply actions  

    So if, at home, team A beats team B by a score of 13 – 21, and I predict 10 – 28 and bignerd predicts 13 – 28 and Fooch predicts 11 – 14, we all tie?

    Once more, coming to you by proxy.

    by howtheyscored on Jan 28, 2012 9:45 AM PST up reply actions  

    By the way, Fooch, way to stick your neck out there and predict somebody scoring 11. That almost never happens.

    Once more, coming to you by proxy.

    by howtheyscored on Jan 28, 2012 9:45 AM PST up reply actions  

    Yes, that would be a 3-way tie.

    What’s wrong with that?

    We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.

    by these3words on Jan 29, 2012 1:27 AM PST up reply actions  

    Actually, I just hadn’t thought it through (considering all three of those are ties in the original system, anyway). Does your way just give the same results as the old one, given that the winner must be correct? Because that’s pretty wild.

    I don’t know that it would be easier to implement, though (not harder, either). With an Excel sheet to give you easy ordered results, it’s plug and play either way. I guess I see nothing against it. Surely, it’s simpler to explain.

    Once more, coming to you by proxy.

    by howtheyscored on Jan 29, 2012 10:27 AM PST up reply actions  

    Yeah, it's actually just a simplified version of the current formula.

    I was trying to highlight the flaw in the current system: it ignores whichever score you were closer to and just ranks people based on whichever score they got most wrong, after doubling the number for no reason.

    As a serious proposal, I think we should take my formula and replace step 3 with “add the two numbers together”.

    So in your example above, the raw scores would be 10, 7, and 9 respectively, with bignerd winning because he had one matchup (Offense A vs. Defense B) pegged perfectly, and was no farther off on the other matchup than you or Fooch.

    We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.

    by these3words on Jan 30, 2012 12:18 AM PST up reply actions  

    I don’t really see the point of doubling it. You’re going to get the same order regardless.

    GROUGTHINK ALERT

    by groug on Jan 29, 2012 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

    Yeah.

    Gotta be honest, I thought someone was going to call me out on that a lot sooner.

    We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.

    by these3words on Jan 30, 2012 12:19 AM PST up reply actions  

    Double whammification

    I think my head imploded.

    French fries are really Belgian, sausages and bagels have the same amount of protein, two countries' names mean "turkey", and Santa Claus was invented by the Coca-Cola company. Is life weird or what?

    Debe ser verde y volante - Πράσινο και να πετάει - It's gotta be green and it's gotta fly!

    by Rabbit T on Jan 27, 2012 12:58 PM PST reply actions  

    Brains!

    Back from the dead and into the Championship round. Thanks Bignerd and Fooch for checking my scores. I was cool with being eliminated til I saw the mistake. I never pick against the Niners. Hell, I pick NFC against AFC in the Probowl cause like half the players are from our team :p

    Congrats to everyone in the finals, Shame on everyone who got points for picking the Niners to lose. They were still the best team this year, regardless of the outcome.

    by AKinferno on Jan 28, 2012 11:43 AM PST reply actions  

    Shame on everyone who got points for picking the Niners to lose.

    Yeah, people who do that are the worst.

    GROUGTHINK ALERT

    by groug on Jan 29, 2012 4:17 PM PST up reply actions  

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