FanPost

San Francisco 49ers: Officially the worst-drafting team in the NFL since 2011

Don Feria/Getty Images

Fooch's note: This is an old FanPost. I meant to bump it to the front page a while back, but now's as good a time as any.

In past years, I've provided analysis on the performance of our drafted picks in approximate value vs what we would expect their approximate value to be -- the residual Approximate Value. Well, 2015 CarAV numbers are in, and going back to 2011, no team has less Residual CarAV -- again value above what is expected based on the pick number -- than the San Francisco 49ers.

When looking at total CarAV, we are 29th - but that doesn't take into account extra picks acquired for Alex Smith and similar moves.

So, without further ado, here are the rankings.

Tm Total CarAV Residual CarAV
SEA 449 176.83
HOU 338 36.64
OAK 263 23.76
CAR 299 23.32
DAL 292 22.08
WAS 313 21.18
ATL 242 20.83
BAL 286 18.13
GNB 282 10.99
MIA 294 10.50
CHI 233 8.61
ARI 293 4.04
TAM 264 2.60
CIN 333 -1.69
DEN 291 -2.66
PIT 253 -2.68
NYJ 252 -3.18
SDG 254 -3.84
MIN 325 -4.14
IND 246 -8.12
BUF 319 -8.89
NOR 195 -9.74
NWE 281 -12.02
TEN 282 -12.08
STL 325 -12.58
PHI 279 -19.37
KAN 271 -19.52
JAX 259 -29.24
CLE 284 -45.81
NYG 195 -52.41
DET 215 -56.11
SFO 229 -73.13

Our draft picks have been hot garbage, and there's no other way to describe it. I guess you could say that the Giants have been nearly as bad, but no -- not really! -- when you consider Baalke has blown extra picks!

PS - formulas. All are draft order (x) and CarAV (y). All roughly have an r^2 of 0.4

2011 = -10.82*LN(X) + 60.851

2012 = -7.101*LN(X) + 42.035

2013 = -4.52*LN(X) + 27.467

2014 = -3.496*LN(X) + 20.815

2015 = -1.677*LN(X) + 9.6996

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This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.