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Picks against the spread for Week 6 NFL games

The San Francisco 49ers are 9.5-point road underdogs against the Green Bay Packers in their first primetime game of the season. Time for my Westgate SuperContest picks, as well as my picks for the remaining games.

The 2018 NFL season is officially in full swing, which means regular season betting is back. I’m back for another year of picks in the Westgate SuperContest. SB Nation’s partners over at Odds Shark are sponsoring my entry again. The contest requires selecting 5 games each week and picking them against the spread. I finished 2-2-1 in Week 6, which brings me to 13-10-1 for the season. Overall for last week I scuffled along at 8-6-1.

The San Francisco 49ers are a 9.5 point underdog on Monday Night Football against the Green Bay Packers. Some sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark are offering 10.5 points, but for the most part it’s 9.5 — including at the SuperContest. If the line had been 10 or higher I might have been tempted by the 49ers, but without getting that needed hook, I’m staying away from this one. The 49ers are scuffling, but Green Bay has not been overly impressive this season. I could see a close game, I could see a Packers blowout — it’s a wide open one and I’m just not comfortable picking either way.

Here are my five SuperContest picks for Week 6.

VIKINGS (-10) over Cardinals
WASHINGTON (-1) over Panthers
Buccaneers (+3.5) over FALCONS
BRONCOS (+6.5) over Rams
TITANS (+2.5) over Ravens

I don’t normally like taking a double digit favorite, but after last week’s game, I think it is reasonable to bet against Arizona in Minnesota. If the 49ers don’t turn the ball over five times, I think they probably win that game by double digits. Kirk Cousins is a much better quarterback than C.J. Beathard, he’s got some big-time weapons in the passing game, and he’s backed by a stout Vikings defense. The Cardinals could surprise them, particularly with Minnesota coming off a close road win over the Eagles, but I really think this is a game the Vikings win going away.

I stuck with home teams for the most part. The one road team is the Bucs in the return of Jameis Winston as their starting quarterback. He’s had success against Atlanta, and if O.J. Howard plays, they could do some damage against a banged up Falcons defense. The Bucs are a tough team to figure out given the transition at quarterback, but I like them here.

The Rams are on a roll, but if Denver is going to keep this close, this is the ideal situation. The Broncos have played well at home, including nearly upsetting the Kansas City Chiefs two weeks ago. Add in cold weather with a chance of snow, and I’m ready to take the Broncos with the cover.

I went 8-6-1 overall in Week 5. Here are all my picks for Week 6:

GIANTS vs. Eagles (-3): Eagles — LOSS
VIKINGS vs. Cardinals (+10): Vikings
BROWNS vs. Chargers (-1): Browns
DOLPHINS vs. Bears (-3): Dolphins
WASHINGTON vs. Panthers (+1): Washington
JETS vs. Colts (+2.5): Jets
BENGALS vs. Steelers (+2.5): Steelers
FALCONS vs. Buccaneers (+3.5): Buccaneers
Seahawks vs. Raiders (+3 — London): Seahawks
TEXANS vs. Bills (+9.5): Bills
BRONCOS vs. Rams (-6.5): Broncos
COWBOYS vs. Jaguars (-3): Cowboys
TITANS vs. Ravens (-2.5): Titans
PATRIOTS vs. Chiefs (+3.5): Patriots
PACKERS vs. 49ers (+9.5): Packers