ESPN has been teasing its pass-block and pass-rush win rate for most of the offseason. After a month of football, they released the data they’ve been collecting. Here’s how they describe the stat:
Our Pass Block Win Rate metric tells us the rate at which linemen can sustain their blocks for 2.5 seconds or longer. Likewise, our Pass Rush Win Rate metric tells us how often a pass-rusher is able to beat his block within 2.5 seconds. Our model of pass blocking harnesses player tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats.
The Niners or Browns didn’t have a player listed in the top ten for pass-rush win-rate on the defensive line. This wasn’t the case for the offensive line, though. The best pass-blocking offensive tackle according to this stat? Mike McGlinchey.
1. Mike McGlinchey, 49ers, 98%
2. Tytus Howard, Texans, 96%
3. La’el Collins, Cowboys, 95%
4. David Bakhtiari, Packers, 94%
5. Kelvin Beachum, Jets, 94%
6. Trent Brown, Raiders, 94%
7. Tyron Smith, Cowboys, 92%
8. Ty Nsekhe, Bills, 92%
9. Alejandro Villanueva, Steelers, 92%
10. Dion Dawkins, Bills, 92%
When you talk about “winning” and “efficiency” when discussing offensive linemen, they can get beat three times in a game, and fans will think they played horribly. Let’s say McGlinchey had 35 snaps in pass protection, for example. He gets beaten three times and his win-rate drops to 91%. That’s tough. This is why they are the best of the best. Oddly enough, it’s the running game where McGlinchey has struggled this season.
Browns guard Joel Bitonio was tied for eighth for guards. Their center JC Tretter was third among centers. Weston Richburg found himself at seventh:
1. Corey Linsley, Packers, 98%
2. Rodney Hudson, Raiders, 97%
3. JC Tretter, Browns, 97%
4. Mike Pouncey, Chargers, 97%
5. Ryan Jensen, Buccaneers, 96%
6. A.Q. Shipley, Cardinals, 96%
7. Weston Richburg, 49ers, 96%
8. Brandon Linder, Jaguars, 95%
9. Mitch Morse, Bills, 95%
10. Austin Reiter, Chiefs, 94%
A healthy Richburg has made a difference for the 49ers offense early this season. He’ll need to continue his play against a stout Browns interior defensive line.
The final stat saw ESPN breakdown team pass rush and block win rate. Neither team was listed in the top ten for defense. The Browns were No. 4 for pass blocking. Considering the Browns are 24th in adjusted sack rate, that hints at Baker Mayfield running into sacks. That’s good news for the 49ers.