FanPost

Week 17 Prediction Games: bigBrad-Y2K Nerd

Whew, that was close. Took me forever to dig up the old Playoff Rules. For awhile I thought the website redesign had wiped them from the archives ... and Google wasn't much help. Alas, I found a copy otherwise I would have declared this contest over with myself the winner.

Last bit of housekeeping on the sort of Monthly Prediction Contest Winner. The final prize winner is bignerd!. However I cannot win, next winner up is jbrown63. Ya, you win! Eventually you should get an email from Fooch with details. Same goes for the other winners yet to get their prize.

Envelope please! It's time to recognize the best Predictors of the 2012 NFL Regular Season. Those who will go on to play for the prestigious NinersNation.com Prediction Championship and be etched (electronically) into history. Oh wait, I don't have an envelope. I have a table listed below the Playoff and BIT contest rules. Please read the rules, final results, celebrate or scream than come back ready to predict, legends are made in the playoffs.



Playoff Rules

1. The top sixteen finishers in the regular season prediction contest move onto the playoffs. Everyone tied for 16th place is included in the playoffs, meaning if 5 people are tied at 16th place than the playoffs will start out with 20 contestants.

2. The scoring system will remain the same as the regular season. Predict the game winner and score closest to the actual score to accumulate points. Still 10 points for predicting a perfect score, if not 5 points for 1st place, 4 points for 2nd, 3 points for 3rd, 2 points for 4th and 1 point for 5th place.

3. Each week will have eliminations. The bottom tier predictors will be eliminated with the rest moving on to play another week til the SB where a winner will be crowned. Each week is scored individually, meaning everyone starts back at zero points. Ideally the bottom four people will be eliminated each week.

4. All 16 contestants play the Wild Card round. Top 12 advance onto the Divisional Round. Top 8 advance onto the Championship Games. Top 4 advance onto the Super Bowl.

5. Like entering the playoffs, being tied for the last advancement spot will move a contestant onto the next round. For example if two people tie for 12th place on Wild Card weekend than both will advance to the next round. If your score is zero after any round than you are eliminated. Sorry even if tied for the final advancement spot a zero gets you eliminated. Why I say ideally the contest will try to eliminate the bottom 4 players each round, possibly more than four get eliminated, possibly less than four get eliminated.

If you don't understand, ask questions, keep playing and follow along. Continue to make good picks and you'll keep playing.

Bignerd Invitation Tournament

Those who do not qualify for the playoff tournament receive an invitation to the Bignerd Invitational Tournament (BIT). What's an invitation? Well, if you see the prediction contest and want to play than you are invited. Like the regular season the scoring format will remain same. Points will accumulate each week with the top scorer after the SB crowned the winner. All Playoff Contestants are also automatically dual entered into the BIT.

Week 17 Scoring Recap

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

  1. Beamer1960, Nick Bays (2)
  2. ninerpunk, Ten-Man, wjackalope, neder, Takeo33, jbrown63, liberty_JAC, bonbrillio (6)
  3. nostocksjustbonds, bayboy, Naguabo, J2daZ, Str8Balr, bignerd, beecharmer, leaping_larry, urnext, obfuscius (8)
  4. AKinferno (10)
  5. Drew Kerr, danknerd49, MadManWithABox (12)

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins

  1. ninerpunk (2)
  2. Ten-Man, Str8Balr (4)
  3. groug, jbrown63, AKinferno (6)
  4. Drew Kerr, bayboy, wjackalope, neder, Takeo33, Beamer1960, Mo9er, grantmp, urnext, obfuscius (8)
  5. SpurredOn, Fred.P.Soft, leaping_larry (10)

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

  1. Drew Kerr, Mo9er (16)
  2. Andrew Davidson, neder, bradyk2 (22)
  3. these3words (24)
  4. ZeroIndulgence (26)
  5. Fred.P.Soft, AKinferno (28)

