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Statistical Review of the 2009 49ers: I. Overall

With the Saints (!!!) crowned champions this past Sunday, the time has arrived for my yearly statistical review of the 49ers' season. This year's review will be an 8-part series, with a new episode ai...

College Football's Biggest Under- and Overachievers of the Last Decade

One of my favorite stats is Pythagorean expectation. It looks at a team's points for and points allowed, and then estimates what we should expect that team's winning percentage to be. If you then look...

Sean O'Sullivan Bashed in Toronto, Angels Still Top Pythagoras

Final Score in Toronto: Angels 4, Blue Jays 5 Angels rookie Sean O'Sullivan didn't fool anyone as he allowed 4 Earned Runs in 1 Inning Pitched and wound up the loser in a 5-4 ballgame. Matt Palmer and...

Interleague Play, PythagenPat, and the Superiority of the American League

Interleague play is over for 2009. To the surprise of no one who follows baseball the American League dominated the National League yet again. This is part (but not all) of the basis for the argument ...

Has South Carolina Underachieved Under Spurrier?

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Bobby Johnson: How Good a Coach Is He?

It's official: there's two of them. How good a coach is Bobby Johnson? It's a pertinent question since he got Vandy to its first bowl since 1982 (its fourth overall), and it first bowl win since 19...

The Croominator's Record Laid Bare

Sylvester Croom was hired in a tough spot. Mississippi State's reputation had been sullied off the field, and the quality of play on it suffered. Four years of probation loomed as well, and it's alrea...

Luck! Huh! Good God Y'all. What Is It Good For?

(via xkcd, h/t mgo) I had a history professor in college, I don't remember her name or even the class she taught, but she would routinely stop her lecture in order to make sure we und...

Statistical Review of the 2008 San Francisco 49ers: I. Total DVOA

AUTHOR'S NOTE (2/10): Since this article was published, I revised the weekly DVOA trendline (and its associated discussion) to better fit the data. With the Pro Bowl this past weekend, all on-th...

2007 Pythagorean Wins

If you are familiar with my writings, you know that one of the cornerstones of my statistical research involves the application of the concept of Pythagorean Wins to SEC football. As we've come to rea...


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