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49ers By The Numbers

The Myth of the Weak 49ers Offense

Alex Smith and the 49ers offense will have no problems against the New Orleans Saints.

The big talk this week has been about how to limit Drew Brees and the Saints and what will happen if the 49ers get into a shooting war with the Saints. Leaving aside the strength of the 49ers defense (which I think matches up well with the Saints), there's the strength of the offense to consider.

In my opinion the 49ers offense is underrated and has been for a long time. I have no concerns about the 49ers hanging with the Saints, because it's shown that it can hang against other so-called "power" offenses like the Eagles, Giants, Cowboys and Lions. Yes the 49ers lost to the Cowboys, but that was in overtime and a game which could have easily gone the other way.

I want to take a look at the actual strengths of the 49ers offense and compare the to the Saints and see where we end up. To be clear I'm not going to argue that the 49ers offense is as good as the Saints offense. What I am going to try and show is that it's not as bad as has been claimed, nor is it a hopeless match up in a game vs a high powered offense.

Points per game

The whole point of an offense is to score points. This is where the 49ers show the biggest deficiency in comparison to the Saints. The Saints averaged just over 34 points per game, the 49ers just over 23, an 11 point differential. Looking at the rankings though and it's rather surprising. The Saints ranked are ranked 2nd the 49ers a surprising 11th. Far from being a terrible offense they're better than half the teams in the league at scoring points.

How do they compare to other playoff teams? The Houston Texans also scored an average of 24.8 points per game, but nobody talks about them like they can't hang with the big boys. The New York Giants scored an average of 24.6 points per game, essentially the same as the 49ers. The Detroit Lions averaged 29.6 points per game and squeaked into the playoffs.

Poll
How many points will the 49ers win by?
None at all--they'll lose
140 votes
Less than 3 points
126 votes
Between 3 and 5 points
497 votes
Between 5 and 7 points
303 votes
More than one touch down
285 votes

1351 votes | Poll has closed

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340 comments  |  3 recs | 

2011 49ers Pass Defense: Nothing to Worry About

Smothering pass defense from the 49ers.

There's been a great deal of discussion over the perceived weakness of the 49ers pass defense. The argument says that the 49ers won't be able to keep up with gunslinging teams like the Patriots and the Packers. I don't think  that this will be an issue at all. I think the 49ers pass defense is up to the task of defeating these types of teams. 

Let's look at some defensive statistics to show my point:

Points per game

I'd argue that this is the single most important statistic when it comes to evaluating a defense. I don't care if the defense allows 500 yards per game on offense if they can keep that offense from scoring it has done it's job. 

The 49ers defense is ranked first in the league with only 15.3 points per game given up. They're followed by the Ravens (15.5 ppg), Steelers (17.4), Bengals (17.6), and Texans (18.1).

Before arguing that the reason the 49ers have such a good ppg average is due to them playing in the NFC West, consider this:

The 49ers have only played one team from the NFC West. They're the only team in the top 5 who's opponents have a winning record (the record of 49ers opponents is 26-24). For example the Ravens have faced teams with a total record of 23-29 and the Steelers opponents record is 24-30. 

Poll
Do you think that the 49ers could beat the Green Bay Packers in a showdown?
Yes
1306 votes
No
437 votes

1743 votes | Poll has closed

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58 comments  | 

49ers by the Number: 21-23

The list today includes two of the best defensive backs and one of the best safeties to ever play for the 49ers, as well as one of the best RBs to play for the 49ers. Lots of talent today.