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

  1. bradyk2 (6)
  2. ninerpunk (12)
  3. McTee, bignerd (14)
  4. ak4niner, J2daZ (18)
  5. Drew Kerr, danknerd49, ZeroIndulgence, bayboy, neder, Takeo33, jbrown63, reedkrase, bonbrillio (20)

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots

  1. obfuscius (20)
  2. bignerd, grantmp (26)
  3. Edggy, neder, MadManWithABox (28)
  4. Fred.P.Soft, bonbrillio (32)
  5. danknerd49, ninerpunk, Andrew Davidson, Ten-Man, nostocksjustbonds, groug, wjackalope, Takeo33, San Fran Niners, McTee, Beamer1960, Nick Bays, jbrown63, bradyk2, AKinferno, liberty_JAC, Mo9er, leaping_larry, urnext, Haggardninja (34)

St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

  1. Andrew Davidson, bignerd, bradyk2, reedkrase, Haggardninja (8)
  2. San Fran Niners (12)
  3. groug, Str8Balr, SpurredOn, AKinferno, liberty_JAC, leaping_larry (14)
  4. Naguabo, beecharmer, urnext (16)
  5. danknerd49, wjackalope, Takeo33 (20)

Week 17 Awards

Whammy Awards Whammy
Shazi5

The Big Five Finishers

Rank Screen Name Points Comments
bradyk2 1st bradyk2 15 Bratty attempting to steal my podium.
bignerd 1st bignerd 15 Need to be here in February. No hockey this year so will skip the President's Cup choking Shark reference.
neder 3rd neder 14 Deadly Ned on a Hawkish streak. Benefited from my leniency.
ninerpunk 3rd ninerpunk 14 Aren't we all.
Str8Balr 5th Str8Balr 10 No doubt he's a sharp.
obfuscius 5th obfuscius 10 Did it with a hangover. Candidate for Rookie of the Year.
Andrew Davidson 5th Andrew Davidson 10 Wasn't enough but plenty to beat down the chicken.
AKinferno 5th AKinferno 10 So which games did you will?

2012 Playoff Contestants

Rank Screen Name Points Comments
bignerd 1. bignerd 139 Highest point total ever thanks to game inflation. First time in four tries here.
neder 2. neder 114 So much to say about neder ... where do I start?
ninerpunk 3. ninerpunk 113 Winner for coolest avatar.
wjackalope 3. wjackalope 113 Can't really keep him out of the playoffs. One day his franchise QB will be gone and stuck back at the bottom.
jbrown63 5. jbrown63 112 There it is, mathematical proof.
bradyk2 6. bradyk2 107 Still trying to warm up to bradyk2 here.
SpurredOn 6. SpurredOn 107 Does his talking with his picks.
liberty_JAC 8. liberty_JAC 102 Blame Kaepernick if he doesn't win the championship.
Mo9er 9. Mo9er 101 Motoring along, riding momentum listening to motown.
Str8Balr 9. Str8Balr 101 Half of the returning champion.
AKinferno 9. AKinferno 101 Our version of the Vikings or Bills, will attempt to avoid the playoff groin kick.
obfuscius 12. obfuscius 100 Said his name meant something but I forgot.
Haggardninja 12. Haggardninja 100 Every battle royale has to have one ninja.
Ten-Man 14. Ten-Man 99 Part 1 of 3 of our silent predictors.
groug 14. groug 99 Already penciled in that Vikings vs Bengals Superbowl prediction for you.
leaping_larry 16. leaping_larry 96 And Larry too ... missed kicking him out by that much!
bayboy 16. bayboy 96 He got the last golden ticket.

