How well do you know the 49ers quarterback? Two weeks into the game, we have two leaders tied atop the leaderboard: rlott#42 and YellowMelonCust at 9.78, with plenty of competition within spitting distance. Last week's results and the season-to-date leaderboard can be found at the bottom of the post.

For everyone else, this week is another opportunity to venture a prediction and potentially claim the lead.

The rules are simple. Guess Alex Smith's passing stat line for the upcoming game (49ers at Vikings) using the following format in the comments below.

Attempts:
Completions:
Yards:
TDs:
INTs:
Sacks:
Rushing Yards (Optional):
Rushing TDs (Optional):

Feel free to revise your numbers all the way up to game time. I'll use only the most recent guess. If you want to update your numbers, please reply to your original comment with the revised guess.

NOTE: Although I'm not currently scoring rushing stats (yards and TDs), I'm considering doing something with them at some point. For now, if you'd like to add rushing stats to your guess, please do. I'll highlight the person with the closest rushing predictions in the results column.

Scoring:

The scoring is based on a 6-point system, with each of the following metrics accounting for a point: Attempts, Completion % (calculated from Cmp/Att numbers), Yards, TDs, INTs, and Sacks. It's a bit dry, but for the curious, here is how each of the metrics are scored:

Attempts: 1 - Min(1, Abs(ActualAtt - AttGuessed) / 12)

Completion %: 1 - Min(1, Abs(ActualComp% - (CompGuessed/AttGuessed * 100)) / 15)

Yards: 1 - Min(1, Abs(ActualYards - YardsGuessed) / 100)

TDs: 1 - Min(1, Abs(ActualTDs - TDsGuessed) / 3)

INTs: 1 - Min(1, Abs(ActualINTs - INTsGuessed) / 3)

Sacks: 1 - Min(1, Abs(ActualSacks - SacksGuessed) / 5)

The six scoring categories are added up to produce a composite score. The maximum that can be scored is 6 points; the minimum is 0. I'll keep a running leaderboard throughout the season, along with posting the weekly results.

WEEK TWO RESULTS

For the second week in a row, I was certain YellowMelonCust would claim the top spot in the weekly leaderboard, but the scoring rubric decided otherwise. YellowMelonCust is still sitting pretty, though, tied for #1 at the top of the season-to-date leaderboard.

Bragging rights for this week belong to Desert Dog Runner, who was almost dead on, aside from predicting an INT. That single blemish wasn't enough to bring his score down enough for me to take the lead from my #2 spot, alas. rlott#42 finished in third, with newcomers (to the game) reedkrase and driddo5k rounding out the top five.

Here is what Alex Smith's week against the Lions looked like:

Att	Comp	Comp %	Yds	TDs	INTs	Sacks	Rush Yds	Rush TDs
31	20	64.5	226	2	0	3	7	0

And here are the Week Two rankings:

Rank	User	Att	Comp	Comp %	Yds	TDs	INTs	Sacks	A	B	C	D	E	F	Score
1	Desert Dog Runner	28	18	64.3%	226	2	1	3	0.75	0.99	1	1	0.67	1	5.41
2	Katydid	29	19	65.5%	250	2	0	4	0.83	0.93	0.76	1	1	0.8	5.32
3	rlott#42	33	21	63.6%	223	2	1	4	0.83	0.94	0.97	1	0.67	0.8	5.21
4	driddo5k	30	19	63.3%	189	1	0	3	0.92	0.92	0.63	0.67	1	1	5.14
5	reedkrase	29	21	72.4%	250	2	0	3	0.83	0.47	0.76	1	1	1	5.06
6	Stupifyed	29	19	65.5%	266	3	0	3	0.83	0.93	0.6	0.67	1	1	5.03
7	YellowMelonCust	28	21	75.0%	222	2	0	3	0.75	0.3	0.96	1	1	1	5.01
8	Aaron Emerson	31	24	77.4%	245	2	0	3	1	0.14	0.81	1	1	1	4.95
9	The RealFakename	33	24	72.7%	260	2	0	3	0.83	0.45	0.66	1	1	1	4.94
10	Drew Kerr	33	22	66.7%	242	2	1	5	0.83	0.85	0.84	1	0.67	0.6	4.79
11	oldfoggy	31	18	58.1%	279	3	0	3	1	0.57	0.47	0.67	1	1	4.71
12	Delmuir	27	20	74.1%	223	1	0	3	0.67	0.36	0.97	0.67	1	1	4.67
13	49erLou	32	23	71.9%	289	2	0	4	0.92	0.51	0.37	1	1	0.8	4.6
14	whistlingmountain	24	17	70.8%	205	2	0	4	0.42	0.58	0.79	1	1	0.8	4.59
15	Rhardin	22	16	72.7%	247	2	0	3	0.25	0.45	0.79	1	1	1	4.49
16	bradyk2	28	21	75.0%	268	2	0	4	0.75	0.3	0.58	1	1	0.8	4.43
17	AzNiner	33	24	72.7%	289	3	0	3	0.83	0.45	0.37	0.67	1	1	4.32
18	Fred.P.Soft	30	24	80.0%	255	3	0	3	0.92	0	0.71	0.67	1	1	4.3
19	MRandolph	31	22	71.0%	267	3	1	4	1	0.57	0.59	0.67	0.67	0.8	4.3
20	sik49er	29	23	79.3%	249	3	0	3	0.83	0.01	0.77	0.67	1	1	4.28
21	San Fran Niners	35	24	68.6%	310	3	0	3	0.67	0.73	0.16	0.67	1	1	4.23
22	Edggy	33	27	81.8%	287	2	0	3	0.83	0	0.39	1	1	1	4.22
23	JDilla415	29	23	79.3%	280	3	0	3	0.83	0.01	0.46	0.67	1	1	3.97
24	SH0ck-D	27	19	70.4%	265	3	1	5	0.67	0.61	0.61	0.67	0.67	0.6	3.83
25	Ni9er	36	24	66.7%	300	4	0	2	0.58	0.85	0.26	0.33	1	0.8	3.82
26	liberty_JAC	23	18	78.3%	288	3	0	2	0.33	0.08	0.38	0.67	1	0.8	3.26
27	sanluisobispo49ers	26	22	84.6%	310	3	1	3	0.58	0	0.16	0.67	0.67	1	3.08
-	Average	30	21	70.0%	259	2	0	3	0.92	0.63	0.67	1	1	1	5.22