Player Position College Spot Drafted Years Played Jersey Number
Randy Baldwin RB Mississippi 92nd 1995 21
Frank Gore RB Miami (Fla.) 65th 2005-- 21
Larry Jones WR NE MIssouri State 367th 1978 21
RW McQuarters CB Oklahoma State 28th 1998-99 21
Anthony Parker CB Weber STate 99th 1999-2002 21
Deion Sanders DB Florida State 5th 1994 21
Eric Wright CB Missouri 40th 1981-1990 21
Tony Blevins SW Kansas Undrafted 1998 22
Todd Bowles S Temple Undrafted 1991 22
Ray Brown RB South Carolina 259th 1987 22
Nate Clements CB Ohio State 21st 2007-- 22
Bob Hayes WR Florida A&M 88th 1975 22
Dwight Hicks S Michigan 150th 1979-1985 22
Terry Jackson RB Florida 157th 1999-2005 22
Amp Lee RB Florida State 45th 1992-1993 22
Eddie Lewis DB Kansas 57th 1976-1979 22
Gary Lewis FB Arizona State 71st 1964-1969 22
Tim McKyer CB Texas-Arlington 64th 1986-1989 22
BJ Tucker CB Wisconsin 178th 2005-2007 22
Vic Washington RB Wyoming 87th 1971-1973 22
Joel Williams Center Texas 198th 1948 22
Tony Cherry RB Oregon State 240th 1986-1987 23
Marcus Hudson S North Carolina State 192nd 2006-2009 23
Ray Norton HB San Jose State 46th 1960-1961 23
George Smith Center California Undrafted 1947 23
Wayne Swinford DB Georgia 114th 1965-1967 23
Bruce Threadgill S Mississippi State 133rd 1978 23
Spencer TIllman HB Oklahoma 133rd 1989-1991 23
Herb Williams CB Southern 139th 1980 23
Jimmy Williams CB Vanderbilt 196th 2001-2004 23
Gerry Conlee Center St. Mary's Undrafted 1946-1947 22

 

The Winners:

Representing the Number 21: Frank Gore. Sanders is one of the best to ever play the position but he only played one year in San Francisco, making this an easy choice for me.

Representing the Number 21: Dwight Hicks. This was a tough one. Eric Wright is deserving of mention as is Nate Clements, but Hicks had a better career than Wright (who was hampered by injuries). Hicks was also part of the 1984 secondary that would be voted en masse to the Pro Bowl, something that's never happened before, or since.

Representing the Number 22: Nate Clements. Dude is a stud and will prove his doubters wrong this season

Representing the Number 23: By unanimous consent I've changed it to Spencer Tillman

 

Edit: I've made a tie for number 21 because I can't in good conscience leave Dwight Hicks off this list. Nor can I leave Gore off. 

18 comments  | 

49ers by the Numbers: 18-20

I'd forgotten that Lelie had a brief stint as a 49er--probably because his performance was very forgettable.

 

Player Position College Spot Drafted Years Played Jersey Number
Elvis Grbac QB Michigan 219th 1993-1996 18
James Jordan WR Louisiana Tech Undrafted 2002-2005 18
Ashley Lelie WR Hawaii 19th 2007 18
Micheal Spurlock WR Mississippi Undrafted 2009 18
Otis Amey WR Sacramento State  Undrafted 2005 18
Steve Stenstrom QB Stanford 134th 1999 18
Gene Washington WR Stanford 16th 1969-1977 19
Arland Bruce WR Minnesota Undrafted 2003 19
Scott Bull QB Arkansas 177th 1976-1978 19
Giovanni Carmazzi QB Hofstra 65th 2000-2001 19
Gary Huff QB Florida State 33rd 1980 19
LeRon McCoy WR Indian (PA) 226th 2007 19
Terrence Warren WR Hampton 114th 1995 19
Mike Adams Safety Delaware 67th 2004-2006 20
Terry Anderson WR Bethune-Cookman 321st 1980 20
Sheldon Canley RB San Jose State 193rd 1991-1992 20
George Donnelly CB Illinois 13th 1965-1967 20
Tony Harris WR Toledo 101st 1971 20
Garrison Hearst RB Georgia 3rd 1997-2003 20
Mike Holmes CB Texas Southern 18th 1974-1975 20
Amos Lawrence RB North Carolina 103rd 1981-1982 20
Derek Loville RB Oregon Undrafted 1994-1996 20
Tory Nixon CB San Diego State 33rd 1985-1988 20
Allen Rossum KR Notre Dame 85th 2008-2009 20
Keith Smith CB McNeese State 73rd 2009 20
Bill Stits DB UCLA 44th 1957-1958 20
Mark Harris WR Stanford Undrafted 1996-1999 19

 

 

The Winners:

Represeting the Number 18: Elvis Grbac. He'll never be remembered as a great player but he was a good backup for us when we needed him to be.

Representing the number 19: Gene Washington. He's a bit of an unheralded player in 49er history but he averaged almost 18 yards a reception during a time when the forward pass was not utilized as much as it is today. He had two seasons with 12 TDs (One in 1907 and one in 1972, and another season with 9 TDs)

Representing the number 20: Garrison Hearst. He's one of my favorite 49ers. I loved the way he ran the ball. If it weren't for his injuries he might be rememberd as the greatest running back in 49er history.

