First we must lose both remaining games, leaving us with a 7-9 record and a SOS of (TBD?). Given we play the Chargers on Saturday, they will still be in the hunt to get into the playoffs. That motivation SHOULD propel them to a win? We also face the Cardinals, who will be playing for playoff seeding/home filed advantage, so they should be motivated sufficiently too.
Panthers odds of winning out: They play (7-7) Cleveland at home and @ (5-9) Atlanta, and will be playing for a playoff berth, so I say 2 wins has a good chance of happening.
Saints odds of winning out: They play (5-9) Atlanta at home and @ (2-12) Tampa Bay, and will be playing for a playoff berth. Very high they win out and win the NFCS at 8-8.
Vikings odds of winning out: They play @ (7-7) Dolphins and the (5-9) Bears at home. Bridgewater is playing better, but getting a W at Miami will be tough for them. They should beat the Bears, and worse case end with 7-9 record. Only problem is they win the SOS tie breaker. I call this possible, but not probable.
Rams odds of winning one remaining game: They play the (5-9) Giants at home and finish on the road at (10-4) Seattle. They should beat the Giants, and currently have a higher SOS than the Niners, but that may change when the season is over? It's possible they will be slotted lower than the Niners, if they ended with the same (7-9) record? Probability of beating the Giants at home is high.
Browns odds of winning one remaining game: The Panthers must beat the Browns this Sunday, so that means they need to beat the (9-5) Ravens away. I call this possible, but not probable. If they lose both, their SOS is much lower than ours, so they would pick before us. The other consideration, is if they beat the Panthers, the Browns would finish with 8 wins so, only one team is ahead of us.
Dolphins odds of winning one remaining game: As mentioned they play both the Vikings and the (3-11) Jets at home, Odds are very high they beat the Jets at home.
So there is SOME chance of getting to the #10 overall slot with 2 games to play. There is a very good chance we end up with the 12-13th overall, provided we finish 7-9.