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NFL picks, Week 3: Straight up, and considering Survivor pool strategy

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We’re back with more NFL picks, including Week 3 straight up picks, a Survivor pool, and a look at Thursday Night Football against the spread.

Thursday Night Football is back later this evening, and that means it’s time for more straight up picks. I have scuffled out of the gates, going 9-7 in Week 1 and then 7-9 in Week 2. A nice mediocre start to things. I’ll have my picks against the spread this weekend, and my Thursday Night Football pick against the spread below.

The San Francisco 49ers travel north to face the Seattle Seahawks this weekend. The 49ers are coming off a tough loss in Carolina. They hung close in the first half, let things slip away, mounted a comeback thanks to Panthers turnovers, but came up short in a 46-27 loss.

It should be no surprising that I’m picking against the 49ers this week. Seattle is struggling as well, but I think like in the past we see them turn things around moving forward. The 49ers best chance at an upset is if their defense can turn this into last week’s Seahawks-Rams game. If neither offense can get going, the 49ers could surprise Seattle.

I’m in an NFL Survivor pool, where you pick a different team each week. You can only pick a team once. You get one grace loss, so if I pick a team and they lose this week, I’m still alive. If I pick a team next week after that loss, and that latter team loses, then I’m done. I took the Raiders over the Falcons last week and got burned. I suppose I got a little too cute. I’m thinking I might take the Seahawks this week given their success at home and against the 49ers, but we’ll see. And if it costs the Seahawks a win, I can most definitely live with that!

For tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the Patriots and Texans, I’m taking the Texans at -1. The Patriots are rarely a home underdog, but with Tom Brady suspended and Jimmy Garoppolo out with a shoulder injury, Jacoby Brissett is going to be the starting quarterback. I suppose I should have learned my lesson from the Patriots-Cardinals Week 1 matchup, but I guess I’m a glutton for punishment.

Here are my straight up picks for this week.

Texans @ Patriots: Texans
Cardinals @ Bills: Cardinals
Raiders @ Titans: Titans
Browns @ Dolphins: Dolphins
Ravens @ Jaguars: Jaguars
Lions @ Packers: Packers
Broncos @ Bengals: Bengals
Vikings @ Panthers: Panthers
Washington @ Giants: Giants
Rams @ Buccaneers: Bucs
49ers @ Seahawks: Seahawks
Jets @ Chiefs: Chiefs
Chargers @ Colts: Colts
Steelers @ Eagles: Steelers
Bears @ Cowboys: Cowboys
Falcons @ Saints: Saints