FanPost

49ers Mock Offseason

Hello and welcome to Cnnrvydt's 49ers mock offseason. I realized today that I have a ton of ideas for what we should do this offseason, and I need to stop posting them in barely relevant threads, so I decided to share some of them. Don't worry, I won't go into many numbers at all. I'm just too lazy for that. I have no interest in this introduction, so let's dive right in.

Free Agency

The first part of the offseason is free agency. We have 4 main priorities in free agency: Anquan Boldin, Donte Whitner, Tarell Brown, and Phil Dawson. Phil Dawson should be the easiest to resign once he kicks in the new stadium and realizes that it's not insanely windy like Candlestick. 1 or 2 years at about 2 million a year should be more than enough. Next easiest should be Anquan Boldin. We think he wants to stay here, and he's aging, so his value on the open market may not be too high, prompting him to stay here. Many people think we'll have to pay him a lot because he refused to take a pay cut in Baltimore, but that very well may not be the case. He refused that pay cut because he signed a deal, and he intended to finish the deal as he started it, and he expected the same of the Ravens. It is impossible to predict his exact price, but 2 years/$8-9 million should do nicely.

Now come the difficult parts. Tarell Brown has made it clear that he will test the open market. Donte Whitner wants to stay, but he could very well get a better offer from someone who realizes how much better his coverage has gotten this last year. In the case of Tarell Brown, we have two options. Either we sign him to a deal similar to Tramaine Brock's deal, or we let him walk and pick up a free agent corner. For the first option, we're looking at 4 years, 16 million dollars. For the second option, we're looking at a guy like Will Blackmon, who played very well for the Jags last year for $715,000. 2 years, $2.25 million or 3 years, $3.5 million would probably lock him up. Blackmon is also arguably the better fit for us. He's a big, long corner who is good in press coverage. He's the same age as Brown as well. And he contributes in the return game, with 3 career punt return TDs, which will come into play later. Donte Whitner is likely to command the biggest contract of any of these free agents. At best, including a discount because he really wants to be here, he should get something along the lines of 3 years, $16 million or 2 years, $11 million (which is preferable because of Donte's age, and another thing to be explained later). That's a pretty big contract, but if we go for Blackmon instead of Brown, we should be able to afford it.

So, coming out of free agency, we have Phil Dawson, Anquan Boldin, Will Blackmon, and Donte Whitner. Fantastic haul. Keep the players we need to keep, and get cheaper and better at a key position that spends a lot of time on the field. It also reduces our short-term draft needs at CB and WR. Those will still be prominent picks, but we no longer need the volume of players that we did before. Free Agency is supposed to be about finding new players from other teams to bring in and pay piles of money and stuff like that. That is not the right approach. Free agency is about keeping the players you want and replacing the ones you don't need.

The Draft

We have 12 picks in the upcoming draft. Going in, our biggest needs are in the long term at WR, S, C, and CB, as well as DL and backup QB to a lesser extent. Here is a list of our picks this year:

Round 1 / 30

Round 2 / 56 (KC)

Round 2 / 61

Round 3 / 77 (Tenn)

Round 3 / 94

Round 4 / 125

Round 4 / Comp

Round 5 / 158

Round 6 / 189

Round 7 / 219

Round 7 / 220

Round 7 / 222

Now, I believe in an all-out approach to the draft. If you have needs, make sure they are filled for the future to the best of your ability. I think we have the opportunity to do that this year in a way a team rarely can.

The first order of business is, of course, our first pick. There are a couple of players who may fit our needs long-term who could be available at our pick, like Odell Beckham and Brandin Cooks. Deep threats. That's what we need. We have two possession receivers. We don't need more. Neither one of those guys is the way I think we should go. We should be much more aggressive. Right now, you're thinking Mike Evans. Good pick. Big guy. Can win jump balls. Nope. That's not where we're going with this. Think bigger. Well, 4 inches shorter, but bigger plays. Sammy Watkins. How, you ask? The Raiders. The Raiders have finally gotten out from underneath all those bad Al Davis contracts, and now they need as much talent as they can get. They don't really need a top 5 talent. They need a lot more top 100 talent. That's why they traded out of the number 3 pick last year. Therefore, I would propose a trade. Our 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and first 7th and LaMichael James to them for the fifth overall pick. Now you're thinking, "LaMichael James? What value does he have to them? He's just a return man." Well, the Raiders are likely to resign Rashad Jennings, who is a medium sized back with lots of power, and they have Marcel Reese, a Pro-Bowl fullback with a ton of power. The problem is that the Raiders, no matter who's running the front office, will always be about speed, and LaMike has it. He's not particularly happy here, as far as we can tell, and with Darren McFadden on his way out, he has a chance for significant touches in Oakland. So, that means we have Sammy Watkins, and this is our draft so far:

Round 1 / 5 (OAK): Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Round 2 / 56 (KC)

Round 3 / 77 (Tenn)

