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Super Bowl Round Prediction Games Results

All hail our two new prediction champions. Ya, we ended up with two. Both ended up with the same raw score for their Super Bowl prediction and neither submitted a tiebreaker. I am not one to parse intent like a Constitutional scholar when no clarity on the rule(s) exists, therefore I have named both Stupifyed and Str8Balr winners. Congrats for winning the Prediction Contest. All of us look forward to the awkward dual acceptance speech.

Also a congratulations to our BIT winner leaping_larry. No playoff birth this year but he got his revenge in the playoffs. Also honorable mention again to manraj7 for winning the regular season although the competition committee has vowed to never let that happen again.

Sorry the late results, scheduled myself four times to get this done and each time a bit of emergency came up. Glad to finally have this pseudo-jinx post off my back.

Star-divide

Playoffs

Super Bowl Round Scoring Recap

New York Giants @ New England Patriots

  1. Stupifyed, Str8Balr (20)

Super Bowl Round Results

Rank Screen Name Points
1. Str8Balr 5
1. Stupifyed 5
3. AKinferno 0
3. howtheyscored 0

Super Bowl Round Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

Screen Name NYG NE s/p tot
howtheyscored 27 34 -/-
Stupifyed 31 26 20/5 5
AKinferno 27 30 -/-
Str8Balr 29 27 20/5 5

BIT Results

Super Bowl Round Scoring Recap

New York Giants @ New England Patriots

  1. 49erLou, grantmp, manraj7 (6)
  2. Ni9er (8)
  3. kailuakid9er, J2daZ, mikeinsp, leaping_larry (12)
  4. Only In Fairfax (14)
  5. these3words, wjackalope (18)

Super Bowl Round Leader Board

Rank Screen Name Points WCW DRW CRW SB
1. leaping_larry 20 4 10 3 3
2. grantmp 18 7 4 2 5
2. howtheyscored 18 8 8 2 0
4. Stupifyed 16 5 7 4 0
4. itsAteamGAME 16 6 10
6. ZacharyD 15 7 8 0
6. Str8Balr 15 7 4 4 0
8. maraman 14 14
9. 49erLou 13 2 1 5 5
10. groug 12 3 6 3 0
10. illini49er 12 1 8 3
10. bayboy 12 4 7 1 0
13. jbrown63 11 5 6 0
14. mcwagner 10 5 5 0
14. AKinferno 10 2 5 3 0
16. SharksFanEst.1994 9 9
16. Ninerfromacrossthepond 9 4 0 5
16. McTee 9 2 7 0
16. Mo9er 9 1 8 0 0
16. MATTCW 9 9 0
16. Beamer1960 9 3 3 3
16. ZeroIndulgence 9 0 4 5
16. wjackalope 9 3 3 2 1
16. dlh 9 6 3
25. lincypoo i wuv u 8 0 5 3
25. David Fucillo 8 8 0 0
25. Ten-Man 8 3 5 0 0
25. reedkrase 8 0 8 0
29. Rossalex 7 1 6 0
29. crevis1987 7 7
29. SportsChicken 7 5 2 0
29. teekay 7 1 6
29. PHUT! 7 1 6 0 0
29. Takeo33 7 4 3 0
29. mikeinsp 7 0 4 0 3
36. cmesd 6 6
36. these3words 6 0 0 5 1
36. madmatt 6 6
36. neder 6 2 4 0
36. SpurredOn 6 4 2 0
41. J2daZ 5 1 1 0 3
41. manraj7 5 0 0 0 5
41. bignerd 5 1 4 0
44. PNK 4 4
44. bakoninerfan 4 2 2 0
44. shahbazi3 4 4
44. beecharmer 4 1 3 0 0
44. benna11 4 1 3
44. Ni9er 4 0 0 0 4
50. urnext 3 3
50. AK49e 3 3 0
50. libra45 3 3 0 0
50. kailuakid9er 3 3
50. mpotter14 3 3
50. whistlingmountain 3 3
50. BangingHebrew 3 3
50. djfivenine 3 3 0
50. Rabbit T 3 0 3 0 0
50. Red&Gold 3 3
60. Grumps 2 2
60. Only In Fairfax 2 2
60. red49crc 2 2
63. nostocksjustbonds 1 1 0 0
63. Edggy 1 0 1 0 0

Super Bowl Round Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

Screen Name NYG NE s/p tot
DAD OF VLAD 35 45 -/-
PHUT! 31 27 20/-
SH0ck-D 6 114 -/-
Regulus 34 20 26/-
49erLou 24 20 6/5 5
kailuakid9er 27 23 12/3 3
groug 20 23 -/-
ak4niner 34 31 28/-
Ni9er 23 13 8/4 4
J2daZ 26 23 12/3 3
howtheyscored 27 34 -/-
mikeinsp 27 20 12/3 3
Ten-Man 24 31 -/-
these3words 28 26 18/1 1
Edggy 23 31 -/-
grantmp 24 20 6/5 5
bayboy 31 34 -/-
Stupifyed 31 26 20/-
10forTech 36 34 34/-
mtl9ers14 28 38 -/-
Mo9er 28 41 -/-
leaping_larry 27 23 12/3 3
nostocksjustbonds 21 28 -/-
Rabbit T 27 31 -/-
Only In Fairfax 27 24 14/2 2
manraj7 24 17 6/5 5
wjackalope 28 26 18/1 1
David Fucillo 41 37 40/-
AKinferno 27 30 -/-
Str8Balr 29 27 20/-
beecharmer 20 24 -/-

Scoring Explained

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost, it does reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. It does not reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is more important than the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. Any contradictory disclaimers below this one are bold face lies and should be ignored.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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Championship Speech.

