The offseason can do crazy things to a person.
Like, for instance, when I got bored these past two days I decided to use my free time compiling a color-coded Excel spreadsheet predicting the outcome of every single regular season game in the NFL in 2013.
I acknowledge that:
1. These predictions are silly and mean nothing.
2. I'll probably be wrong on a good deal of them.
3. You will disagree with me.
Unfortunately, it looks like I can't upload Excel files to this website. And this post would be enormous if I actually transplanted the whole table into it. So instead I'll just break down the record of every team, who makes the playoffs and what the seeds are based on my game-by-game predictions:
Giants: 11-5 (Wild card, 5th seed NFC -- tie break based on victory against Seahawks)
Redskins: 12-4 (Div. winner, 1st seed NFC -- tie break based on div. record and victory against 49ers)
Playoff runner-ups: Bears, Buccaneers, Panthers, Steelers, Chiefs.
A note on the western divisions of both conferences: I have a hard time seeing the Raiders actually winning five games, and I have a hard time seeing the Rams finish with a losing record this year. The reason it shook out that way is because of pure guessing on the outcomes of certain games.
A note on seeding: I'm not entirely sure of the way tie breaks work, so I went based on what I did know. I didn't use strength of schedule because I'm not sure how the NFL calculates it.
A few interesting things to take away from this:
1. The Texans have a pretty easy schedule.
2. While the NFC West might be the best division in football, I think the NFC South is going to be the most competitive this year -- that is to say, I think the teams in that division are closer to each other in their ability to win than the teams in any other division.
3. The NFC as a whole is going to be a lot better than the AFC.
4. There was a three-way tie for first seed in the NFC, and a tie break between the wild cards. Therefore, I think any games between NFC playoff contenders during the regular season will be very important later on in determining seeding.