FanPost

So ... Where Do We Go From Here?

On Monday Fooch posted an article entitled "Full offseason tracker of 49ers roster moves" which summarizes roster activity from now through the start of the 2019 season in September. At this point in time almost all of the transaction categories can be summarized as "TBD". In retirement, for fun, and as a "Pseudo Niners GM" junkie I maintain a perpetual analysis of such stuff. For most of us this is "dead week" ... the Combine is over but official free agency tampering doesn't start until next week ... meaning, except for many ridiculous rumors, absolute boredom. Just for giggles, let me fill in Fooch's blanks with my desired outcomes over the next six months.

With the roster build-up to 90 players for Training Camp and then the cut-down to the Final-53 there are going to be a lot of additions and then departures. To avoid all of that "noise" I'm going to simply include those changes that will have an impact on my projected Final-53. Here goes:

2019 Salary Cap

$ 188.2 million ... a 6.2% increase over the 2018 Cap.

Niners' 2019 Salary Cap Capacity ... As of March 5, 2019

$ 67,684,622 ... before reflecting the effect of proposed free agency additions, deletions, other cuts (dead money) and draftee additions.

Proposed 49ers Free Agency Additions ... No Comp Pick Impact

TE Jesse James (Pittsburgh)

P Austin Rehkow (several NFL clubs but now with the Salt Lake Stallions of the AAF)

Proposed 49ers Free Agency Additions ... Potential Comp Pick Impact (Preferred signing at each position listed first)

LB Anthony Barr (Minnesota) or Shaquil Barrett (Denver)

FS Earl Thomas (Seattle) or LaMarcus Joyner (LA Rams)

CB Pierre Desir (Indianapolis) or Rashaan Melvin (Oakland)

Note: I would love to also sign a free agent edge-rusher like Trey Flowers (New England) or Dante Fowler (LA Rams) but we simply don't have enough cap room to afford that; my assumption is that Barr or Barrett will essentially serve that function in Nickel and Dime situations.

Trades

None ... too costly in (a) already limited draft capital, and (b) impact on cap capacity.

Proposed 49ers Free Agency Departures

RB Alfred Morris

WR Max McCaffrey

CB Greg Mabin

CB Tyvis Powell

S Jimmie Ward

S Antone Exum

P Bradley Pinion

LS Kyle Nelson

Proposed Free Agents Re-Signed or Extended (Italics indicates already done)

RB Raheem Mostert

LB Elijah Lee

LB Mark Nzeocha

DL DeForest Buckner (Extension)

OG Mike Person signs 3-year extension

Proposed 49ers Internal Transactions (Italics indicates already done)

TE Garrett Celek released

TE Ross Dwelley released

DL Sheldon Day released

DL Cassius Marsh released

LB Malcolm Smith released

LB Dakota Watson released

K Robbie Gould franchise tagged

WR Pierre Garcon released

OT Gary Gilliam released

DT Earl Mitchell released

Remaining Free Agents

None

Proposed 2019 NFL Draft Picks (Preferred pick listed first)

Pick #1/2: E Nick Bosa (Ohio State) or E Josh Allen (Kentucky)

Pick #2/36: WR AJ Brown (Mississippi) or WR Hakeem Butler (Iowa State) or WR Deebo Samuel (South Carolina)

Pick #3/67: OL Chris Lindstrom (Boston College) or OL Connor McGovern (Penn State)

Pick #4/104: TE Josh Oliver (San Jose State) or TE Kaden Smith (Stanford)

Pick #6/176: LB Terrill Hanks (New Mexico State) or LB Bobby Okereke (Stanford)

Pick #6/212: WR Keelan Doss (California - Davis)

Proposed Undrafted Free Agent Additions (Assuming that they actually go undrafted)

QB Easton Stick (North Dakota State)

RB James Williams (Washington State)

C Tanner Volson (North Dakota State)

E Justin Hollins (Oregon)

LB Jordan Kunaszyk (California)

S Malik Gant (Marshall)

P Mitch Wishnowsky (Utah)

.

Proposed Resulting Final-53 Roster (Fee agents and draftees in CAPS)

Quarterbacks (3): Garoppolo / Beathard / Mullen

Running Backs (4): McKinnon / Breida / Mostert / Wilson

Fullbacks (1): Juszczyk

Wide Receivers (6): AJ BROWN or BUTLER / Pettis / Goodwin / Taylor or James / Bourne / DOSS

Tight Ends (3): Kittle / JAMES / OLIVER

Tackles (3): Staley / McGlinchey / Coleman

Guards (4): Tomlinson / PERSON / Garnett / LINDSTROM or MCGOVERN

Centers (1): Richburg

Note: Both Person and Lindstrom/McGovern can also play Center if needed.

.

Nose Tackles (1): Jones

Note: Armstead may be played at Nose in some situations.

3-Techniques (3): Buckner / Thomas / Street

Big Ends (3): Armstead / Blair / Taylor

Leos (2): BOSA or ALLEN / Taumoepenu

SAM LBs (2): BARR or BARRETT / Nzeocha

MIKE LBs(2): Warner / Coyle

WILL LBs (2): Lee / HANKS or OKEREKE

Strong Safeties (2): Tartt / Harris

Free Safeties (2): THOMAS or JOYNER / Colbert

Cornerbacks (4): Sherman / DESIR or MELVIN / Witherspoon / Moore

Nickelbacks (2): Williams / Reed

.

Kicker (1): GOULD

Punter (1): REHKOW

Long-Snapper (1): Holba

.

.

So, what is the approximate financial effect of all of those proposed moves? Using my best guess for what the free agents will likely sign for (on an average-per-year cap-effect basis), here's what it would look like roughly:

.

Cap Space as of March 5, 2019 (per OverTheCap) $ 67,684,622
Add: Presently-identified Dead Money (per OTC) $ 1,838,175 (1)
Add: Cap Savings from players released or cut (per OTC) $ 5,150,000 (2)
Gross Cap Space before any Dead Money or additions $ 75,672,797
Estimated APY cos for six free agents (including Person) $ 36,000,000
Dead Money for all proposed players released or cut $ 16,500,000 (3)
Provision for 2019 draft class $ 10,050,000
Total Commitments against Cap for roster changes $ 62,550,000
Remaining Cap Space after all proposed transactions $ 13,122,797
(1) Included in Dead Money estimate below.
(2) Cap savings from Garcon, Smith and Mitchell contracts.
(3) Garcon ($7,2M),Smith ($4.2M), Foster ($2.4M) and Mitchell ($1.5M)
are the big contributors.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Niners Nation's writers or editors.