The San Francisco 49ers are in their bye this week after another disastrous performance dropped them to 1-6. The 49ers again took a lead, but the wheels fell off pretty quickly against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It has been a disastrous season, and whether or not we see change in the front office, this team will be drafting fairly high in the 2017 NFL Draft order.
The 49ers 1-6 record has them tied with the Chicago Bears, and half a game ahead of the 1-5 Carolina Panthers. The 0-6 Cleveland Browns remain ahead of them. The 49ers currently hold a .500 winning percentage, which is tops among the zero and one win teams, and tied for lowest among the two-win teams as well.
Our friends at Football Outsiders are back with their weekly look at playoff and draft odds. They provide percentages for several different potential outcomes on both sides of the league. They look at the chance to get into the playoffs, as well as potential results throughout the playoffs. On the other side of the ledger, they provide odds for the top pick in the draft, as well as a top three pick.
A week ago, we looked at the odds, and the 49ers held the third best odds for the No. 1 pick (12.0%), and were third in top three odds (39.9%). This week, the 49ers have climbed to No. 2 in both, with a particularly large jump in their chances at a top three pick. Here are the two sets of odds
1. Cleveland Browns: 55.5%, 86.3%
2. San Francisco 49ers: 21.5%, 63.4%
3. New York Jets: 8.0%, 37.8%
4. Chicago Bears: 5.3%, 28.3%
5. Carolina Panthers: 5.0%, 26.1%
Here’s what the 49ers remaining schedule looks like following the bye. I have updated their respective records. The remaining sub-.500 teams include the Saints, Dolphins, Bears, Jets, and Rams. They again have several winnable games on the schedule, but we know that is not necessarily the way things work out. Of those five sub-.500 teams, I’m going to go with two wins, and we see the team finish 3-13 on the season. They could very well upset one of the teams at or above .500, but this team does not seem good enough to spring an upset of a winning team along the way.
vs. Saints (2-4)
@ Cardinals (3-3-1)
vs. Patriots (6-1)
@ Dolphins (3-4)
@ Bears (1-6)
vs. Jets (2-5)
@ Falcons (4-3)
@ Rams (3-4)
vs. Seahawks (4-1-1)