General Musings

Collectively, the group did much better than most of the individuals. When all the predictions were averaged, the (rounded) results ended up scoring well enough to steal the #3 ranking, if I included the average in the rankings.

We were less wildly optimistic overall this week, which helped the average score. Interestingly, Alex Smith's high completion percentage prompted quite a few participants to up their accuracy predictions. Thanks to several drops, the accuracy "optimists" suffered this week. Completion percentage was the category that gave everyone the most difficulty and hurt overall scores the most.

Rushing yards this week were skewed by the holding penalty, along with the kneeldowns. Counting kneeldowns, Stupifyed came within 1 yard of Alex's rushing total with a prediction of 8 yards. Ignoring the 3 kneeldowns, driddo5k came closest with a prediction of 11 yards.

Season-to-Date Leaderboard

Rank	Name	Week 01	Week 02	Total
1 (T)	rlott#42	4.57	5.21	9.78
1 (T)	YellowMelonCust	4.77	5.01	9.78
3	Desert Dog Runner	3.99	5.41	9.40
4	Katydid	4.07	5.32	9.39
5	Average	4.16	5.22	9.38
6	The RealFakename	4.28	4.94	9.22
7	Aaron Emerson	4.26	4.95	9.21
8	AzNiner	4.48	4.32	8.80
9	sik49er	4.45	4.28	8.73
10	MRandolph	4.42	4.30	8.72
11	49erLou	3.65	4.60	8.25
12	Fred.P.Soft	3.84	4.30	8.14
13	bradyk2	3.47	4.43	7.90
14	whistlingmountain	3.24	4.59	7.83
15	Drew Kerr	2.81	4.79	7.60
16	Stupifyed	2.37	5.03	7.40
17	SH0ck-D	3.50	3.83	7.33
18	Ni9er	3.44	3.82	7.26
19	liberty_JAC	3.46	3.26	6.72
20	Touchdown.....LaMichael James!!!	5.15	0.00	5.15
21	driddo5k	0.00	5.14	5.14
22	reedkrase	0.00	5.06	5.06
23	16to80fan	4.86	0.00	4.86
24	Bravedown50	4.84	0.00	4.84
25	oldfoggy	0.00	4.71	4.71
26	Delmuir	0.00	4.61	4.61
27	mrg80	4.54	0.00	4.54
28	Rhardin	0.00	4.49	4.49
29	San Fran Niners	0.00	4.23	4.23
30	Edggy	0.00	4.22	4.22
31	ak4niner	3.97	0.00	3.97
32	JDilla415	0.00	3.97	3.97
33	leaping_larry	3.95	0.00	3.95
34	msclemons67	3.77	0.00	3.77
35	Naguabo	3.72	0.00	3.72
36	Dilon	3.59	0.00	3.59
37	riderless	3.31	0.00	3.31
38	sanluisobispo49ers	0.00	3.08	3.08
39	danknerd49	1.67	0.00	1.67