FanPost

Wright In, Rogers Out?

First off, I love the Eric Wright Trade. The 49ers were willing to give him a $7m+ a year contract in the 2012 offseason, but he opted to sign with Tampa for a lot of guaranteed money (money that was voided after the PEDs suspension). They now get him at a bargain-basement price of $1.5m for 2013...quite the steal.

Now, if you remember, all of the reporting in March 2012 was that the 49ers wanted Wright over Rogers. Based on the reporting at the Time, Trent Baalke ranked the top 3 CBs in the 2012 market in the following order:

1. Carr

2. Wright

3. Rogers

Baalke loved Wright, and his numbers back it up. Despite having a 'poor season', wright was 14th in the NFL in +EPA/game...that's excellent. Rogers was 55th, while Brown and Culliver are tied for 74th. In 2011, his numbers were even better. He was 16th in 2011, while Rogers was 4th that year (career year).

Positive Expected Points Added (+EPA) -- The Expected Points Added attributed to a defensive player, limited to only the plays that are net positives for his team. It is a measure of a defender’s impact on the game score in terms of play-making ability. Like for +WPA, only positive plays are considered for individual defenders because very good individual defensive plays can still result in net losses in EPA. However, overall individual EPA likely correlates well with +EPA.

http://wp.advancednflstats.com/defenderstats.php?year=2012&pos=CB&season=all

The 49ers Save $4.5m by cutting Rogers -- that's a huge chunk of change. We end up with a ton of free agent defensive backs after the season, but Rogers was probably going to be cut anyway. So, I think Rogers is cut. Here's the lineup if that's the case:

LCB: Culliver

RCB: Brown

Slot CB (Nickel): Wright

Slot CB (Dime): Nnamdi

Additional Dime: Cox or Brock (probably Cox)

Also keep in mind that Wright is a San Francisco native and could take a home-town discount after the season...and he's only 28 this season (he turns 28 next week). Same age as Brown.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Niners Nation

You must be a member of Niners Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Niners Nation. You should read them.

Join Niners Nation

You must be a member of Niners Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Niners Nation. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker