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Wild Card Weekend NFL Picks: Chalk On Saturday, Upsets On Sunday

The 49ers head into this weekend with a chance to enjoy some football as finally get an opponent for their divisional round contest at Candlestick Park next Saturday. This weekend features some great matchups that could provide a mix of defensive battles and wild shootouts. Given the relatively relaxing nature of this weekend for 49ers fans, I thought I'd take us into the weekend with a rundown of my wild card weekend picks. We're going strictly straight up for this.

Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals: The argument against the Texans basically comes down to QB T.J. Yates. I really don't know what Yates will bring to the table on Saturday, but as long as he can avoid stupid mistakes, this more of a bet on Arian Foster and Ben Tate. The two running backs averaged 4.78 yards per carry this season.

The Texans are not quite the same build as the 49ers, but there are some similarities with the strong defense and big rushing attack. And, even though Andy Dalton has had a strong rookie season, he is still a rookie. He may not mess things up this weekend, but I'm not quite ready to go all-in for this playoff game. I'll stick with Arian Foster & Co.

PICK: Texans

Star-divide

New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions: I generally am open to a range of arguments, but you would be hard-pressed to convince me the Lions win this game. I don't know if any team is as hot as the Saints are in the Superdome. I don't know if they have what it takes to go on the road in the divisional and conference championship round, but in the Superdome, I don't care what question marks they have on defense.

Some would say Drew Brees could be due for a letdown, but other than that "argument" I don't see how the Lions can keep pace with the Saints attack. This is a team that gave up record-setting numbers to Matt Flynn in a game the Packers didn't need and the Lions did need to avoid the Saints. Matt Flynn may very well turn into the next great thing, but for now, he is three-career start Matt Flynn. That says all I need to know about this Lions defense.

PICK: Saints

New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons: This one is a bit of a tough call for me. Both teams bring serious deep threats to the table and I think this game will turn into a shootout. Michael Turner has had a better season than Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs, but there has also been some inconsistency for him at times. The Falcons have a decent enough rush defense, but their pass defense is rather poor.

This pick actually comes down to my gut. I think the Giants are a better team (in spite of the game difference in record), but I think the Falcons win this game. I actually have no real reason for picking the Falcons over the Giants. It's just a hunch. This is usually where I start losing money, but thankfully I'm not wagering on this.

PICK: Falcons

Denver Broncos vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: This is a game that could divide America. The Broncos stumbled down the stretch and sort of fell into the playoffs thanks to a Raiders Week 17 loss. The AFC West replaced the NFC West as the crappy division in the NFL (with the NFC East in the mix as well). It should be simple to say the Tebow "magic" is one and done this year.

And yet, I think the Broncos win this game without even factoring in Tebow. The Pittsburgh Steelers are a banged up team heading on the road to what will be a fairly raucous crowd. A Broncos upset rides on the Broncos defense and Willis McGahee more than anything else. If the offense can run a power rushing, ball control attack and the defense can get after a banged-up Ben Roethlisberger, this is an upset waiting to happen. I'll go with it to wrap up an upset-filled Sunday.

PICK: Broncos

How do you see the wild card round shaking out?

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i know most wont agree

But I live in Texas and I’m telling you guys the Texans aren’t as good as they seem. If they don’t play delhomme Cincy wins. Giants beat Atlanta, even though I really don’t want to play them. They are the most balanced of all the nfc teams. although I hate to pick against tebow just because it seems like this is that game everyone expects him to lose and then we all look stupid on Monday, but Pittsburgh injured or not should win. And finally I’m going out on a limb and gonna predict Detroit upsets new Orleans. They put up mad numbers last week and the saints defense is just as bad, so if Detroit can put some kind of pressure(any) on brees they can win in that track meet.

by texasniner31 on Jan 6, 2012 5:12 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

driving up from so cal for game

we are driving up Friday and staying in the city, leaving sun morning…. any recommendations on good post game sport bars

by forwardgunner49 on Jan 6, 2012 5:21 PM PST reply actions  

Has Alex earned the right & honor to be named 1 of our team playoff captains?

