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Fantasy football waiver wire advice, Week 3: Blaine Gabbert might not be the worst QB option

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This stat about Blaine Gabbert vs. Aaron Rodgers cracks me up.

It’s Tuesday morning, which means fantasy football owners are pondering waiver wire options for Week 3. I know not everybody here plays fantasy football, but fantasy football analysis can provide some areas for discussing the current team. For example, this might go down as my favorite Blaine Gabbert stat this year:

Yep, Blaine Gabbert, undrafted in most fantasy leagues, has been a better option than Aaron Rodgers, drafted in the early rounds of virtually every fantasy league. Here is a quick look at their last eight games, respectively.

Blaine Gabbert
Week 2, 2016: 17/36, 243 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs, 10 rushing yards, 1 TD (loss)
Week 1, 2016: 22/35, 170 yards, 1 TD, 43 rushing yards (win)
Week 17, 2015: 28/44, 354 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 7 rushing yards (win)
Week 16, 2015: 22/33, 225 yards, 2 TDs, 9 rushing yards (loss)
Week 15, 2015: 30/50, 295 yards, 1 TD, 3 INTs, 10 rushing yards (loss)
Week 14, 2015: 18/28, 194 yards, 1 TD, 19 rushing yards (loss)
Week 13, 2015: 18/32, 196 yards, 1 TD, 75 rushing yards, 1 TD (win)
Week 12, 2015: 25/36, 318 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 11 rushing yards (loss)

Aaron Rodgers
Week 2, 2016: 20/36, 213 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 29 rushing yards, 1 TD (win)
Week 1, 2016: 20/34, 199 yards, 2 TDs, 16 rushing yards, 1 TD (loss)
Week 17, 2015: 28/44, 291 yards, 1 TD, 1 INTs, 12 rushing yards (loss)
Week 16, 2015: 15/28, 151 yards, 1 TD, 1 INTs, 19 rushing yards (loss)
Week 15, 2015: 22/39, 204 yards, 1 TD, 1 INTs, -1 rushing yards (win)
Week 14, 2015: 22/35, 218 yards, 2 TDs, 27 rushing yards (win)
Week 13, 2015: 24/36, 273 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INTs, 27 rushing yards, 1 TD (win)
Week 12, 2015: 22/43, 202 yards, 1 TD, 1 INTs, 33 rushing yards (loss)

For this season, in fairly traditional leagues, Gabbert had 13.50 points in Week 1 vs. the Rams, and 22.72 points in Week 2 vs. the Panthers. Rodgers had 23.56 points in Week 1 vs. the Jaguars, and 18.42 points in Week 2 vs. the Vikings. Rodgers has more points these first two weeks, but Gabbert has put up more over the past eight regular season games. The rushing numbers have helped, but also, a couple big passing outbursts last season contributed. Rodgers had not exceeded 300 yards over the past eight weeks, and has had only two games over 270 yards.

What does this all mean? Well, for real football, it means absolutely nothing. The 49ers have issues at the quarterback position. Gabbert can do some things on occasion, but he does not do enough well, and what he does do well, he cannot do nearly often enough.

From a fantasy perspective, however, he has emerged as a bye week candidate at quarterback, and maybe even an injury replacement at some point. The big question is how much longer he will be the 49ers starting quarterback. He will get this week against the Seattle Seahawks, and given the Week 5 short week against the Arizona Cardinals, I would be surprised if he was benched before that game. Following the short week, the 49ers host Tampa Bay, and then have a bye before facing the New Orleans Saints at home in Week 9. Somewhere in those two or three weeks is the “sweet spot” if the 49ers are going to make a change. But in the meantime, there might be some time to get ridiculous fantasy points from Gabbert!