18 comments  | 

49ers by the Numbers: 15 through 17

I had no idea that Chris Weinke briefly played for the 49ers. I really liked the guy as a college player, too bad he never made it in the pros as a big success. We've got an ex-soccer player from Belgrade in this bunch, Ninjame's favorite 49er and the man himself, Cool Joe Montana.  

 

Player Position College Spot Drafted Years Played Jersey Number
Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech 9th 2009-- 15
Chris Hannon WR Tennesee Undrafted 2008 15
Jon Kilgore Punter Auburn Undrafted 1969 15
Jason McAddley WR Alabama 149th 2005 15
Jim McCann Punter Arizona State 316th 1971-1972 15
Lamarr McHann QB Arkanas 2nd 1963 15
Mike Moroski QB UC Davis 154th 1986 15
Bryan Clark QB Michigan State 251st 1982-1983 15
Charlie Britt HB Georgia 25th 1964 16
Arnie Galiffa QB Army Undrafted 1954 16
Joe Montana QB Notre Dame 82nd 1979-1992 16
Norman Snead QB Wake Forest 2nd 1974-1975 16
Kevin Daft QB UC Davis 151st 2001 17
Steve DeBerg QB San Jose State 275th 1977-1980 17
Momcilo Gavric Kicker Belgrade Undrafted 1969 17
John Isenbarger RB Indiana 48th 1970-1973 17
Billy Kilmer QB UCLA 11th 1961-1962, 1964 17
Kevin Lee WR Alabama 35th 1996 17
Chris Weinke QB Florida State 106th 2007 17
Brandon Williams WR Wisconsins 84th 2006-2007 17
Dominque Zeigler WR Baylor Undrafted 2008-- 17
Tony Gladney WR Nevada-Las Vegas Undrafted 1987 17

 


Winners:

Representing the Number 15--Michael Crabtree, just because I think he'll be a star WR

Representign the Number 16--Do I even have to say it? Joe Montana

Representing the Number 17--Steve DeBerg. The dude played into his 40s and was an incredibly tough QB

10 comments  | 

49ers by the Numbers: 12 through 14

Lots of players in this list, two of them, are among the best players to ever don a 49ers uniform, and another player is one of the best college QBs of all time.

 

Player Position College Spot Drafted Years Played Jersey Number
John Brodie QB Stanford 3rd 1957-1973 12
Ty Detmer QB BYU 230th 2006-2007 12
Trent Dilfer QB Fresno State 6th 2006-2007 12
Maury Duncan QB San Francisco State UDFA 1954-1955 12
Hal Ledyard QB Tenn-Chattanooga 104th 1953 12
Steve Bono QB UCLA 142nd 1989-1993 13
Shaun Hill QB Maryland UDFA 2006-2009 13
Gino Tretta QB Miami. (Fla.) UDFA 1996 13
Tom Wittum Punter Northern Illinois 200th 1973-1977 13
Tyronne Drakeford DB Virginia Tech 62nd 1997-1998 14
Sam Etcheverry QB Denver UDFA 1963 14
Bill Musgrave QB Oregon 106th 1991-1994 14
JT O'Sullivan QB UC Davis 186th 2008 14
Tom Owen QB Wichita State 322nd 1974-1975 14
Vinny Sutherland Kick Returner Purdue 136th 2001-2002 14
Y.A. Tittle QB LSU 3rd 1951-1960 14
Ray Wersching Kicker Califronia UDFA 1977-1987 14
Jeff Wilkins Kicker Youngstown State UDFA 1995-1996 14
Bryan Clark QB Michigan State 251st 1982-1983 14




The Winners

Representing the number 12--John Brodie. This is an easy one.  Trent Dilfer wore Brodie's number to bring more attention to the fact that Brodie is not ensrhined in the Hall of Fame.

Representing the number 13--Shaun Hill. I guess QBs must be a superstitious lot since there have only been three players in all of 49ers history to wear that number.

Representing the number 14--Y.A. Tittle. Another easy choice. Sadly Tittle's best years were after he was traded to the Giants.

