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2011 Super Bowl XLV Prop Bets: Odds and Predictions

Last week I posted a variety of 2011 Super Bowl XLV Prop Bets and I thought I'd follow up with some predictions on a few of the more amusing prop bets. I've also re-posted all the prop bets after the jump. You can find additional wagers not listed after the jump over at Bodog. Even if the Super Bowl is a boring affair, the prop bets (as well as the commercials) can provide all sorts of fun and games. And you don't even have to go gambling online to enjoy some of these odds. Why not use them to make some side wagers with your friends?

I'm thinking I'd take the over on Christina Aguilera's National Anthem. The over/under is 1:54 and some research would seem to indicate it'll be close. In this fairly awful rendition of the Anthem, she was at about 1:53. In this slightly better version from the 2010 NBA Finals she was once again at 1:53. However, this is the Super Bowl, which is really the biggest stage sports has to offer for a one-time event. If I were a betting man, I'd bet she takes it up a notch and goes over that 1:54 mark. And no, researching this stuff does not mean I have a gambling problem!

You can also bet on the Super Bowl coin toss. I don't know who will win it, but I do know of the saying, "Tails never fails." I suppose there's a 50% chance it could, but I'm not one to push those odds. I'll take tails. I'll also take a field goal/safety as the first score a +125. The last three Super Bowls have started with a field goal and six of the last ten have started with a field goal. I suppose I could assume that means a touchdown is due, but I'll go with a field goal at this point.

You can also bet on what will be the result of the first offensive play of the game. The odds on favorite is currently a rush attempt not resulting in a first down, which is getting 6/5 odds. That's the safest bet, but how about rolling the dice on a longer shot. You can get 12/1 odds on the first play resulting in a penalty and thus no play. It doesn't have to be a particular penalty, which opens the door to anything from holding to a false start to a personal foul. I'll put my money on that for a chance to win big.

If you want to get some solid odds, you can bet whether the Super Bowl will be decided by exactly three points. If you think it will be decided by exactly three points you can get odds of +350, which means if you bet $100, you win $350. On the other hand, if you bet for any other margin of victory the odds are -500, which means you have to bet $500 to win $100. Given how evenly matched these two teams seem to be, I'd roll the dice on a field goal deciding a tied game.

There are plenty of more random bets as well. You can bet on who the Super Bowl XLV MVP will thank first in the post-game interview. The odds on favorite is teammates at +125. Then it's God (+150), doesn't thank anybody (+375), Family (+650), and Coach (+750). I'd think teammates or God would be the likely choice and I'll go with God for slightly better odds (and to offset the fact that I'm betting on this and am likely headed to hell).

There are plenty more, but those are just a few of the interesting ones worth checking out. Time to make some money!

Super Bowl XLV Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers        +3

Green Bay Packer         -3

TOTAL Over/Under         45

Super Bowl XLV - Pittsburgh Steelers Total Team Points      

Over/Under                    21

Super Bowl XLV - Green Bay Packers Total Team Points      

Over/Under                    23.5

Super Bowl XLV - Pittsburgh Steelers Total 1st Half Team Points      

Over/Under                    11.5

Super Bowl XLV - Green Bay Packers Total 1st Half Team Points      

Over/Under                    12

Super Bowl Media Props

Super Bowl XLV Specials - What will the TV Rating be?

Over/Under Nielsen Rating                                  46

Super Bowl XLV Specials - Which region will have the higher local TV Rating?

Pittsburgh               -140

Green Bay               EVEN

Super Bowl XLV - How long will it take Christina Aguilera to sing the National Anthem?

Over/Under                    1 minute 50 seconds

Super Bowl XLV - How long will Christina Aguilera hold the note "Brave" at the end of the National Anthem?

Over/Under                    6 seconds

Super Bowl XLV Specials - Will Christina Aguilera wear a cowboy hat while singing the National Anthem?           

Yes                  3/1

Super Bowl XLV Specials - Will Christina Aguilera's hair color be anything except completely blonde when she sings the National Anthem?

Yes                  7/4

Super Bowl XLV Specials - What will Fergie be wearing when she appears first on stage during the Super Bowl Halftime Show?

Skirt/Dress                                1/1

Pants (Below Knees)                  1/1

Shorts (Above Knees)                 7/2

Thong/G-String/Bikini Bottom      10/1 

Super Bowl XLV Specials - Will Fergie be dressed as a Dallas Cowboys Cheerleader at any point during the Halftime show? 

Yes                  5/1

Super Bowl XLV - How Many Times will FOX show Jerry Jones on TV during the Game?

Over/Under                    3         

(Wager is on the number of times Jerry Jones will appear on TV during the Game (from kick off until final whistle). Live pictures only, Any Taped Pictures or Past Video does not count towards wager.)

Super Bowl XLV - Who will FOX show first on TV during the game?

