FanPost

A Look at Tiebreakers: Week 7

How do we stack up against the rest of the division as far as tiebreakers go? What do we need to do to ensure at least a wild card spot? Other than win out, I mean. That's what I decided to find out.

I broke up the schedules of the four teams into NFC West, NFC North, AFC East and the non-common NFC games. Taking a look here we see who's falling behind and who's ahead when it comes to tiebreakers.

For anyone who doesn't know, the first four tiebreakers are:

  1. Head-to-head
  2. Division record
  3. Common record
  4. Conference record

OVERALL RECORD

San Francisco: 5 - 2

Arizona: 4 - 3

Seattle: 4 - 3

St. Louis: 3 - 4

After this weekend, the 49ers stand alone atop the NFC West with a one-game lead on the Cards and Hawks and a two-game lead over the Rams. Tiebreakers seem less important suddenly. In the Wild Card race, Arizona has the advantage over Seattle in the first tiebreaker. The first tiebreaker is also a disadvantage for us in playoff seeding. The Giants are currently leading the NFC East at 5-2 and if it stays like this they get the better seed over us.

DIVISION GAMES

St. Louis: 2 - 0, v.SEA(W), v.ARI(W), @SF, @ARI, v.SF, @SEA

San Francisco: 1 - 0, v.SEA(W), @ARI, v.STL, @STL, @SEA, v.ARI

Arizona: 1 - 1, v.SEA(W), @STL, v.SF, v.STL, @SEA, @SF

Seattle: 0 - 3, @ARI, @STL, @SF, v.ARI, v.SF, v.STL

One down, five to go. San Francisco has cut into the St. Louis' early lead. Seattle on the other hand has to win out to even pretend to have a chance at forcing the next tiebreaker.

NFCN GAMES

Seattle: 1 - 0, v.GB(W), @DET, v.MIN, @CHI

San Francisco: 2 - 1, @GB(W), v.DET(W), @MIN, v.CHI

Arizona: 0 - 1, @MIN, @GB, v.DET, v.CHI

St. Louis: 0 - 3, @DET, @CHI, v.GB, v.MIN

No change for the top two teams in this category this week. St. Louis seems to have no mojo at all when it comes to the NFC North teams. At this point, does anyone expect Minnesota to be a pushover either? I told them it was must-win but I guess they didn't hear me. Arizona needs answers on its offensive line against a division stacked with pass rushing talent to avoid being in the same boat as the Rams. Seattle's at Detroit next. Unless Coach Harbaugh's words have any lasting effects on the officials, the Lions receivers will be next to worthless all game. They were already next to worthless last night against the Bears cornerbacks. I see Seattle splitting these games. A win against Chicago would sure be nice for the Niners.

AFCE GAMES

San Francisco: 2 - 0, @NYJ(W), v.BUF(W), v.MIA, @NE

Seattle: 1 - 0, v.NE(W), v.NYJ, @MIA, @BUF

Arizona: 2 - 1, @NE(W), v.MIA(W), v.BUF, @NYJ

St. Louis: 0 - 1, @MIA, v.NE, v.NYJ, @BUF

Nothing new here. The Rams get their second AFC East game next week versus a Pats team that's better than their record implies. That being said, I would love it if New England went 0-4 against the NFC West this season. It would be a little slice of redemption that I'm sad to say probably won't happen. Plus, I just plain don't like the Patriots.

COMMON GAMES RECORD

San Francisco: 5 - 1

Arizona: 3 - 3

Seattle: 2 - 3

St. Louis: 2 - 4

San Francisco stays at 5-1 here from last week despite their win over Seattle because they were actually 4-1 last week and I did my math wrong. Put the cart before the horse there. Why didn't anyone else catch that and call me out? I'm relying on you people; I'm a moron.

NON-COMMON GAMES

Seattle: 2 - 0, v.DAL(W), @CAR(W)

Arizona: 1 - 0, v.PHI(W), @ATL

St. Louis: 1 - 0, v.WAS(W), @TB

San Francisco: 0 - 1, v.NYG, @NO

Same as last week here. The 49ers still need to beat the Saints to keep up. Seattle's still sitting pretty at 2-0.

CONFERENCE RECORD

San Francisco: 3 - 2

Arizona: 2 - 2

Seattle: 3 - 3

St. Louis: 3 - 3

The fourth tiebreaker has shaken up some since last week. The Niners are now on top while everyone else drops back to .500. What does that mean? St. Louis is great against division foes and lousy against everyone else. Seattle is exactly the opposite.

The "if it all ended right now" picture from NFL.com and ESPN.com has gone through some major changes since last week. San Francisco vaulted past both Arizona and Seattle for a playoff spot and both those teams fell out of the playoffs altogether, edged out of the wildcard race by Minnesota and Green Bay completing a three-team NFC North playoff picture. That's quite a difference from the three-team NFC West playoff picture we saw just two weeks ago. Due to the head-to-head tiebreaker I mentioned earlier, the Giants have the #3 seed over us. Wild card round? A MIN vs. SF rematch at the 'Stick.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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