The San Francisco 49ers travel to face the St. Louis Rams in Week 6 on Monday Night Football. This game marks the 49ers second divisional game, having dropped their first on the road to the Arizona Cardinals. This will be the Rams first divisional game. Following a 49ers win and Rams loss in Week 5, San Francisco is currently a 3-point favorite.
The line opened at 49ers -4, but it has come down to 3- or 3.5-points depending on the site you use. The 49ers are only 2-4 against the spread in their last six games, but they are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 road games. One interesting trend has the 49ers at 2-4 ATS in their last six games at St. Louis, but 4-2 straight up in the same span. Not a huge deal, but rather shows some close games.
The point total is set at 43.5 points. The 49ers have gone under the total in their last five road games. The Rams have gone under in 7 of their last 9 games, but have gone over in 10 of their last 15 home games.
In this past week's SuperContest picks, I took the Chiefs to cover in an attempt to counter the 49ers recent run of losing against the spread. That resulted in a 1-2 record straight up. The Chiefs ended up covering on Sunday, but the 49ers held on for the 22-17 win. I'm not entirely sure what to do this week. I suspect I'll be picking based on a 3- or 3.5-point line. I'm tempted to take the 49ers at -3 since a 3-point win would net me half a point. I'm open to suggestions!
We'll have plenty more to get you ready for Sunday's game, but in the meantime, here's a quick injury update. Tavon Austin was questionable for Sunday's game. He played, but finished with 33 yards on two receptions, and a pair of short punt returns. Zac Stacy suffered a strained calf during the game, but early reports indicate he will be good to go on Monday. He gets an extra day, so that will help. Even if he is limited, Benny Cunningham looks like a pretty capable backup for Stacy.