Jessica Szohr (Aaron Rodgers' Girlfriend) -140

Ashley Harlan (Ben Roethlisberger's Fiancée)      Even

Super Bowl XLV - How Many Times will FOX mention "Brett Favre" on TV during the Game?

Over/Under                    2.5

(Wager is on the number of times "Brett Favre" will be mentioned on TV during the Game (from kick off until final whistle). Live commentary only, Any Taped or Past Video does not count towards wager, must say "Brett Favre" exactly.)

Super Bowl XLV - How Many Times will FOX mention "Lockout" on TV during the Game?

Over/Under                    2.5

(Wager is on the number of times "Lockout" will be mentioned on TV during the Game (from kick off until final whistle). Live commentary only, Any Taped or Past Video does not count towards wager, must say "Lockout" exactly.)

Super Bowl XLV - Who will the FOX announcers say has better hair TV during the Game?

Troy Polamalu               -120

Clay Matthews               -120

Super Bowl XLV - What Color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team?

Yellow                           3/2

Clear/Water                   2/1

Orange                          5/2

Lime Green                   5/1

Red                              15/2

Blue                              10/1

Super Bowl XLV - What side of the ball will the Players that perform the Gatorade Shower be from?

Offensive           +150

Defensive          -200    

Super Bowl XLV - Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?

God                                          3/2

Does Not Thank Anyone             2/1

Teammates                               5/2

Family                                      4/1

Coach                                       10/1

Super Bowl XLV - Will a punt hit the scoreboard during the game?

Yes                  10/1

Super Bowl XLV Specials - Will a Steelers player do the Aaron Rodgers Championship Belt Celebration during the game?            

Yes                  EVEN

No                    -140

Super Bowl XLV Specials - Will Any Player do the Lambeau Leap after a TD?         

Yes                  2/1

Super Bowl XLV - Will B.J.Raji be on the field for at least 1 offensive play?

Yes                  -175

No                    +135

Super Bowl XLV - Who will President Obama pick to win the game?

Pittsburgh Steelers        -140

Green Bay Packers        Even

Super Bowl XLV -How many current NFL Players will be arrested during Super Bowl Week?

Over 0.5            +150

Under 0.5           -200

Super Bowl XLV - Which Super Bowl commercial will have a higher rating on USA Today's annual Ad Meter?      

Bud Light                      11/4

Budweiser                     11/4

Doritos                          11/2

Pepsi Max                     6/1               10/1

Skechers                      12/1

Teleflora                        15/1

Other                            5/2

Super Bowl XLV Specials - If there is a picture of someone holding the Lombardi Trophy on the Cover of the USA Today on Monday February 7th, who will it be?        

Aaron Rodgers                           3/2

Ben Roethlisberger                     3/1

Troy Polamalu                           12/1

Clay Matthews                           15/1

Mike Tomlin                               18/1

Mike McCarthy                          18/1

Any Other Pittsburgh Player       2/1

Any Other Green Bay Player       2/1

Any Other Person                      15/1

Jerry Jones                                100/1

Super Bowl XLV Specials - What will happen with the Dow Jones the day after the Super Bowl?

Market Up                 -140

Market Down             EVEN

Super Bowl Game Props

Super Bowl XLV - What will be the result of the Super Bowl XLV Coin Toss?           

Heads (Coin Toss)         -105     

Tails (Coin Toss)            -105     

Super Bowl XLV - Team to win the opening coin toss

Pittsburgh Steelers (Win Opening Coin Toss)                   -105     

Green Bay Packers (Win Opening Coin Toss)                  -105     

Super Bowl XLV - Team to score first in the game     

Pittsburgh Steelers (Score First)             Even    

Green Bay Packers (Score First)             -130     

Super Bowl XLV - Will there be a score in the first 7min 30 seconds of the 1st quarter?        

Yes (First 7 min 30 sec of 1st Qtr)                       -175    

No (First 7 min 30 sec of 1st Qtr)                        +145    

Super Bowl XLV - Will Either team score 3 unanswered times in the game?

Yes (3 Unanswered Scores)                    -180    

No (3 Unanswered Scores)                     +150    

Super Bowl XLV - Will there be a score in the final 2 minutes of the 1st half?           

Yes (Score in Final 2 Minutes of 1st Half)             -260    

No (Score in Final 2 Minutes of 2nd Half)              +200    

Super Bowl XLV - Which Will be the Highest Scoring Quarter?         

1st Quarter                    4/1

2nd Quarter                   8/5

3rd Quarter                    4/1       

4th Quarter                    2/1       

Super Bowl XLV - Will the game go to overtime?      

Yes (Overtime)                           +900    

No (Overtime)                            -1800   

Super Bowl XLV - Longest Touchdown Scored in the Game (Yardage)         

Over/Under                    43.5

Super Bowl XLV - Shortest Touchdown Scored in the Game (Yardage)         

Over/Under                    1.5

Super Bowl XLV - Will there be a Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown scored in the game?    

