In the least surprising news of the day, the San Francisco 49ers odds to win Super Bowl 53 have taken a sizable hit. Entering Week 3, the 49ers were anywhere from 25/1 to 35/1, depending on your sportsbook of choice. Following the loss and Jimmy Garoppolo’s torn ACL, the odds have dipped considerably.
A few sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark have not updated their Super Bowl 53 odds, but the ones that have all dropped them to at least 80/1. Additionally, SportBet, 5Dimes, and the Westgate SuperBook all have moved the 49ers to 500/1. Different sportsbooks look at futures odds differently, and some have different scales for measuring out the long shots. Either way, they’re hoping to draw in a few sucker bets on the 49ers to make some easy cash.
Meanwhile, the spread for this weekend’s 49ers-Chargers matchup is growing. It opened at 9.5, and quickly climbed to 10.5 at most sportsbooks. It has now risen to 11.5 at 5Dimes and SportBet, and money continues to pour in on the Chargers.
The 49ers are going to struggle as the season moves along, but I would not be surprised to see some sharp money come in on them now that the line is north of 11. They say you should bet the number not the team. I’d say stay the heck away from the 49ers for the time being, but for some of these matchups, there could be some value in a contrarian bet. The Chargers are not one of the worst teams in the league, but they have a ton of question marks. The 49ers defense struggled against Kansas City, but a bounce-back effort could turn this into a competitive game on Sunday.
I don’t know that I have the stones to take the 49ers as double digit dogs with one of my five SuperContest picks, but it’s at least intriguing as the line climbs higher.