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Statistical Preview of 2010 Free Agency...Niners Style

Hey everyone...only have a couple of hours left until the 2010 free agency period begins. Really quickly, I'm going to present some stats for a handful of unresistricted free agents at each position I think the Niners will be addressing via that route. In my now-complete season reviews, I identified the following positions that the Niners need to address:

  1. #2 RB
  2. #3 WR
  3. Pass-protecting OT
  4. KR/PR

I'll add a couple more that aren't necessarily needs, but are always helpful to have in abundance: CB and SS. This is especially true right now given that the Niners' 2 starting CBs going into 2009 ended up on injured reserve, and their starting SS had a series of concussions (not to mention that he's old).

So, of these 6 positions, I think #2 RB is best addressed during the draft because the Niners are looking for someone to effectively spell Gore, not compete with him for important carries. The jury's still out on Coffee, and most of the RB free agents are guys who are old, but still think they should start somewhere (e.g., LaDainian Tomlinson, Thomas Jones, etc.)

Another position I think will be addressed best in the draft is KR/PR, simply because it tends to be easier (and cheaper) to fill that role in the draft. Finally, I also think SS doesn't require a free agent signing because (a) there are slim pickings out there, and (b) the Niners already have options like Reggie Smith and -- dare I say -- Nate Clements already on the roster.

So, after the jump I'll just present the stats for #3 WRs, pass-protecting OTs, and CBs...

Be warned...not much commentary here from me. If you want to discuss stuff, populate the comment section here or in Fooch's upcoming free agency open thread.

#3 WRs

Here's the table for #3 WRs, showing their 2009 stats and their 3-year averages (best in bold; worst in italics):

 

 

2009

3-Year Avg

WR

Age

Targets

DVOA

DYAR/T

Yds/T

Targets

DVOA

DYAR/T

Yds/T

Antonio Bryant

29

87

-12.2%

0.03

6.90

112.5

0.6%

1.28

8.24

Nate Burleson

29

103

0.7%

1.06

7.88

69.0

5.4%

1.14

7.57

Chris Chambers

32

92

1.2%

1.09

7.93

95.0

-0.9%

0.87

7.59

Lee Evans

29

95

-11.2%

0.12

6.44

103.3

-3.4%

0.72

8.02

Torry Holt

34

102

-14.3%

-0.13

7.08

123.3

-6.0%

0.65

7.33

Derrick Mason

36

134

4.2%

1.34

7.67

139.7

4.0%

1.23

7.55

Muhsin Muhammad

37

89

-6.8%

0.46

6.53

92.3

-2.3%

0.87

7.49

Terrell Owens

36

109

-14.8%

-0.17

7.61

129.7

2.6%

1.30

8.32

Kevin Walter

29

70

22.5%

2.80

8.73

90.3

16.1%

2.23

8.52

Kevin Walter looks pretty good here...

Pass-Protecting OTs

Here's the table for OTs:

 

 

2009

3-Year Avg

OT

Age

Sack Rate

PBP

Sack Rate

PBP

Kirk Chambers

31

2.1%

5.5%

1.5%

5.5%

Chad Clifton

34

0.9%

4.5%

1.4%

4.5%

Mike Gandy

31

1.8%

7.6%

1.1%

6.5%

Cornell Green

34

1.1%

5.3%

1.5%

5.4%

Levi Jones

31

1.9%

9.5%

1.5%

6.7%

Orlando Pace

34

0.2%

7.6%

0.2%

5.6%

Tony Pashos

30

1.9%

2.7%

1.5%

5.5%

Jonathan Scott

27

2.6%

6.4%

2.6%

6.6%

Barry Sims

35

0.3%

4.1%

1.4%

5.3%

Mark Tauscher

33

0.7%

6.0%

1.0%

6.3%

Just so you know, Sack Rate is sacks per snap spent pass blocking, while PBP is the pass-blocking productivity index from Pro Football Focus. We can discuss me using this stuff in the comments, but I feel comfortable with it.

Need a pass-protector? Orlando Pace and Barry Sims look pretty good. Old, but good.

CBs

Here's the table for CBs:

 

 

2009

3-Year Avg

CB

Age

Thrown%

Comp%

Yds/T

PD%

Thrown%

Comp%

Yds/T

PD%

Benny Sapp

29

14.5%

70.2%

7.51

35.3%

15.7%

71.8%

7.42

19.4%

Dre Bly

33

12.4%

57.6%

7.25

16.9%

15.2%

61.8%

8.05

27.4%

Dunta Robinson

28

13.3%

65.9%

7.24

25.0%

13.9%

62.8%

7.31

29.5%

Leigh Bodden

28

18.4%

50.0%

5.72

26.7%

18.5%

59.2%

7.33

26.3%

Nick Harper

35

21.1%

72.4%

8.11

20.8%

21.3%

62.9%

6.86

21.5%

Terence Newman

31

14.4%

56.4%

7.43

29.3%

15.8%

61.1%

7.60

24.1%

Walt Harris

36

--

--

--

--

14.7%

64.1%

7.97

28.3%

William James

31

20.3%

61.3%

7.39

22.0%

19.5%

60.6%

8.50

16.4%

So you know, Thrown% is the % of snaps in coverage that the CB was thrown at by the opposing QB. Also, PD% is the % of incomplete passes thrown at the CB's intended receiver in which the CB actually knocked the pass down (as opposed to a drop or bad QB throw).

My favorites? Dunta Robinson and Leigh Bodden.

OK...discuss away. Hope these stats help our understanding of the free agents that are most likely to be looked at intensely by the Niners.