Yes (Defensive or Special Teams TD)                              +145    

No (Defensive or Special Teams TD)                                -175    

Super Bowl XLV - Super Bowl XLV - What will be the result of the first coaches challenge in the game?    

Play Overturned                         -130     

Play Stands                              Even    

Player Odds

SUPER BOWL XLV - Odds to win MVP

Aaron Rodgers (GB) QB                         7/4

Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) QB                   7/2       

Rashard Mendenhall (PIT) RB                 15/2     

Greg Jennings (GB) WR                         12/1     

James Starks (GB) RB                           14/1

Troy Polamalu (PIT) S                            15/1     

Mike Wallace (PIT) WR                          16/1     

Clay Matthews (GB) LB                          18/1     

Charles Woodson (GB) CB                     20/1

James Harrison (PIT) LB                         22/1     

Tramon Williams (GB) CB                       25/1     

Hines Ward (PIT) WR                             25/1     

Heath Miller (PIT) TE                              25/1     

Donald Driver (GB) WR                           25/1

James Farrior (PIT) LB                            28/1     

Lawrence Timmons (PIT) LB                   28/1     

James Jones (GB) WR                           30/1     

Jordy Nelson (GB) WR                           30/1     

A.J. Hawk (GB) LB                                 30/1

B.J. Raji (GB) DT                                   30/1     

Emmanuel Sanders (PIT) WR                 35/1     

Sam Shields (GB) CB                            35/1     

Cullen Jenkins (GB) DE                          50/1     

Brandon Jackson (GB) RB                      50/1     

Field                                                     15/1     

SUPER BOWL XLV - Player to score the first TD in the game 

Rashard Mendenhall (PIT) RB                 5/1

Greg Jennings (GB) WR                         13/2     

Mike Wallace (PIT) WR                          15/2     

James Starks (GB) RB                           17/2     

John Kuhn (GB) FB                                12/1     

Hines Ward (PIT) WR                             12/1     

Heath Miller (PIT) TE                              12/1     

Donald Driver (GB) WR                           12/1     

James Jones (GB) WR                           12/1     

Jordy Nelson (GB) WR                           14/1     

Aaron Rodgers (GB) QB                         14/1     

Emmanuel Sanders (PIT) WR                 16/1     

Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) QB                   16/1     

Brandon Jackson (GB) RB                      18/1     

Andrew Quarless (GB) TE                       20/1     

Isaac Redman (PIT) RB                          20/1

Antonio Brown (PIT) WR                         25/1     

Mewelde Moore (PIT) RB                        28/1     

Donald Lee (GB) TE                               28/1     

Any Other Pittsburgh Player                   14/1     

Any Other Green Bay Player                   14/1     

No TD Scored In The Game                    50/1     

SUPER BOWL XLV - Total Passing Yards - Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)  

Over/Under                    240.5

SUPER BOWL XLV - Total TD Passes - Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)        

Over TD Passes                         O 1½ (+125)

Under TD Passes                       U 1½  (-155)

SUPER BOWL XLV - Total Passing Yards - Aaron Rodgers (GB)         

Over/Under                    275.5

SUPER BOWL XLV - Total TD Passes - Aaron Rodgers (GB)   

Over TD Passes                         O 2 (+125)

Under TD Passes                       U 2  (-155)

SUPER BOWL XLV - Who will record more Rushing Yards in the game?                   

James Starks (GB) RB               +25½ (-115)                  

Rashard Mendenhall (PIT) RB     -25½ (-115)      

SUPER BOWL XLV - Who will record more Receiving Yards in the game?                

Mike Wallace (PIT) WR              +9½ (-130)                   

Greg Jennings (GB) WR             -9½ (EVEN)     

Historical Matchups

HISTORICAL MATCHUP - Total Passing Yards, which will be higher?

Aaron Rodgers Super Bowl XLV                                      -29½ (-110)                  

Brett Favre Super Bowl XXXI (246 Passing Yards)             +29½ (-120)      

HISTORICAL MATCHUP - Total TD Passes, which will be higher?      

Aaron Rodgers Super Bowl XLV                          +125    

Brett Favre Super Bowl XXXI (2 TD Passes)          -155    

HISTORICAL MATCHUP - Completion Percentage, which will be higher?     

Aaron Rodgers Super Bowl XLV -11.5%               +105    

Brett Favre Super Bowl (51.8%) +11.5%              -135    

HISTORICAL MATCHUP - Total Passing yards, which will be higher?

Ben Roethlisberger Super Bowl XLV                                             -115.5 Yards    

Ben Roethlisberger Super Bowl XL (123 Passing Yards)                +115.5 Yards

HISTORICAL MATCHUP - Total Passing yards, which will be higher?

Ben Roethlisberger Super Bowl XLV                    `                       +15½ (-115)                  

Ben Roethlisberger Super Bowl XLIII (256 Passing Yards)              -15½ (-115)