Remember those Matthew Stafford to the 49ers odds? A day or two before Stafford was moved to the Rams for Jared Goff, Vegas had him as the overwhelming favorite to be the Niners’ next quarterback. At one point, Stafford got as high (low?) as -130.
That means you’re losing money. That’s how confident Vegas was that Stafford was headed to the Bay Area. Or, they knew people would fall for what the media was selling and take advantage of them. I fell for it. I’m sure I’m not the only one.
That’s what Vegas does. They prey on people who overreact to the news and the most recent results. We see it every week with the spreads in the NFL during the regular season.
This brings us to Mac Jones and the No. 3 overall pick:
From Adam Schefter to Ian Rapoport to the Bay Area media members, you’d think Mac Jones is a lock to San Francisco. Fans are sweating. Everyone is nervous that the 49ers traded multiple first-round picks for a quarterback that many evaluators have as QB5.
Jones feels like a sucker bet.
IF I were a betting man, I’d bet on the second quarterback listed. We’ve already seen one meteoric rise up the draft rankings in Zach Wilson. But two? Words can’t describe the pressure on Jones to succeed at No. 3 overall. Not just Jones, but Kyle Shanahan, too.
Common sense has to prevail here. It’s understandable to think why Mac Jones would appeal to Shanahan in the first round. It makes sense why a team would take Mac early in the draft. In no way, absolutely none, would a team select Jones over Trey Lance or Justin Fields based on where the league is trending. Traits matter and the two latter quarterbacks are running circles around Jones.
This discourse is off because that shouldn’t be viewed as a dig against Jones. He’s a good quarterback! You can find a Mac Jones in every draft. You cannot say the same for a talent such as Fields or Lance, which is why I’m calling BS on Vegas and anyone else who believes Jones is the selection at No. 3.