It took five games for the San Francisco 49ers to go into a game as underdogs. The game against Tampa Bay closed as a “pick ‘em.” The Niners will play their first NFC West divisional game on Sunday as they travel to play the 3-2 Los Angeles Rams. The 49ers were 3.5 point underdogs when this line came out after the Niners beat Cleveland Monday night. That number is down a half-point to three. Generally speaking, the home team is gifted three points, unless there’s a substantial difference in talent.
Vegas has these “look ahead lines,” and coming into the season, the 49ers were 8.5-point underdogs to the Rams. A five-point swing is drastic in the gambling world. That tells you how highly Vegas thinks of San Francisco. I’d have the Rams as favorites because they are at home, but in the trenches, the 49ers have the advantage. Their defensive line should continue to create havoc against a Rams offensive line that has struggled. We’ll get into more of that later this week. The total on the game is 50.5, so Vegas is expecting a Rams win of 27-24.
The 49ers lost two of their most critical run-blocking players in Mike McGlinchey and Kyle Juszczyk, but Vegas has still moved the line in the road teams’ favor. That’s generally a sign that there is significant money coming in on San Francisco. It could also mean the “Average Joe” bettors are betting heavy on the Rams, and the “pros” are betting on the 49ers.
We’ll get into more matchups as the week goes on, but what do you think of this spread?