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49ers open as 3 point favorites against Jacksonville

If I wasn't a 49ers fan I have to say I'd be throwing down heavy on the Jacksonville Jaguars at this point.  The 49ers-Jaguars line has opened with the 49ers as a 3 point favorite.  As we've discussed before, the home team automatically gets 3 points.  So this sort of means bookies are thinking the two teams are on relatively equal footing.

Personally I think this is a very winnable game, but I also have reached a point where I really don't know what 49ers team will show up.  Will the bend but don't break defense learn to tackle before Sunday, or will Maurice Jones-Drew bounce off would-be tacklers like a pinball?  The Jaguars have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL (#1 according to FO as of last week) and the 49ers defense has been inconsistent with the running backs.  If the team can't contain MJD, it could be a long day.

As for recent trends for both teams:

  • Jacksonville is 2-6 straight up in its last 8 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road
  • San Francisco is 2-2-2 against the spread in its last 6 games
  • San Francisco is 1-5 straight up in its last 6 games