Week 17 Leader Board

Rank Screen Name Points W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
1. bignerd 139 5 7 1 4 6 3 16 8 5 6 18 2 7 25 3 8 15
2. neder 114 9 4 1 11 2 7 6 9 5 9 3 10 9 6 9 14
3. ninerpunk 113 8 7 6 0 10 2 6 6 4 10 11 12 10 7 14
3. wjackalope 113 0 9 5 5 5 2 10 5 7 1 9 15 3 15 4 10 8
5. jbrown63 112 2 6 9 8 1 4 5 11 4 0 1 6 7 21 8 10 9
6. bradyk2 107 2 6 6 6 5 2 2 2 12 11 0 15 8 11 4 15
6. SpurredOn 107 9 0 9 5 9 15 8 4 6 10 13 3 1 5 1 5 4
8. liberty_JAC 102 5 0 4 5 5 4 5 3 9 9 11 8 5 10 4 7 8
9. Mo9er 101 9 5 12 6 1 0 8 4 7 5 6 5 7 10 1 7 8
9. Str8Balr 101 5 6 0 5 8 4 17 7 7 2 3 4 4 3 7 9 10
9. AKinferno 101 2 5 5 1 10 6 6 3 3 3 7 7 11 16 6 10
12. obfuscius 100 0 2 2 5 3 10 8 5 4 3 4 8 5 12 17 2 10
12. Haggardninja 100 3 19 7 4 1 0 0 5 10 13 7 10 4 5 0 6 6
14. Ten-Man 99 10 8 0 3 2 0 4 0 12 2 10 16 2 11 2 8 9
14. groug 99 0 6 8 7 2 6 14 2 6 0 3 6 9 0 4 19 7
16. leaping_larry 96 2 16 1 8 6 1 8 5 9 0 9 1 5 9 4 4 8
16. bayboy 96 0 3 5 4 4 3 4 17 3 11 9 2 13 10 2 6
Playoffs
18. MadManWithABox 94 8 10 2 1 9 0 9 7 3 1 6 0 6 11 15 2 4
19. urnext 93 3 8 2 4 3 1 11 3 2 5 2 7 1 21 6 6 8
20. Fred.P.Soft 92 10 6 0 0 2 3 3 2 3 17 11 4 7 13 2 5 4
20. Takeo33 92 11 1 5 5 8 0 4 2 13 1 0 6 9 11 6 1 9
22. Nick Bays 90 6 12 7 2 6 0 17 2 14 0 0 8 5 2 0 3 6
23. Andrew Davidson 87 1 2 8 5 2 0 4 5 2 8 8 7 8 3 12 2 10
24. bonbrillio 86 6 9 4 2 0 0 10 0 16 1 9 4 2 8 6 2 7
25. Shazi5 85 7 4 0 2 5 5 5 6 7 0 7 10 5 0 11 11 0
25. nostocksjustbonds 85 0 3 0 8 8 4 3 8 12 7 3 6 3 7 1 8 4
27. Edggy 83 9 2 7 8 3 4 9 2 2 3 11 2 0 6 4 8 3
28. beecharmer 82 0 9 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 2 8 3 4 7 7 8 5
29. grantmp 78 0 10 1 2 5 1 7 9 6 9 3 10 0 7 0 2 6
29. McTee 78 2 2 3 6 0 3 11 2 2 6 11 7 4 15 4
31. ZeroIndulgence 74 4 2 9 5 2 6 8 4 2 4 1 4 5 7 1 7 3
32. PHUT! 73 2 4 5 4 0 5 3 3 5 9 8 5 8 7 5
32. danknerd49 73 4 0 5 6 2 4 3 1 4 13 7 0 6 8 2 4 4
32. Beamer1960 73 3 3 4 5 1 0 7 4 4 1 10 9 0 5 4 5 8
32. reedkrase 73 8 7 2 2 1 8 5 0 0 9 4 6 7 8 6
36. Naguabo 72 0 1 6 4 0 4 2 5 7 5 6 5 2 7 7 6 5
37. these3words 71 1 10 2 4 6 0 1 5 9 8 9 4 4 3 2 3
38. Drew Kerr 67 5 5 0 3 2 0 9 8 0 6 4 3 4 7 2 9
