football statistics Stories - Niners Nation
2011 NFL Draft: An Expanded Model for Predicting QB Career Performance (Cont'd)
AUTHOR'S NOTE: This is the continuation of yesterday's post. I'm just starting it from where I left off. Click here to read the first half. Oh, and again, WARNING: EXPLICIT STATISTICAL CONTENT! All in all, I tested 11 models: Sample Predictors Result ...
2011 NFL Draft: The Sanchez-Flacco Myth of QB Performance
AUTHOR'S NOTE: This is Part 4 of a 5-part series on predicting the career performance of NFL QBs. Sorry about the delay, but had unexpected family obligations come up yesterday. I'll be posting Part 5 of Monday at 8 a.m. PDT. I'm going to make a prediction. No, not one related to QBs - not yet at...
2011 NFL Draft: About High QB Draft Picks, Riddle Me This
AUTHOR'S NOTE: This is Part 3 of a 5-part series on predicting the career performance of NFL QBs. For the rest of the week, I'll be posting a new installment every day at 4 p.m. PDT. Yesterday, in Part 2 of this series, I did some deep thinking about the purpose of NFL-outsider QB projection and...
2011 NFL Draft: My Philosophy for Predicting QB Performance
AUTHOR'S NOTE: This is Part 2 of a 5-part series on predicting the career performance of NFL QBs. Today's posting is at 2 p.m. PDT because the 2011 NFL schedule is coming out at 4 p.m. For the rest of the week, though, I'll be posting a new installment every day at 4 p.m. PDT. Yesterday, in Part 1...
2011 NFL Draft: For the Love of Peyton, the Wonderlic is NOT Related to QB Performance!
AUTHOR'S NOTE: This is Part 1 of a 5-part series on predicting the career performance of NFL QBs. I'll be posting a new installment every day this week at 4 p.m. PDT. A couple of years ago, I did a post detailing my re-analysis of David Lewin's QB prediction system, known as the Lewin Career...
A Statistical Look at Drafting QBs: LCF Reduxe
Back in October, I introduced the Lewin Career Forecast (LCF) to Niners Nation (NN). To put it mildly, the post stirred up some lively debate, and signaled the beginning of a still-raging internecine battle on NN over the appropriateness of football stat analysis. Just to refresh everyone's memory,...
A Statistical Look at Drafting QBs: Who Should the 49ers Take?
Thanks to mikev, Fooch's post about Hill being named the starter turned Niners Nation into Niners Draft Day War Room. mikev's question was, "So who are the top QBs coming out of college this year?" Now, although I'm a Gator and follow them closely, I don't know my ass from my elbow when it comes to...
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