Alex Smith Stat prediction Contest, Divisional Playoff Round
by Pat Willie on Jan 9, 2012 11:17 PM PST
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PrintNext up Saints! I don't expect this to be the typical game for Alex, so there is a good chance for a shake up here. People could end up losing points. I'm changing the Sacks to 50 points each so they don't end up dictating the winners instead of enhancing the winners.
This contest is open to all who care to join and the prize is bragging rights. The system is set up as follows:
Attempts-------26
Completions----14
Passing Yards--179
Touchdowns-----0
Interceptions--0
Sacks----------2
Each player starts with 150 points.
Each Attempt you are off by, you lose a point.
Each Completion you are off by, you lose a point.
Each Yard you are off by you lose a point.
Touchdowns and Interceptions are worth 50 points each.
Rushing touchdowns count, if Alex runs it in.
If you guess 2 touchdowns or interceptions and he throws 2 you get 100 points. If you guess 2 and he throws 0 you lose 100 points. Likewise if you guess 0 and he throws 2 you also lose 100. Unfortunately if you guess 0 and he throws 0 you gain nothing.
It's the risk you take with Alex.
Sacks are bonus points. If you guess the correct amount of sacks you get 50 points, you can't lose points on sacks.
If anyone wants to give it a try against the Saints this weekend relpy in the format above. I'll post the scores next week. If there is still participation, I'll keep it going until the post-season is over for us. I'll post weekly and accumulated results so you can compare your results to the rest of us.
Good Luck, and GO NINERS! Go Alex!
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.
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Attempts: 34
Completions: 21
Passing Yards: 219
Touchdowns: 1
Interceptions: 0
Sacks: 3
French fries are really Belgian, sausages and bagels have the same amount of protein, two countries' names mean "turkey", and Santa Claus was invented by the Coca-Cola company. Is life weird or what?
Debe ser verde y volante - Πράσινο και να πετάει - It's gotta be green and it's gotta fly!
...!!
Attempts———-31
Completions——21
Passing Yards—231
Touchdowns——3
Interceptions—0
Sacks—————3
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
Thinkin" , I won this one ...!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
Niners win
Attempts———-36
Completions——22
Passing Yards—265
Touchdowns——-3
Interceptions—1
Sacks—————4
Gore + Hunter rush for 190
ttempts———-32
Completions——23
Passing Yards—245
Touchdowns——-2
Interceptions—0
Sacks—————3
NFL is behind Smith on this one - a Rodgers-Smith NFC Championship game is worth too much money
Attempts -———- 30
Completions -— 20
Passing Yards - 234— 2
Touchdowns -
Interceptions -- 1
Sacks -————- 4
random strike through
Attempts ——— 30
Completions — 20 1
Passing Yards – 234
Touchdowns -— 2
Interceptions -
Sacks ———— 4
this site has a mind of its own, third time's a charm
Attempts -——— 30
Completions -- 20
Passing Yards – 234
Touchdowns - 2
Interceptions - 1
Sacks -————- 4
Brees prediction ...!!
Attempts———-59
Completions——1
Passing Yards— -179
Touchdowns——-0
Interceptions—12
Sacks—————40
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
by Edggy on Jan 10, 2012 9:55 AM PST reply actions 3 recs
I like the way the one completion goes for -179 yards
Do you figure Meachem is going to catch it and try to run back to New Orleans?
A pie can be divided into many pieces. For MOST people the goal is to get as many pieces of that pie as possible. It is my goal to eat the WHOLE pie.
Those aren't yards... they are miles
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Well ,it's simple math , 40 sacks 4.1 yards loss per sack will give you a negative number ...!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
That doesn't affect passing yards, does it?
A pie can be divided into many pieces. For MOST people the goal is to get as many pieces of that pie as possible. It is my goal to eat the WHOLE pie.
Net vs. Gross passing yards was never specified!
Net PY (and advanced stats) often include sacks! I am going to allow it!
[Poorly Wrought THING] is what Brian Sabean would have made if he were a [THING-maker] instead of a MLB GM
I'm trying to keep it simple...
I want to just include passing yardage. If i am getting it wrong let me know please.
"When they pull the chains off, I’ll come back just as strong as when I left, if not better" - 52
WTH why the strikeouts?!?!
Comp. —21
Yds. —143
by Chaotic9erFan on Jan 10, 2012 10:34 AM PST up reply actions
my guess
Attempts - 32
Completions - 23
Passing Yards - 224
Touchdowns - 2
Interceptions - 1
Sacks - 3
Maslow's theory of higher needs does not apply to Patrick Willis. He only has two needs: tackling people and finding people to tackle.
Attempts———-40
Completions——22
Passing Yards—225
Touchdowns——-1
Interceptions—3
Sacks—————3
[Poorly Wrought THING] is what Brian Sabean would have made if he were a [THING-maker] instead of a MLB GM
hasn't had to play
catch up all year (except Philly game)…
I am just being a Debbie Downer any how!
