FanPost

Statistically overrated players

Here is an interesting article I thought I'd share. Below are a few excerpts that have been, from time-to-time, NN draft crushes.

http://thesidelineview.com/columns/nfl/metrics-study-overrated-draft-prospects

JESSE WILLIAMS, DT – ALABAMA

College production is only a single part of the evaluation process, potential has to be included in any projection to the NFL. Williams’ production in college certainly leaves something to be desired.

When pass rushing, other first and second round DTs averaged a snaps per pressure (SPP) of 15.5, meaning they pressured the quarterback every 15.5 snaps. Williams had an SPP of 36, much lower than every other top prospect. He also had the least amount of tackles near or at the line of scrimmage among top DTs. Even after adjusting for his snap participation against rushing plays, his impact on the run game was low.

ERIC REID, S – LSU

There are many who like Reid as a first round safety, maybe even as the second one off the board. The numbers couldn’t tell a different story. Reid’s burn rate is glaringly bad.

The safety class on the whole was beat on 52% of all targets. Eric Reid was beat on 61% of all targets, worst among the safety class this year. That may be acceptable if he played well as a box safety, but the metrics suggest that’s unlikely. He failed to make many impact tackles, 8.5 for Reid compared to an average of 10.5 for the group. On top of that he missed 14 tackles, second worst in the safety group behind Shamarko Thomas.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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