clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

2016 NFL Draft order: 49ers sitting at No. 9 through eight weeks

New, comments

The San Francisco 49ers draft chances improved with Thursday's loss to the Seattle Seahawks. We break down their record and strength of schedule concerns.

The San Francisco 49ers dropped to 2-5 this past week, and are likely fairly settled into battling for draft positioning the final nine games of the season. Their loss coupled with a couple other teams winning has moved them from No. 12 to No. 9 in the 2016 NFL Draft order. Bookmark this Google spreadsheet to track the draft order all season long.

The 49ers draft positioning is handicapped by their schedule to a certain extent. The more games they lose, the higher they climb, but they face a problem in tiebreakers. The tiebreaker for draft order is strength of schedule. If two teams are tied in record, the team with the worse strength of schedule gets the better pick. The logic being that the same record against worse opposition makes them a worse team.

The spreadsheet linked above broke down the 49ers schedule and how the wins and losses are shaping up for their opponents. The biggest issues for them are the 5-2 Cardinals, 6-0 Packers and 6-1 Falcons. My guess is the 4-3 Steelers end up an issue as well with Ben Roethlisberger potentially returning this weekend.

San Francisco 49ers
Record 2 5
SOS % 0.547
SOS 58 48
Team Wins Losses
Arizona Cardinals 5 2
Arizona Cardinals 5 2
Seattle Seahawks 3 4
Seattle Seahawks 3 4
St. Louis Rams 3 3
St. Louis Rams 3 3
Chicago Bears 2 4
Detroit Lions 1 6
Green Bay Packers 6 0
Minnesota Vikings 4 2
Baltimore Ravens 1 6
Cincinnati Bengals 6 0
Cleveland Browns 2 5
Pittsburgh Steelers 4 3
New York Giants 4 3
Atlanta Falcons 6 1

Based on all that, the team is unlikely to win many tiebreakers when the season wraps up. Plenty could change, but the good teams on the 49ers schedule are likely to remain good, winning plenty of games. Here is how the top ten picks look, with SOS on the far right.

Order Team CONF DIV Wins Losses % SOS%
1 Baltimore Ravens AFC North 1 6 0.143 0.519
2 Detroit Lions NFC North 1 6 0.143 0.544
3 Tennessee Titans AFC South 1 5 0.167 0.491
4 Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South 2 5 0.286 0.457
5 Cleveland Browns AFC North 2 5 0.286 0.505
6 Houston Texans AFC South 2 5 0.286 0.510
7 Kansas City Chiefs AFC West 2 5 0.286 0.510
8 San Diego Chargers AFC West 2 5 0.286 0.515
9 San Francisco 49ers NFC West 2 5 0.286 0.547
10 Chicago Bears NFC North 2 4 0.333 0.510