I think the team should surprise him and acknowledge how well he has played by naming him a playoff team captain, Yes?

by BigMar on Jan 6, 2012 5:30 PM PST reply actions  

why not?

The kid has heart, has great work ethic, his teammates support him and he is definitely one of the reasons we are sitting with the number two seed right now

by texasniner31 on Jan 6, 2012 5:35 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

yup

That’s a neat idea.

by baumannm2209 on Jan 6, 2012 6:25 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Alex as one of the team captains can stare Brees,or Manning or Ryan right in the eye

while shaking their hands during the coin toss.

Stare them in the eye with confidence, a firm, strong handshake, then slap them in the back al la Harbaugh, as running back to the sideline and yell F_ _K Yea !

That will let Brees, or Manning or Rayn know….da in for the battle of their lives

by BigMar on Jan 6, 2012 5:39 PM PST reply actions  

i want to see him and rodgers at midfield

That game right there, I think Alex Smith comes out with his hair on fire. Never gonna be a more career defining for him more than that football game.

by texasniner31 on Jan 6, 2012 5:46 PM PST via mobile up reply actions   1 recs

you'd really find out what he's made of.

If he could elevate the team above himself, like he has his entire career, in the face of that kind of peer and media pressure it would be simply amazing.

by baumannm2209 on Jan 6, 2012 6:28 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

What make me nervous though.....

Alex tends to let certain situations get the best of him. It would definitely be an opportunity for him to show what he is made of. I just would get scared he could fold. Ive been an A. Smith supporter his whole career. Im just glad he finally lived up to his potential. I think next season he can be even better. And these nerve racking situations wont get to him any longer. I do see them bothering him this year however. On the other hand, he has been looking a lot more calm, cool, and collected as of late!!

by Johnveeskys on Jan 6, 2012 7:57 PM PST up reply actions  

after watching him last year

Against the eagles when everyone booed him and he brought the team back, I knew he had the mental toughness to do it. His team has let him down in the past. Now that the team and coaches are doing their part I don’t believe Alex will let us down!!! He’s a winner.

by texasniner31 on Jan 6, 2012 8:15 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

I'm tellin' ya...

movie script in the making here.

Make it so.

by Ranger10 on Jan 7, 2012 7:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Haha!

I love this! Epic if it happened! Go 49ers!

Let's giggity giggity Go 49ers!!!

by Kittles on Jan 6, 2012 9:38 PM PST via Android app up reply actions  

Haha!

I love this! Epic if it happened! Go 49ers!

Let's giggity giggity Go 49ers!!!

by Kittles on Jan 6, 2012 9:40 PM PST via Android app up reply actions  

I see...

Bengals, Saints, Giants, Broncos.

I don’t think Yates gets it done. I think Dalton does. And I think the Broncos have enough defense to stop a hobbled Rothlisberger. Brees is Brees but the Lions do something worthy of a hefty fine. And the Falcons continue to be wildly inconsistent.

by smathis on Jan 6, 2012 6:14 PM PST reply actions  

Upset Special: Falcons over NYG

Every other game meets odds.

Agent Dunham....Walternate testified that in his universe, AleX Smith is a pro-bowl QB for the Saints, and broke Trent Dilfer's season record of 6000 yards passing. Walter....Thats nice, more LSD please.

by scrappydog on Jan 6, 2012 6:26 PM PST reply actions  

special?

The line is at 3 for the home team…I would think the Bengals upset is more likely though.

by baumannm2209 on Jan 6, 2012 6:32 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Saints and Steelers easy. Giants and Bengals close.

