Why are pundits picking the packers to win?

All evidence points to a comfortable victory by SF. AdvancedNFLStats.com published their game probabilities this morning in the New York Times, and they give the 49ers a 66% chance of winning -- that's 2nd highest this weekend. The other 52 players on the 49ers are better than the 52 non-startiing QBs on the Packers, and Kaepernick is no slouch. He's actually got a better QBR this season than Rodgers. I don't get it.

Please, someone explain to me how the Packers one-dimensional offense will score consistently on the 49ers. The 49ers only lose to extremely well-balanced teams that can keep our all-pro ILB tandem off-guard and force them to 'cheat run' a little bit. With a pass-happy attack like Green Bay's, the 49ers will stay in their 2-4-5 Nickel package all game, just like they did against the Packers earlier in the season. Rodgers will have to fight nickel coverage all game.

So, unless Kaepernick has an awful game or something, the 49ers should take care of business

Pwin GAME Pwin
0.22 Baltimore at Denver 0.78
0.34 Green Bay at San Francisco 0.66
0.51 Seattle at Atlanta 0.49
0.42 Houston at New England 0.58

http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/