25 comments  | 

49ers by the Numbers: 9 through 11

Some more familial relationships in this batch of 49ers. Kicker Matt Bahr has a younger brother who was also an NFL kicker. Jeff Brohm's younger brother is Brian Brohm, whom many of you may recall from his days at Hawaii. Jeff Kemp had a fairly successful career in the pros though he bounced from team to team.. He backed up Joe Montana in 1986 and threw 11 TDs for the 49ers. He's the son of Jack Kemp (former politician and NFL QB)

Player's Name Position College Spot Drafted Years Played Jersey Number
Shane Andrus Kicker Murray State Undrafted 2009-- 9
Jim Asmus Punter Hawaii Undrafted 1957 9
Barry Helton Punter Colorado 102nd 1988-1990 9
Jeff Kemp QB Dartmouth Undrafted 1986 9
Cade McNown QB UCLA 12th 2002 9
Matt Bahr Kicker Penn State 165th 1981 10
Ed Blount QB Washington State Undrafted 1987 10
Mike Connel Punter Cincinatti 260th 1978 10
PJ Fleck WR Northern Illinois Undrafted 2004-2005 10
Jamie Martin QB Weber State Undrafted 2008 10
Mike McCoy QB Utah Undrafted 1997 10
Steve Mike-Mayer KR Maryland 72nd 1975-1976 10
George Mira QB Miami (Fla.) 15th 1964-1968 10
Dennis Morrison QB Kansas State 357th 1974 10
Klaus Wilmsmeyer Punter Louisville 311th 1992-1994 10
Jeff Brohm QB Louisville Undrafted 1996-1997 11
Brandon Doman QB BYU 163rd 2002, 2004 11
Bob Gagliano QB Utah State 319th 1988-1987 11
Dan Melvile Punter California Undrafted 1979 11
Earl Morral QB Michigan State 2nd 1956 11
Alex Smith QB Utah 1st 2005-- 11
Steve Spurrier QB Florida 3rd 1967-1975 11
Bob Waters QB Presbyterian 83rd 1960-1964 11


Winners:

Representing the number 9: Jeff Kemp. Journeyman QB who's made a long career of coaching.

Representign the number 10: George Mira. Even though he wasn't all that great a back-up QB (his best season he had a completion ratio of 51%) he had a longish career.

Representing the number 11: Alex Smith, starting QB of the 49ers. Earl Morrall had a successful NFL career after the 49ers (especially with the Colts), but he only spent one season with the Niners.

13 comments  | 

49ers by the Numbers: Seven through Nine

Seven must be the lucky number this time around. We have two picks from the 1984 supplemental draft and a whole bunch of late round picks.

Name Position College Spot Drafted Years Played Jersey Number
Jason Baker Punter Iowa Undrafted 2001-2002 7
Guy Benjamin QB Stanford 51st 1981-1983 7
Nate Davis QB Ball Sate 171st 2009-- 7
Ken Dorsey QB Miami (Fla.) 241st 2003-2005 7
Drew Olson QB UCLA Undrafted 2007 7
Wade Richey KR LSU Undrafted 1998-2000 7
Todd Santos QB San Diego State 274th 1988 7
Mark Stevens QB Utah Undrafted 1987 7
Tony Zendejas Kicker Nevada 27th 1995 7
Steve Young QB BYU 1st 1987--1999 8
Shane Andrus Kicker Murray State Undrafted 2009 9
Jim Asmus Punter Hawaii Undrafted 1957 9
Barry Helton Punter Colorado 102nd 1988-1990 9
Jeff Kemp QB Dartmouth Undrafted 1986 9
Cade McNown QB UCLA 12th 2002 9

 

Mark Stevens took full advantage of the 1987 strike to become one of the first black QBs to play in the NFL, even if it was only for a couple of games.

There's a caveat to Zendejas' drafting position. He was drafted in the disperal draft which happened after the USFL disbanded. Interestingly enough there was another Zendejas who played for the Cowboys and was drafted in 1986. He was also a kicker--with a name like that they have to be releated.

Steve Young was the 1st overall pick in the 1984 supplemental draft. Interestingly enough there was another Steve Young drafted by the Buccaneers in 1976, although he was a tackle out of Colorado.

Winners:

Representing the Number 7: Nate Davis. Just because he's a fan favorite, not because I have any particular liking for him.

Representing the Number 8: Steve Young. This was easy and not just because he's the only Niner to have worn that number (weird huh?)

Representing the Number 9: Jim Asmus. Just for some old-time player love here.

7 comments  | 


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