As a first year participant & newly crowned champion, I would like to thank beginners luck and all of the Tebowites who surround me out here in the mile high city. Secondly, I would like to thank the niners nation members and our beloved 49ers for an honestly unexpected successful season that no experts predicted. Lastly, as a lifelong niners fan, I’m glad the packers didn’t win the superbowl and neither did the patriots. Oh, shout out to the niners D! for being the backbone of the team. Always Faithful.

by Str8Balr on Feb 12, 2012 11:59 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

F the Giants

next year 16-0 for the Niners

Forget Tebow
Andy Lee is the second coming of Jesus
-ME

by DAD OF VLAD on Feb 13, 2012 9:44 AM PST reply actions  

Grats to Sr8Balr and thank you Ninersnation for the great season.

Well it was fun while it lasted I must say it made each week that much more fun.
Thank you all for the opportunity it sure was fun.

by Stupifyed on Feb 13, 2012 9:45 AM PST reply actions  

My playoffs were pretty much exactly like the Patriots’.

Once more, coming to you by proxy.

by howtheyscored on Feb 13, 2012 9:55 AM PST reply actions  

except

for the sleeping with Giselle part, AMIRITE?

If you don't like Brandon Medders you're not a true fan.

by wjackalope on Feb 13, 2012 11:32 AM PST up reply actions  

You are right.

Once more, coming to you by proxy.

by howtheyscored on Feb 13, 2012 7:23 PM PST up reply actions  

I sucked it up once again

Giving you all the 49ers info you need at the San Francisco 49ers Examiner

That's my site. Check it out!

by PHUT! on Feb 13, 2012 11:18 AM PST reply actions  

well at least I got a point in the last round

and Howie didn’t, so I’ll hold on to that for the offseason.

Next year kids, next year.

If you don't like Brandon Medders you're not a true fan.

by wjackalope on Feb 13, 2012 11:32 AM PST reply actions  

gahh

Champion last year and barely finished in the top 10 of the B.I.T this year. Oh how the mighty have fallen. Good work as always bignerd

"Cruelty, It’s not giving another person what they want. That’s our mindset on defense, to go out and play with everything we have and not give the other team anything." -Patrick Willis

by 49erLou on Feb 13, 2012 11:36 AM PST reply actions  

yes

thanks bignerd for all the hard work.

If you don't like Brandon Medders you're not a true fan.

by wjackalope on Feb 13, 2012 12:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Kudos Bignerd nicely done ...!!

I'm your " Huckelberry "...it's just my game ..( .AleX ) was asked , what do you think about all the game manager talk ... AleX i guess i just managed myself a VIctory ... Extend the Man ...!!

by Edggy on Feb 13, 2012 3:36 PM PST reply actions  

Okay, so I don't know how many people saw this last time

but I really think we should change the scoring system. Just add together how far off you were on each team’s score and that’s your raw score. Much more simple and logical than the complex equation we have now that always results in an even number and creates nonsensical ties.

Is there an argument against this?

We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.

by these3words on Feb 14, 2012 2:28 PM PST reply actions  

Really, it’s bignerd’s call.

I’ve always liked the current system (and why not? I came up with it). The math takes a second to get wrapped around because there are a few steps involved, but the principles are extraordinarily simple: Get close on point differential, get close on point totals, pick the right winner. Explaining the math could be a hassle, admittedly. I certainly would not complain about a simplified system that did the same things, and I would certainly not fight a different system that bignerd endorsed (no promises on the complaining for that one, though). But it is his baby now, so his vote is the only one I think should ultimately count.

Once more, coming to you by proxy.

by howtheyscored on Feb 14, 2012 9:02 PM PST up reply actions  

I can see how the current formula was constructed.

It’s obviously based on gambling concepts such as the point spread and over/under, but by combining the two ideas we ended up with a formula that has the unintended consequence of ranking people solely by which score they got most wrong, while ignoring the other half of their prediction entirely.

Let me ask you this: if I predict a score of 31-20, someone else predicts a score of 28-20, and the actual score is 31-16, should that really be a tie? We were both equally wrong on the home team’s score, but one of us got the road team’s score perfect while the other got it 3 points off. How should that be a tie? What is so important about the combined point total that we should let it throw out half of each prediction?

We don't need 8 in the box. We have 52 in the box.

by these3words on Feb 16, 2012 11:08 AM PST up reply actions  

I see what you’re saying and you’re really just interested in something I wasn’t when I made up the game. I didn’t base the scoring off of gambling concepts, by the way. It just so happens that there are gambling concepts that matched. For me, the whole prediction was one big unit. It wasn’t two parts that you tried to get close to individually. It was one big thing that you tried to get close to as one big thing.

A one-big-gamescore has three parts. If I told you a point differential and a point total and a winner, there would only ever be one possible score to match it (so long as it was mathematically possible—no 12 PD, 3 PT impossible stuff). Like, if I say in some hypothetical game that the 49ers beat the Rams, PD 8, PT 50, the ONLY score that game could POSSIBLY have is 21-29 49ers. The way I conceived the game, you’re not throwing out half of the prediction. You’re looking at the prediction holistically, trying to get as close to the complete result rather than getting as close to each individual team.

HOWEVER: It’s all philosophy. To me, the one big unit was the most important thing. To you, it makes more sense to look at each part with greater individual scrutiny. Honestly, I think both are fair. I do prefer the one, but I definitely see the merit in the other.

And, of course, it’s not my call. You’ve certainly made more than a fair case, fwiw.

Once more, coming to you by proxy.

by howtheyscored on Feb 16, 2012 6:17 PM PST up reply actions  

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