Round 4 / 125

Round 4 / Comp

Round 5 / 158

Round 6 / 189

Round 7 / 220

Round 7 / 222

Our next pick is from the Alex Smith Trade. This one is pretty simple for me. Donte Whitner gets 2 more years on his new deal, so we need a future safety, and we could use a really good dime corner in the time being. Enter Lamarcus Joyner. There are a lot of Honey Badger comparisons, but I don't think that's the best comparison for him. He reminds me of Earl Thomas when he plays safety, with incredible range, instincts, and ability in run support, and he reminds me of Ronde Barber at corner. Strong in man or zone coverage, and with an uncanny ability on the blitz. Now, he's small at 5'8", but he plays small. He doesn't defeat or absorb blocks, he avoids them, and he's simply too small of a target to be blocked outright, and too fast for the blocker to be used as a shield. He could be a very good player for us at FS in the future if we move Reid to SS after Whitner leaves, but he needs time to develop. (Credit to 49ersfansince1950 for the idea) For now, he can be a dime corner and a chess piece who runs around making turnovers and sacks as needed. So, Lamarcus Joyner, and here's our draft so far:

Round 1 / 5 (OAK): Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Round 2 / 56 (KC): Lamarcus Joyner, FS/CB, Florida State

Round 3 / 77 (Tenn)

Round 4 / 125

Round 4 / Comp

Round 5 / 158

Round 6 / 189

Round 7 / 220

Round 7 / 222

So, now we need DL, C, and backup QB. The third round is too high for backup QB, and with Tank waiting in the wings, DL. So, we're left with C. The best 2 centers have clearly been established as Travis Swanson and Weston Richburg. So far, Swanson has looked like the better run blocker by a bit, and Richburg has looked like the better pass protector. He gave Aaron Donald a lot of trouble in pass pro at the Senior Bowl, which was very impressive. Swanson has also been rated higher, so there's a strong chance Richburg falls to the third round. After what happened with Travis Swanson last year though, there's no way to tell. Hopefully one of them falls to us, and I feel like Richburg has a good shot at becoming a 49er. And here's the draft:

Round 1 / 5 (OAK): Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Round 2 / 56 (KC): LaMarcus Joyner, FS/CB, Florida State

Round 3 / 77 (Tenn): Weston Richburg, C, Colorado State

Round 4 / 125

Round 4 / Comp

Round 5 / 158

Round 6 / 189

Round 7 / 220

Round 7 / 222

Having filled our 4 biggest needs with 3 players, we are left with lesser needs: QB and DL. Frankly, I don't see any good prospects at these positions at this point in the draft who we can't get with the comp pick later in the 4th. Our 4th round pick gets traded for a third next year. We always have to pick up something for next year. In the now, however, backup QB is a bigger need than DL with Tank about to make it into the rotation and the emergence of TJE, plus the return of Ian Williams. I like Tajh Boyd here. He had a horrible showing at the Senior Bowl, but he was dominant in the Orange Bowl. The important thing is that he's available here, and he has the arm and legs to be an adequate backup in our system. Also, he has a nice rapport with Watkins, so he's got some extra confidence built into having his favorite target, just like Kap and Crab. So, the draft:

Round 1 / 5 (OAK): Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Round 2 / 56 (KC): LaMarcus Joyner, FS/CB, Florida State

Round 3 / 77 (Tenn): Weston Richburg, C, Colorado State

Round 4 / Comp: Tajh Boyd, QB, Clemson

Round 5 / 158

Round 6 / 189

Round 7 / 220

Round 7 / 222

Honestly, it is basically impossible to tell who deserves to be drafted in the 5th round. What I do know is that DL is our best bet here. I can't predict a pick because it's silly to sort through all those prospects, but a trade down that nets us a pick next year seems reasonable.

Round 1 / 5 (OAK): Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Round 2 / 56 (KC): LaMarcus Joyner, FS/CB, Florida State

Round 3 / 77 (Tenn): Weston Richburg, C, Colorado State

Round 4 / Comp: Tajh Boyd, QB, Clemson

Round 5 / Traded Down: DL

Round 6 / 189

Round 7 / 220

Round 7 / 222

Now, we have filled all our needs. Aaron Colvin is the pick in the 6th, because he's very talented, and can fill another long-term CB spot after a redshirt year. It would also be useful to bring in an electric returner to compete for that spot, so Dri Archer is the pick at the earlier 7th rounder. After that, frankly, who knows? Maybe we trade it for a pick next year. Maybe we used it to move up a couple of spot for Joyner. Either one works for me.

Round 1 / 5 (OAK): Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Round 2 / 56 (KC): LaMarcus Joyner, FS/CB, Florida State

Round 3 / 77 (Tenn): Weston Richburg, C, Colorado State

Round 4 / Comp: Tajh Boyd, QB, Clemson

Round 5 / Traded Down: DL

Round 6 / 189: Aaron Colvin, CB, Oklahoma

Round 7 / 220: Dri Archer, RB/KR/PR, Kent State

Round 7 / 222: Who knows? Trade?

Conclusion

We come out of this offseason having acquired/resigned the following free agents and draftees: Phil Dawson, Anquan Boldin, Will Blackmon, Donte Whitner, Sammy Watkins, LaMarcus Joyner, Weston Richburg, Tajh Boyd, 5th round DL, Aaron Colvin, and Dri Archer. We also end up with a 3rd, probably a 6th, and a 7th next year. All of our needs are filled, some of them doubly or triply. If Eric Decker leaves Denver, which he probably will, we come out of this with possibly the best receiving corps in the league. We have gotten 3 in-house free agents at prices that satisfy both sides. We have secured some parts of the future of our secondary. We might be able to use a high draftee at corner next year (or D-Mo and Colvin to develop), but beyond that, we look good there for some time. My prediction is that next year, our biggest offseason need will be at DL, just creating depth. Because who doesn't need more pass rushers?

If you've made it this far, you're as insane as I am, and I appreciate that. Thank you all.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.

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