lewin-career-forecast Stories - Niners Nation
2011 NFL Draft Results: Projecting QB Colin Kaepernick’s Performance
A week ago, I unveiled a statistical model that best predicts the career performance of QBs selected during the first 4 rounds of the NFL draft. As expected, the 49ers used one of their top picks to draft a QB. Therefore, it seems like a good idea to see what the model has to say about Colin...
2011 NFL Draft: My Philosophy for Predicting QB Performance
AUTHOR'S NOTE: This is Part 2 of a 5-part series on predicting the career performance of NFL QBs. Today's posting is at 2 p.m. PDT because the 2011 NFL schedule is coming out at 4 p.m. For the rest of the week, though, I'll be posting a new installment every day at 4 p.m. PDT. Yesterday, in Part 1...
2011 NFL Draft: For the Love of Peyton, the Wonderlic is NOT Related to QB Performance!
AUTHOR'S NOTE: This is Part 1 of a 5-part series on predicting the career performance of NFL QBs. I'll be posting a new installment every day this week at 4 p.m. PDT. A couple of years ago, I did a post detailing my re-analysis of David Lewin's QB prediction system, known as the Lewin Career...
A Statistical Look at Drafting QBs: LCF Reduxe
Back in October, I introduced the Lewin Career Forecast (LCF) to Niners Nation (NN). To put it mildly, the post stirred up some lively debate, and signaled the beginning of a still-raging internecine battle on NN over the appropriateness of football stat analysis. Just to refresh everyone's memory,...
A Statistical Look at Drafting QBs: Who Should the 49ers Take?
Thanks to mikev, Fooch's post about Hill being named the starter turned Niners Nation into Niners Draft Day War Room. mikev's question was, "So who are the top QBs coming out of college this year?" Now, although I'm a Gator and follow them closely, I don't know my ass from my elbow when it comes to...