39. J2daZ 65 0 3 0 7 1 4 5 4 10 3 8 0 3 4 5 3 5
40. SportsChicken 64 0 6 0 4 5 0 9 4 2 6 7 8 4 8 1
40. San Fran Niners 64 8 4 5 1 0 0 2 1 5 4 7 7 7 5 3 5
40. Ni9er 64 10 8 1 2 10 0 4 1 4 1 4 4 2 8 5
43. benna11 59 3 5 0 3 1 0 2 3 9 5 6 1 4 12 2 3
44. 49erLou 55 0 1 3 0 3 0 6 1 0 4 6 5 3 6 6 11
45. Mityt 54 2 5 0 10 1 0 1 5 0 1 8 8 0 6 7
45. whobob 54 1 10 5 5 12 0 3 5 7 3 3
45. mikeinsp 54 1 2 3 8 6 0 5 7 4 2 11 0 5
48. Rhombus 51 7 3 2 2 1 3 5 1 8 2 1 8 8
49. sundaysfinest 50 7 3 0 0 4 5 7 5 4 8 7
50. ezoo 49 0 4 4 0 1 6 0 0 4 13 1 7 0 8 1
51. ak4niner 46 1 1 2 3 3 0 0 0 8 3 9 4 5 5 0 2
52. teekay 45 8 10 6 1 0 0 8 3 2 7
53. Aaron Emerson 44 12 0 2 6 2 2 5 12 0 3
54. AK49e 41 14 4 2 5 0 0 5 0 6 5
55. Rossalex 38 13 2 0 8 15
55. manraj7 38 4 7 1 6 1 0 8 7 2 2
57. David Fucillo 35 3 4 6 3 6 13
58. Stupifyed 34 5 6 2 2 5 0 3 4 3 4
58. mpotter14 34 1 3 3 4 0 0 5 6 2 0 8 2
60. JH But not the Coach 33 3 5 6 5 2 0 7 0 1 0 4
61. rlott#42 32 0 4 4 0 4 1 6 10 3
62. dlh 31 0 5 4 2 2 3 10 5
63. renke81 29 3 11 1 10 2 2 0
63. Black59Razor 29 1 1 4 2 0 0 1 7 3 4 6
65. CUARENTAYNUEVES 28 12 0 1 1 1 3 3 5 2
66. bakoninerfan 27 9 3 8 4 0 3
67. Session9 26 8 2 2 14 0
68. Rhardin49 24 12 6 3 3 0
69. makd2345 23 6 3 2 3 5 4
70. SH0ck-D 22 8 3 0 11
71. EcERyda69 21 8 4 5 4
71. mcwagner 21 4 8 0 2 0 7 0 0
73. MRandolph 20 6 3 2 4 5
74. Mapman53 19 5 14
75. Alligator Arms 17 0 5 6 0 6
76. (Florida) Danny Tuccitto 16 5 3 6 2
77. mrg80 15 6 7 2
78. Mapletreemarty 14 9 5 0
78. NinerEast 14 3 3 5 2 1
80. jpgarfunkle 13 2 7 0 0 1 3
80. Burnin Davis 13 7 6
82. Delmuir 12 2 1 2 0 2 5
82. DAD OF VLAD 12 0 5 7
84. Little Bobby Tables 11 7 4
85. foosball4949 10 5 5
85. madmatt 10 5 0 4 1
85. runningblack 10 4 6
85. chap9er 10 10
89. The RealFakename 9 4 4 1
89. Super Agent 9 1 8
89. spirit_of_the_niners 9 7 2
92. mrb24 8 8
92. fanoftheunderdogs 8 0 2 0 6
92. LizardState 8 0 8
95. rev420 6 6
95. rexGsus 6 6
95. 40daysand49ers 6 0 2 1 3 0
95. RJames 6 3 3 0 0
95. mountaindew77 6 3 3
100. Ador08 5 5
100. whatsURdeal 5 3 2
102. CLF 4 4
102. aldon's sack 4 0 4
102. keerut78 4 4
105. HeartlessMike 3 3
105. libra45 3 0 3
107. Sensei Ben 2 1 1
107. masputo 2 2
109. rolsen 1 1

