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49ers projected one compensatory pick in 2019 NFL Draft

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Was this worth it for Aaron Lynch leaving?

The official compensatory picks list for the 2019 NFL Draft hasn’t been announced but we have been able to get some projections of what the San Francisco 49ers will receive. Our friends over at Over The Cap put together their list of compensatory picks based on the contracts signed by free agents and project the 49ers have one sixth round pick coming their way for Aaron Lynch.

Lynch departed the 49ers in the 2018 offseason and signed with the Chicago Bears for a one-year deal worth $3,950,000. When he was with the 49ers he had flashes of being that demon pass-rusher they had been looking for, but he also had issues with motivation. Lynch was reported to show up to training camps overweight and out of shape which led to the 49ers would spending time getting him straightened out. Sometimes it was for no fault of his own (one season he was coming off a back injury), other times it was a head scratcher.

Based on this list, there are only 32 compensatory picks handed out total and they are ranked based on a number of factors (the formula for compensatory picks hasn’t been released by the NFL), including the amount of money the free agent receives in their next contract. Over the Cap puts Kirk Cousins is at the top for that monster free agent contract he signed with the Minnesota Vikings, so that nets Washington a third round pick. Nate Soldier follows at No. 2 with his signing and things keep going until the 32 picks are decided on. The 49ers had a shot at getting a couple more compensatory picks for the departures of Logan Paulson and Leon Hall, however they fall outside of the 32 pick allotment.

The 49ers have just five picks going into the 2019 NFL draft so any extras is certainly going to help, even if it’s a sixth rounder.

Below is how Over the Cap’s methodology for determining picks in their projections.

“Each qualifying player has a value based on his contract, playing time and postseason honors, and that value corresponds to a round in the draft. In the compensatory equation, each qualifying player that a team signs cancels out a qualifying player that the team lost whose value is the highest in the same round. If there are no lost players remaining in that round, the signed player cancels out the lost player whose value is the next-highest. A signed player will cancel out a lost player whose value falls in a higher round only if there are no remaining lost players. After all of a team’s qualifying signed players have canceled out a lost player, the team can receive a comp pick for each qualifying player who remains. For example, consider a team that loses one qualifying player whose value falls in the third round and another qualifying player whose value falls in the sixth round but signs a qualifying player whose value falls in the third round. That team would receive a sixth-round comp pick because the signed player would cancel out the loss of the higher-valued player. If the signed player’s value were equal to a fourth-round pick or lower, however, the team would receive a third-round comp pick, because the signed player would cancel out the loss of the lower-valued player.”