After a couple of weeks off, Fooch and I are back with some of our best bets for Week 6. Let’s start with the big game in the NFC West today.
Rams (-3.5) over 49ers: I actually teased this game down to Rams -2.5. I think this is a close one, but even at 3.5, I’d still lean Rams. Kyle Shanahan is an offensive genius, so I think he can adjust the run game with Kyle Juszczyk and Mike McGlinchey out, but I think we see the unit struggle a little bit compared to recent performances. The game might come down to what Jimmy Garoppolo can do, and this is a big test for him in that regard. I would not be at all shocked by the 49ers winning this one, but I think this number favors picking the Rams
Rams -3 over 49ers
I’m on the home team as well. There is a blueprint for how to beat the Rams, and Rich will have more on the “tilt” front later this morning. I think if Saleh doesn’t adapt, the Rams will score points. Their offense is made to beat his defense. Goff’s numbers at home are far superior, and I feel like this is the ultimate desperation game for Los Angeles.
Falcons (-2) over Cardinals:
The Falcons are not good, but right now, Arizona is a little overvalued. I think this is a game where the Falcons show some signs of life, and their offense gives the Cardinals some problems.
Cardinals + 2.5 over Falcons
I’m on the other side of this game. This Falcons defense is terrible, and Arizona seems to be figuring it out on defense. The Cardinals offense is headed in the right direction, and they just haven’t been able to punch it in when they get to the red zone. Atlanta is the perfect medicine.
Anytime I can bet against Kirk Cousins, and I like to do so. The Eagles pass defense is not great, but it’s an improvement compared to some of his recent opponents. The Eagles might not win this one outright if Dalvin Cook runs wild, but I like their chances in this spot.
This is an overreaction from last week to Cleveland getting blown out and Seattle winning. The Seahawks are 4-1, but there is a lot of “fluke” in their record. They have Russell Wilson, and that’s where the compliments stop. The Browns offense can’t function if they don’t have time. San Francisco didn’t give them any. Seattle can’t rush the passer. I like Cleveland here.
This game is going to be an absolute shoot-out. My one concern is Patrick Mahomes’ ankle, which contributed to the Chief’s struggles vs. Indy, but even in that instance, Mahomes threw for 321 yards. I’m willing to bet on both teams getting into the 30s.
I liked the Jets +7.5 and the Titans +2, but I’m going with the Jaguars. Fading the Saints after a couple of big wins, I think Jacksonville can pressure Teddy Bridgewater. Unlike the previous teams, Jacksonville can score now that they have a quarterback. This feels like the spot where Bridgewater comes back down to earth.