[Poorly Wrought THING] is what Brian Sabean would have made if he were a [THING-maker] instead of a MLB GM
Show time
Attempts———-34
Completions——24
Passing Yards—228
Touchdowns——-2
Interceptions—0
Sacks—————3
Attempts———-31
Completions——22
Passing Yards—268
Touchdowns——-2
Interceptions—0
Sacks—————2
by Critical Roach on Jan 10, 2012 11:20 AM PST reply actions
Alex
Attempts———-34
Completions——19
Passing Yards—214
Touchdowns——-2
Interceptions—1
Sacks—————3
49er faithful since July 11, 1985
Att. 24
Comp. 21
Yards 278
3 TD
0 Ints
2 sacks
I’m hoping for a win it’ll need to be close.
Longest reception K Williams 60 yard TD
"What the hell are you mixing in that look-aid"
Wow , are you bi-polar , because your prediction doesn't stem much from mine ...!!
I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!
lol he just wanted that
Kool-Aid slurper of the year 2nd place trophy.
Maslow's theory of higher needs does not apply to Patrick Willis. He only has two needs: tackling people and finding people to tackle.
Attempts———-30
Completions——20
Passing Yards—265
Touchdowns——-1
Interceptions—3
Sacks—————5
"And thank you to God for making me an Atheist." - Ricky Gervais
by MichaelClutchtree on Jan 10, 2012 8:19 PM PST reply actions
Wow, you are giving him 265 yards!
It’s about time you jumped on the bandwagon. /sarcasm
Joe, Jerry, Steve, and....Who is next?
i know right? that would be his 3rd highest game of the season!
"And thank you to God for making me an Atheist." - Ricky Gervais
by MichaelClutchtree on Jan 10, 2012 10:24 PM PST up reply actions
I really wouldn’t like to but I just think that in a game like I assume this will be, he’ll have to throw the ball a lot more and differently than normal, like you know, not as many dumpoffs
"And thank you to God for making me an Atheist." - Ricky Gervais
by MichaelClutchtree on Jan 11, 2012 8:54 AM PST up reply actions
You underestimate Alex as bad as they do
No way he throws 3 interceptions
"When they pull the chains off, I’ll come back just as strong as when I left, if not better" - 52
god forbid
the Saints are winning a blowout, I think he could easily throw 3 or more. I mean, it’s the PLAYOFFS.
I don’t really PREDICT a blowout… but it not out of the realm of possibility. We have argued numerous times that the Saints O has not faced a D as good as ours… (except possibly Houston) true, but our D has not faced an offense as good as theirs!
We did well enough against second tier good-not-great offenses (Lions, Giants, Cowboys, Bengals — also Steelers, BUT they were clearly hobbled by Ben’s mobility. NO/GB/NE passing offenses are roughly TWICE as efficient as these other good offenses.
[Poorly Wrought THING] is what Brian Sabean would have made if he were a [THING-maker] instead of a MLB GM
Gregg Williams tried that crap last MNF game.
Guess how many INT’s Smith threw? 0
Now there may be 1… but 2 would a be a freak type of deal… at least based off of our style of football.
Only way he gets 3 is if somehow the Saints are beating us like 25+ points in the first half and he is forced to pass and pass and pass. But I just don’t see their defense being all that good. Their DB’s can’t catch the ball very well.
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Correction:
He actually had 2 INT’s in the last game: 2 INT’s and 1 TD…. so my bad. Still, I think three is pretty far out there. Especially with the confidence he has gained through the course of the season.
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The Hometown Fan
I was looking at sacks... he wasn't sacked at all.
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I’d like to edit something here if I can
One of the INTs will be off a dropped pass/deflected pass from a receiver
"And thank you to God for making me an Atheist." - Ricky Gervais
by MichaelClutchtree on Jan 11, 2012 8:55 AM PST up reply actions
Wasn't expecting that rushing TD... Not a bad prediction on my part though...
WAAAAAAY off on the sacks though… Thought he’s get the ball out quicker off those all out blitzes…
it's niner time
att 25
comp 17
p/y 235
td 2
int 0
sacks 1
Alex Smith vs. Saints 2010:
Attempts———-32
Completions——23
Passing Yards—275
Touchdowns——-1
Interceptions—2
Sacks—————0
"When they pull the chains off, I’ll come back just as strong as when I left, if not better" - 52
my picks
Attempts———-29
Completions——22
Passing Yards—215
Touchdowns——-2
Interceptions—
Sacks—————4
vsSaints
Attempts: 32
Completions: 24
Passing Yards: 289
Touchdowns: 4
Interceptions: 0
Sacks: 2
I like it...
"When they pull the chains off, I’ll come back just as strong as when I left, if not better" - 52
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