Six 49ers props heading into the season

Betonline.ag released player stats for every team, and they had their fair share of San Francisco 49ers props. I love these types of discussions, so I thought I’d share them with you. Let’s get into them, starting with an old friend.

Will Frank Gore rush for over 500 yards? (he’s done so all 15 NFL seasons in his career)

Yes +160 (8/5)

No -200 (1/2)

Gore has rushed for more than 600 yards every year of his career. Last year Gore ran for 621 yards. This number will likely be tied to how many carries Gore receives. Every Jets camp report has suggested Gore has been the best back on that team during training camp.

Brandon Aiyuk- Total Receiving Yards in the 2020 Regular Season

Over/Under 590.5

The 49ers had two receivers over 590 yards last season. Emmanuel Sanders, who joined the Niners midway through the year, had 573 yards on 61 targets. I’m in the minority that believes Aiyuk will be the team’s top wideout. I’m not sure if that’ll be in 2020, but it won’t be long before Aiyuk is the roster’s top guy. Sanders had a few big plays, and that will be how Aiyuk reaches this number. George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, and Trent Taylor will likely be the three leading receivers target-wise this season. That doesn’t mean Aiyuk won’t have more yards than Taylor.

Brandon Aiyuk - Total Receiving TD’s in the 2020 Regular Season

Over/Under 4

Kendrick Bourne led the Niners in receiving yards last season with six. Kittle had five, while both Sanders and Samuel had three. The question becomes, like the previous one, is will Aiyuk replace Sanders’s production? Four doesn’t seem like a lot. It is when you realize that Shanahan will use multiple backs and receivers near the goal line.

Thirteen different players caught a touchdown in 2019 on the 49ers. I’ll say over because I believe Aiyuk will get the preferred first-round treatment. Near the goal line, Aiyuk has the leaping ability that will help Garoppolo. He’s also very good at running slant routes and appears to be comfortable with a bunch of bodies around him.

Raheem Mostert - Total Rushing Yards in the 2020 Regular Season

Over/Under 820.5

I joked about how Shanahan should have a clause in his contract where he loses money every time Mostert doesn’t receive 15 carries in a game this season. Fifteen carries would give Mostert 240 all season, assuming he’s healthy. Mostert is going to average more than 3.5 yards per carry. Mostert ran for 772 rushing yards last season.

Raheem Mostert - Total Rushing & Receiving TD’s in the 2020 Regular Season

Over/Under 8

Mostert rushed for six touchdowns last season in 137 attempts. That number figures to increase, though I wouldn’t rule out one of the other running backs—or even Deebo or Aiyuk—to “vulture” some touchdowns near the goal line. Because this prop includes receiving touchdowns, I’d feel comfortable with the over. He’s bound to break a screen for an explosive play. Judging by practice, we’ll see Mostert more involved in the passing game.

Nick Bosa - Total Sacks in the 2020 Regular Season

Over/Under 12.5

Saving the best for last. Bosa finished with nine sacks as a rookie on 492 pass rushes. This number is about the 49ers’ health up front as much as it is Bosa. If Dee Ford plays 60% of the snaps, that means Bosa won’t see double teams on the opposite side. Bosa will get his production.

Oddly enough, his sacks came in bunches last season. Bosa had three games where he had multiple sacks last season. He also had 10 games where he didn’t have a sack. My guess is we see less of the later and more of the former moving forward.