The San Francisco 49ers train wreck of a season has one silver lining. The team’s 1-5 record and current performance has them looking at a fairly high draft pick. The schedule eases up in coming weeks, which could change that, but for the time being, they could be in position to draft just about anybody next April.
The 49ers 1-5 record leaves them tied with three other teams (Bears, Jets, Panthers). The 0-6 Cleveland Browns are the only team ahead of them. I bumped a FanPost to the front page yesterday that looked at the offseason, and the current draft order. It has the 49ers with the fourth pick in the draft due to their current strength of schedule.
Our friends at Football Outsiders put together a weekly look at playoff and draft odds. They provide percentages for several different potential outcomes on both sides of the league. They look at the chance to get into the playoffs, as well as potential results throughout the playoffs. On the other side of the ledger, they provide odds for the top pick in the draft, as well as a top three pick.
Through six weeks, the 49ers have the third best odds at the No. 1 pick, and are third in top three odds. Here’s how the top five odds look:
1. Cleveland Browns: 43.4%, 74.6%
2. New York Jets: 20.7%, 53.4%
3. San Francisco 49ers: 12.0%, 39.9%
4. Carolina Panthers: 6.0%, 26.3%
5. Chicago Bears: 4.8%, 21.7%
Here’s what the 49ers remaining schedule looks like, including current record. They face some pretty awful teams along the way that could shake this order up considerably. Their next two games are both very winnable. They get a Bucs team that somehow won at Atlanta in Week 1, but has not been overly impressive since. They then face a Saints team that has an awful defense, and an offense that is usually best suited at home. Of course, the 49ers defense could make them look plenty great on the road, so we’ll see.
vs. Bucs (2-3)
vs. Saints (2-3)
@ Cardinals (3-3)
vs. Patriots (5-1)
@ Dolphins (2-4)
@ Bears (1-5)
vs. Jets (1-5)
@ Falcons (4-2)
@ Rams (3-3)
vs. Seahawks (4-1)