Week 17 Big Board Predictions (check your scores)

Screen Name ARZ SF s/p DAL WAS s/p PHI NYG s/p GB MIN s/p MIA NE s/p STL SEA s/p tot
Drew Kerr 10 33 12/1 20 24 8/2 14 34 16/5 20 27 20/1 20 17 -/- 6 31 22/- 9
danknerd49 7 30 12/1 24 21 -/- 13 27 30/- 23 27 20/1 17 35 34/1 17 30 20/1 4
ninerpunk 10 27 6/4 17 27 2/5 13 27 30/- 28 31 12/4 17 24 34/1 17 38 36/- 14
ZeroIndulgence 6 24 14/- 24 31 12/- 20 30 26/2 24 27 20/1 20 4 -/- 13 38 36/- 3
Andrew Davidson 6 30 14/- 24 28 12/- 13 31 22/4 20 23 28/- 17 27 34/1 9 24 8/5 10
ak4niner 3 36 20/- 17 21 14/- 14 8 -/- 21 28 18/2 20 17 -/- 13 10 -/- 2
Ten-Man 16 30 6/4 20 27 4/4 14 24 36/- 23 26 22/- 17 27 34/1 17 34 28/- 9
nostocksjustbonds 13 31 8/3 31 28 -/- 17 24 36/- 21 24 26/- 17 37 34/1 20 33 26/- 4
groug 6 24 14/- 20 31 6/3 13 24 36/- 21 24 26/- 17 34 34/1 20 24 14/3 7
bayboy 9 27 8/3 20 24 8/2 13 27 30/- 23 27 20/1 20 34 40/- 13 31 22/- 6
these3words 13 42 30/- 31 28 -/- 13 30 24/3 21 24 26/- 28 27 -/- 26 20 -/- 3
Naguabo 9 27 8/3 24 30 12/- 17 23 38/- 24 20 -/- 20 31 40/- 16 28 16/2 5
Edggy 6 17 20/- 24 23 -/- 20 23 38/- 31 17 -/- 13 42 28/3 10 42 44/- 3
J2daZ 9 31 8/3 24 27 12/- 14 10 -/- 20 28 18/2 24 21 -/- 26 30 26/- 5
wjackalope 10 24 6/4 20 24 8/2 21 27 30/- 26 21 -/- 17 28 34/1 14 30 20/1 8
neder 10 24 6/4 17 24 8/2 14 31 22/4 21 27 20/1 14 21 28/3 14 33 26/- 14
MadManWithABox 17 21 12/1 7 31 22/- 10 21 42/- 17 20 34/- 14 24 28/3 10 38 36/- 4
Shazi5 13 17 20/- 34 23 -/- 13 24 36/- 31 17 -/- 24 35 48/- 27 24 -/-
Str8Balr 9 25 8/3 20 26 4/4 23 17 -/- 24 18 -/- 20 29 40/- 10 27 14/3 10
Takeo33 10 30 6/4 20 24 8/2 30 23 -/- 20 27 20/1 17 33 34/1 13 30 20/1 9
San Fran Niners 10 34 14/- 24 30 12/- 17 24 36/- 34 17 -/- 17 36 34/1 13 26 12/4 5
SpurredOn 6 31 14/- 23 31 10/1 20 23 38/- 20 26 22/- 20 30 40/- 17 27 14/3 4
McTee 6 27 14/- 24 27 12/- 24 21 -/- 27 30 14/3 17 27 34/1 10 38 36/- 4
Beamer1960 13 28 2/5 17 24 8/2 17 23 38/- 24 26 22/- 17 28 34/1 13 38 36/- 8
Nick Bays 14 27 2/5 24 28 12/- 17 21 42/- 30 21 -/- 17 34 34/1 16 40 40/- 6
bignerd 13 23 8/3 20 34 12/- 24 28 34/- 27 30 14/3 13 24 26/4 17 20 8/5 15
jbrown63 10 27 6/4 20 31 6/3 23 31 32/- 24 27 20/1 17 38 34/1 17 34 28/- 9
beecharmer 9 27 8/3 24 27 12/- 20 27 30/- 21 24 26/- 18 28 36/- 14 28 16/2 5
Fred.P.Soft 6 27 14/- 23 28 10/1 16 28 28/1 23 24 26/- 16 35 32/2 27 24 -/- 4
bradyk2 6 21 14/- 26 22 -/- 17 31 22/4 25 34 6/5 17 35 34/1 10 24 8/5 15
AKinferno 13 32 10/2 20 31 6/3 17 28 28/1 21 24 26/- 17 42 34/1 20 24 14/3 10
reedkrase 10 50 46/- 30 31 24/- 13 27 30/- 24 27 20/1 20 24 40/- 17 24 8/5 6
liberty_JAC 10 27 6/4 31 27 -/- 17 27 30/- 23 24 26/- 17 30 34/1 13 27 14/3 8
Mo9er 20 28 14/- 20 24 8/2 14 34 16/5 20 23 28/- 17 28 34/1 18 32 24/- 8
leaping_larry 9 27 8/3 23 27 10/1 17 24 36/- 26 20 -/- 17 30 34/1 14 27 14/3 8
grantmp 0 24 26/- 17 24 8/2 27 17 -/- 28 21 -/- 13 35 26/4 14 41 42/- 6
urnext 10 31 8/3 20 24 8/2 13 27 30/- 17 23 28/- 17 27 34/1 17 28 16/2 8
bonbrillio 10 27 6/4 27 24 -/- 31 27 -/- 23 27 20/1 16 24 32/2 10 44 48/- 7
Haggardninja 13 34 14/- 30 33 24/- -/- 17 20 34/- 17 35 34/1 16 24 8/5 6
obfuscius 17 31 8/3 21 24 8/2 -/- 34 17 -/- 10 31 20/5 10 37 34/- 10