"It's impossible to hide the fire inside" - Bob Seger

by Jaxson876 on Jan 6, 2012 6:35 PM PST reply actions  

Suprised you went Broncos

Bengals, Saints, Giants, Steelers

by mrg80 on Jan 6, 2012 6:40 PM PST reply actions  

I don't get it either

I just can’t see any scenario where Denver can move the ball against Pittsburgh. There’s a reason why The Sterlers are a 9 point favorite at Denver. Low scoring easy win for Pittsburgh.

"It's impossible to hide the fire inside" - Bob Seger

by Jaxson876 on Jan 6, 2012 6:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Ben will probably hit a couple home runs, that D isn't all that

But yeah, they stack the box and stop Denver’s run game

by mrg80 on Jan 6, 2012 7:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Just hard for me to imagine Tim Tebow beating the Pittsburgh Steelers. Even sounds funny.

"It's impossible to hide the fire inside" - Bob Seger

by Jaxson876 on Jan 6, 2012 7:55 PM PST up reply actions  

injuries

I think the Steelers are sufficiently banged up that it is possible. Not a guarantee, but possible.

by David Fucillo on Jan 6, 2012 10:28 PM PST up reply actions  

And I'd assume there's a little anti-Steeler fandom in your prediction?

I know I’ll be rooting hard for the Broncos. Still, I think the only way they can put up enough points is to get some sort of D/ST touchdown. To make things close. I’m hoping for a sack-fumble-TD return.

by Rhombus on Jan 7, 2012 9:22 AM PST up reply actions  

not really anti-Steelers

I legitimately think they’ve got some big issues heading into this game. Of course, now they’ll win by 20.

by David Fucillo on Jan 7, 2012 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

So now the list goes:

Dilfer, Bayless, and George.

(Actually I bet Bayless is picking Tebow to beat the Niners in the SB)

Over

by cybermaldonado on Jan 6, 2012 10:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Bayless likes to go against public opinion just for the sake of it.

I wouldn’t put much stock in what he says. For what it’s worth, he has actually been a Niners supporter for the whole season. I remember him talking about how the Niners were one of the few teams that could stand up to Green Bay during their insane run. Still, I don’t take football analysis from an avid Tebow supporter.

by Rhombus on Jan 7, 2012 9:24 AM PST up reply actions  

I watched the yahoo sports SB picks with him, it was actually very well-informed.

Efficient QB play, dominant defense, special teams. Cites cold weather conditions in January as conducive to that style of play, and the fact that at some point Aaron Rodgers will have to rely on the run game to have some sort of success in the playoffs. The only thing that scares me is the Saints’ ability to run the ball, although they didn’t really cover the Saints.

by Rhombus on Jan 7, 2012 9:39 AM PST up reply actions  

Funny to see Niners fans pick against Texans, that defense is Superbowl good.

"What the hell are you mixing in that look-aid"

by rlott#42 on Jan 6, 2012 8:48 PM PST reply actions  

Cincinnati's offense

They are pretty good, and Houston is injured all over on offense. This game all depends on the Bengals d

by texasniner31 on Jan 6, 2012 9:07 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

3 straight losses

To Carolina, Indy and Tennessee…just shocking that we think they could lose to a team with a winning record eh?

by mrg80 on Jan 7, 2012 2:01 AM PST up reply actions  

I do not believe Yates will win

Yates will be good in the future. It’salot to ask for him to step in again Marv Lewis and this Bengals defense and be efficient enouph for a W.
Bengals, Saints,Steelers, Giants.
2nd round. Patriots vs Steelers-49ers vs. Saints-Bengals vs. Ravens-Packers vs. G-Men
Picks in 2nd round/ Steelers, 49ers, Ravens, Packers
3rd rd . SF @ GB. PIT@ BAL
picks in 3rd and Conference champs SF vs BAL in the first ever HARBOWL.
49ers will have Frank Gore healthy, and get revenge for the Thanksgiving loss. 49ers become Super Bowl CHAMPIONS!!!!

by STELF BOMBZ on Jan 7, 2012 1:54 AM PST reply actions  

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