Pundits on ESPN and NFLN love re-drafts. they can take all 256 players and re-rank them however the see fit. Fans love them too; they can look and see who was drafted after their team picked and say 'see! see! they should have picked my draft crush!"
Well, this isn't really fair. For one, nobody is going to draft Russell Wilson in the Top 10, or Alfred Morris. But they might draft a second rounder in the first. Secondly, if your team can see into the future, then EVERY team can! So, what happens if we do a re-draft based on 2 years of performance, but teams can only draft players that were drafted within one round of their slotting -- that factors out the pure luck involved in stumbling onto Alfred Morris or Danny Trevathian.
So what I did here is assume each NFL team had a crystal ball into May 2014, but could only see the performance of players drafted within 32 picks of where they picked -- what would happen? Well, here's what the draft looks like -- its mostly a BPA draft with some need considered, sorted by CarAV.
First off, I hate to burst everyone's bubble, but the 49ers don't improve all that much in the first round. everyone else is still taken, and its down to a solid DT in Kendall Reyes or Chris f-ing Givens. So I take Reyes. at 60, however, we do get lucky and TY Hilton is available and can be picked (remember, you can see one round later); its entirely feasible that we could have reached for TY at 60. So, here you go, enjoy.
Pick ▴ | Tm | Name | Pos | CarAV |
1 | IND | Andrew Luck | QB | 27 |
2 | WAS | Robert Griffin | QB | 28 |
3 | CLE | Ryan Tannehill | QB | 20 |
4 | MIN | Michael Brockers | DT | 19 |
5 | JAX | Luke Kuechly | LB | 22 |
6 | DAL | Dontari Poe | DT | 18 |
7 | TAM | Alshon Jeffery | WR | 17 |
8 | MIA | Matt Kalil | OL | 18 |
9 | CAR | Chandler Jones | DE | 15 |
10 | BUF | Janoris Jenkins | DB | 15 |
11 | KAN | Riley Reiff | OL | 14 |
12 | PHI | Derek Wolfe | DT | 13 |
13 | ARI | Doug Martin | RB | 17 |
14 | STL | Kendall Wright | WR | 14 |
15 | SEA | Bobby Wagner | LB | 20 |
16 | NYJ | Fletcher Cox | DT | 12 |
17 | CIN | Kevin Zeitler | OL | 14 |
18 | SDG | Dont'a Hightower | LB | 14 |
19 | CHI | Quinton Coples | DE | 11 |
20 | TEN | Mychal Kendricks | LB | 14 |
21 | NWE | Whitney Mercilus | DE | 10 |
22 | CLE | Trent Richardson | RB | 13 |
23 | DET | Mark Barron | SS | 11 |
24 | PIT | Michael Floyd | WR | 11 |
25 | NWE | Lavonte David | LB | 18 |
26 | HOU | Bruce Irvin | DE | 10 |
27 | CIN | Harrison Smith | FS | 10 |
28 | GNB | Peter Konz | OL | 14 |
29 | MIN | Mitchell Schwartz | OL | 13 |
30 | SFO | Kendall Reyes | DT | 10 |
31 | TAM | Cordy Glenn | OL | 13 |
32 | NYG | Zach Brown | LB | 14 |
33 | STL | Jeff Allen | OL | 11 |
34 | IND | Chris Givens | WR | 10 |
35 | BAL | Courtney Upshaw | LB | 12 |
36 | DEN | Morris Claiborne | DB | 8 |
37 | CLE | Jonathan Martin | OL | 10 |
38 | JAX | Justin Blackmon | WR | 9 |
39 | STL | Rueben Randle | WR | 7 |
40 | CAR | Kelechi Osemele | OL | 10 |
41 | BUF | Stephon Gilmore | DB | 8 |
42 | MIA | Olivier Vernon | DE | 10 |
43 | NYJ | Demario Davis | LB | 12 |
44 | KAN | Russell Wilson | QB | 31 |
45 | CHI | Mohamed Sanu | WR | 6 |
46 | PHI | Coby Fleener | TE | 8 |
47 | SEA | Amini Silatolu | OL | 9 |
48 | NWE | Shea McClellin | DE | 6 |
49 | SDG | David DeCastro | OL | 8 |
50 | STL | Bernard Pierce | RB | 7 |
51 | GNB | Mike Adams | OL | 8 |
52 | TEN | Trumaine Johnson | DB | 8 |
53 | CIN | Josh Robinson | DB | 6 |
54 | DET | Nick Perry | DE | 5 |
55 | ATL | Ronnie Hillman | RB | 6 |
56 | PIT | Donald Stephenson | OL | 7 |
57 | DEN | Nick Foles | QB | 16 |
58 | TAM | Tavon Wilson | FS | 5 |
59 | PHI | Akiem Hicks | DE | 10 |
60 | BAL | Lamar Holmes | OL | 8 |
61 | SFO | T.Y. Hilton | WR | 18 |
62 | GNB | Dre Kirkpatrick | DB | 4 |
63 | NYG | David Wilson | RB | 5 |
64 | IND | T.J. Graham | WR | 6 |