Scoring Explained

Prediction Contest Rules and Guidelines

Your prediction has these same three components as the actual game score.

1) If you predict the correct winner for an individual game, we will score your prediction against the actual game. If you predict the incorrect winner for an individual game, your prediction will not be scored.

2) Ideally, you will predict the exact point differential of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 45. If you predict a score with a PD of 45, the difference between your predicted PD and the actual PD is 0 (45 - 45 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

3) Ideally, you will predict the exact point total of the actual game. Say, for example, this is 65. If you predict a score with a PT of 65, the difference between your predicted PT and the actual PT is 0 (65 - 65 = 0). The worse your prediction, the greater that difference becomes. Therefore, the closer the difference is to zero, the better.

So, assuming that you predict the correct winner of the individual game, we simply add the difference between your predicted and the actual PD to the difference between your predicted and the actual PT. The closer this total is to zero, the better your prediction is. A zero exactly will always be a perfect prediction.

pPD = Predicted Point Differential
aPD = Actual Point Differential
pPT = Predicted Point Total
aPT = Actual Point Total
x = Subscore

|pPD - aPD| + |pPT - aPT| = x

That total becomes your subscore for each individual game. These subscores are then ranked, and the five best (including ALL ties) are awarded points. Perfect predictions are awarded 10 points. If the highest subscore for a particular game is not a perfect prediction, it is awarded 5 points. Points then follow in descending order, so that all of the second best predictions get 4 points, the third best all get 3 points, and so on.

This is a FanPost, it does reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. It does not reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is more important than the views of Niners Nation's writers and editors. Any contradictory disclaimers below this one are bold face lies and should be ignored.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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